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Optimal Signaling of Content Accuracy: Engagement vs. Misinformation

Author

Listed:
  • Ozan Candogan

    (Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637)

  • Kimon Drakopoulos

    (Data Sciences and Operations, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089)

Abstract

This paper studies information design in social networks. We consider a setting, where agents’ actions exhibit positive local network externalities. There is uncertainty about the underlying state of the world, which impacts agents’ payoffs. The platform can commit to a signaling mechanism that sends informative signals to agents upon realization of this uncertainty, thereby influencing their actions. Although this abstract setting has many applications, we discuss our results in the context of a specific one: A platform can send informative signals to agents in a social network to influence their engagement decisions with the available content, based on the realization of the inaccuracy of the content. We investigate how the platform should design its signaling mechanism to maximize engagement/minimize misinformation. The optimal (in terms of engagement/misinformation) signaling mechanism admits a simple threshold structure: The platform recommends that agents “engage” with the content if its inaccuracy level is below a threshold and recommends “do not engage” otherwise. For the mechanism that maximizes engagement, these thresholds depend on agents’ network positions, which we capture through a novel centrality measure. In the case where the platform seeks only to minimize misinformation (regardless of the induced engagement), common threshold mechanisms with identical thresholds across agents are optimal. This is in contrast to the engagement maximization setting, where when agents are heterogeneous in terms of their network positions, common threshold mechanisms induce substantially lower engagement than the optimal mechanisms. We also study the frontier of the engagement/misinformation levels that can be achieved via different mechanisms and characterize when common threshold mechanisms achieve optimal trade-offs. Finally, we supplement our theoretical findings with numerical simulations on a Facebook subgraph.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozan Candogan & Kimon Drakopoulos, 2020. "Optimal Signaling of Content Accuracy: Engagement vs. Misinformation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 497-515, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:68:y:2020:i:2:p:497-515
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.2019.1897
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Fei & Song, Yangbo & Zhao, Mofei, 2023. "Global manipulation by local obfuscation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    2. Itai Arieli & Yakov Babichenko & Fedor Sandomirskiy, 2022. "Bayesian Persuasion with Mediators," Papers 2203.04285, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    3. Furkan Sezer & Ceyhun Eksin, 2022. "Information Preferences of Individual Agents in Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian Network Games," Papers 2203.13056, arXiv.org.
    4. Kakhbod, Ali & Loginova, Uliana, 2023. "When does introducing verifiable communication choices improve welfare?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 139-162.
    5. Kimon Drakopoulos & Shobhit Jain & Ramandeep Randhawa, 2021. "Persuading Customers to Buy Early: The Value of Personalized Information Provisioning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 828-853, February.
    6. Charlson, G., 2022. "In platforms we trust: misinformation on social networks in the presence of social mistrust," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2204, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. Denter, Philipp & Ginzburg, Boris, 2021. "Troll Farms and Voter Disinformation," MPRA Paper 109634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Mohamed Mostagir & James Siderius, 2023. "Strategic Reviews," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 904-921, February.
    9. Francis de Véricourt, & Huseyin Gurkan, & Shouqiang Wang,, 2020. "Informing the public about a pandemic," ESMT Research Working Papers ESMT-20-03, ESMT European School of Management and Technology, revised 11 Feb 2021.
    10. Mohamed Mostagir & James Siderius, 2023. "Social Inequality and the Spread of Misinformation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 968-995, February.
    11. Kerman, Toygar & Tenev, Anastas P., 2021. "Persuading communicating voters," Research Memorandum 003, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    12. Charlson, G., 2022. "In platforms we trust: misinformation on social networks in the presence of social mistrust," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2202, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    13. Furkan Sezer & Hossein Khazaei & Ceyhun Eksin, 2021. "Maximizing Social Welfare and Agreement via Information Design in Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian Games," Papers 2102.13047, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    14. Mohamed Mostagir & Asuman Ozdaglar & James Siderius, 2022. "When Is Society Susceptible to Manipulation?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7153-7175, October.
    15. Jerry Anunrojwong & Krishnamurthy Iyer & David Lingenbrink, 2024. "Persuading Risk-Conscious Agents: A Geometric Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 72(1), pages 151-166, January.
    16. Mathevet, Laurent & Taneva, Ina, 2020. "Organized Information Transmission," MPRA Paper 104302, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Itay P. Fainmesser & Andrea Galeotti & Ruslan Momot, 2023. "Digital Privacy," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3157-3173, June.
    18. Kimon Drakopoulos & Ali Makhdoumi, 2023. "Providing Data Samples for Free," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3536-3560, June.
    19. Mohamed Mostagir & James Siderius, 2022. "Learning in a Post-Truth World," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2860-2868, April.

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