Overconfidence by Bayesian-Rational Agents
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DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1110.1323
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- Eric Van den Steen, 2010. "Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents," Harvard Business School Working Papers 11-049, Harvard Business School.
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- Michael D. Grubb, 2015.
"Overconfident Consumers in the Marketplace,"
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- Michael D. Grubb, 2015. "Overconfident Consumers in the Marketplace," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 877, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Markus M. Möbius & Muriel Niederle & Paul Niehaus & Tanya S. Rosenblat, 2022.
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Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(11), pages 7793-7817, November.
- Markus M. Mobius & Muriel Niederle & Paul Niehaus & Tanya S. Rosenblat, 2011. "Managing Self-Confidence: Theory and Experimental Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Markus M. Mobius & Muriel Niederle & Paul Niehaus & Tanya Rosenblat, 2011. "Managing self-confidence: theory and experimental evidence," Working Papers 11-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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- Alonso, Ricardo & Câmara, Odilon, 2016. "Political disagreement and information in elections," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Mikael Apel & Carl Andreas Claussen & Petra Gerlach-Kristen & Petra Lennartsdotter & Øistein Røisland, 2013. "Monetary policy decisions – comparing theory and “inside” information from MPC members," Working Paper 2013/03, Norges Bank.
- Meng Li & Nicholas C. Petruzzi & Jun Zhang, 2017. "Overconfident Competing Newsvendors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(8), pages 2637-2646, August.
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- Louis Lévy-Garboua & Muniza Askari & Marco Gazel, 2015. "Confidence Biases and Learning among Intuitive Bayesians," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01243584, HAL.
- Louis Lévy-Garboua & Muniza Askari & Marco Gazel, 2015. "Confidence Biases and Learning among Intuitive Bayesians," CIRANO Working Papers 2015s-51, CIRANO.
- Louis Lévy-Garboua & Muniza Askari & Marco Gazel, 2015. "Confidence Biases and Learning among Intuitive Bayesians," Post-Print halshs-01243584, HAL.
- Louis Lévy-Garboua & Muniza Askari & Marco Gazel, 2015. "Confidence Biases and Learning among Intuitive Bayesians," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15080, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
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- Louis Lévy-Garboua & Muniza Askari & Marco Gazel, 2018. "Confidence biases and learning among intuitive Bayesians," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01558394, HAL.
- Kataria, Mitesh, 2017. "How long do you think it will take? Field Evidence on Gender Differences in Time Optimism," Working Papers in Economics 694, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- John S. Chen & David C. Croson & Daniel W. Elfenbein & Hart E. Posen, 2018. "The Impact of Learning and Overconfidence on Entrepreneurial Entry and Exit," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 29(6), pages 989-1009, December.
- Uri Gneezy & Moshe Hoffman & Mark A Lane & John A List & Jeffrey A Livingston & Michael J Seiler, 2023.
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- Uri Gneezy & Moshe Hoffman & Mark A. Lane & John List & Jeffrey Livingston & Michael J. Seiler, 2022. "Can Wishful Thinking Explain Evidence for Overconfidence? An Experiment on Belief Updating," Artefactual Field Experiments 00753, The Field Experiments Website.
- Martin Koudstaal & Randolph Sloof & Mirjam van Praag, 2015. "Are Entrepreneurs more Optimistic and Overconfident than Managers and Employees?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-124/VII, Tinbergen Institute.
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- Hendrik Hakenes & Svetlana Katolnik, 2018. "Optimal Team Size and Overconfidence," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 665-687, August.
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- Xiaochao Wei & Yanfei Zhang & Qi Liao & Guihua Nie, 2022. "Multi-Agent Simulation of Product Diffusion in Online Social Networks from the Perspective of Overconfidence and Network Effects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
- Shoufeng Ji & Dan Zhao & Xiaoshuai Peng, 2018. "Joint Decisions on Emission Reduction and Inventory Replenishment with Overconfidence and Low-Carbon Preference," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-21, April.
- Citci, Sadettin Haluk & Inci, Eren, 2016. "Career concerns and Bayesian overconfidence of managers," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 137-159.
- Johannes Binswanger & Anja Garbely & Manuel Oechslin, 2023. "Investor beliefs about transformative innovations under uncertainty," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(360), pages 1119-1144, October.
- Jiang, Li & Hao, Zhongyuan, 2024. "Holding diverse market beliefs by firms: Information flow, profit performances, and channel structure," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
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Keywords
overconfidence; decision analysis; risk; Bayesian updating; differing priors; heterogeneous priors;All these keywords.
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