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Revisiting the Wagner’s law for Indian States using second generation panel cointegration

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  • Nupur Nirola

    (Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur)

  • Sohini Sahu

    (Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur)

Abstract

In this paper, we examine if the Wagner’s law, that indicates a long-run economic relationship between government expenditure and income, holds across 15 non-special category states of India post the 1991 liberalization era. In particular, we study the non-stationarity and cointegration properties between state-level government expenditure and state-level income. Given the presence of cross-sectional dependence in our data, we adopt the second-generation panel unit root and cointegration tests. Using panel estimation methods, our results indicate that the Wagner’s law holds at an all-India level with respect to all categories of government expenditure i.e. aggregate government expenditure, development expenditure and non-development expenditure. States with above-average income mostly exhibit long-run elasticity less than one across all types of government expenditure while states with below-average income level exhibit long-run elasticity greater than one across all categories of government expenditure.

Suggested Citation

  • Nupur Nirola & Sohini Sahu, 2020. "Revisiting the Wagner’s law for Indian States using second generation panel cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 241-263, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:53:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s10644-018-9237-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10644-018-9237-6
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    Cited by:

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    2. Philip Arestis & Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya, 2021. "On the linkage between government expenditure and output: empirics of the Keynesian view versus Wagner’s law," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 265-303, May.
    3. Essossinam Ali & Hodabalo Bataka & Kwami Ossadzifo Wonyra & Nadège Essossolim Awade & Nèmè Nalèwazou Braly, 2024. "Global value chains participation and environmental pollution in developing countries: Does digitalization matter?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 451-478, January.
    4. Ciro Bazán & Víctor Josué Álvarez-Quiroz & Yennyfer Morales Olivares, 2022. "Wagner’s Law vs. Keynesian Hypothesis: Dynamic Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-25, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wagner’s law; India; Second-generation panel unit root tests; Elasticity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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