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Central Bank Liquidity Management and the Signal Extraction Problem on the Money Market / Die Liquiditätssteuerung der Notenbank und das Signal-extraktionsproblem am Geldmarkt

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  • Bindseil Ulrich

    (Directorate General Operations, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

Abstract

Understanding the factors determining overnight rates is crucial both for central bankers and private market participants, since, assuming the validity of the expectation theory of the term structure of interest rates, expectations with regard to this “monadic” maturity should determine longer term rates, which are deemed to be relevant for the transmission of monetary policy. The note proposes a simple model of the money market within a two-day long reserve maintenance period to derive relationships between the relevant quantities, expectations concerning these quantities for the rest of the reserve maintenance period, and overnight rates. It is argued that a signal extraction problem faced by banks when observing quantities such as their aggregate reserve holdings and allotment amounts of monetary policy operations is at the core of these relationships. The usefulness of the model is illustrated by applying it to the analysis of three alternative liquidity management strategies of a central bank.

Suggested Citation

  • Bindseil Ulrich, 2000. "Central Bank Liquidity Management and the Signal Extraction Problem on the Money Market / Die Liquiditätssteuerung der Notenbank und das Signal-extraktionsproblem am Geldmarkt," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 220(3), pages 284-301, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:220:y:2000:i:3:p:284-301
    DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2000-0303
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Campbell, John Y & Shiller, Robert J, 1987. "Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1062-1088, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ulrich Bindseil, 2002. "Central bank forecasts of liquidity factors and the control of short term interest rates," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 55(220), pages 13-37.
    2. Ulrich Bindseil, 2002. "Central bank forecasts of liquidity factors and the control of short term interest rates," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 55(220), pages 13-37.

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