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Real exchange rates in the long and short run: a panel co-integration approach

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  • César A. Calderón

    (Central Bank of Chile)

Abstract

The main goal of this paper is to tackle the empirical issues of the real exchange rate literature by applying recently developed panel cointegration techniques to a structural long-run real exchange rate equation. Using annual data for 67 countries over 1966-97, we find evidence of cointegration between the real exchange rate and its fundamentals. I also find: (a) evidence of cointegration holds for all sub-samples of countries (classified by income or capital controls), (b) parameter constancy across units holds only for high income countries and low capital controls, (c) structural change in the cointegrating relationship around 1973, (d) estimated parameters consistent with theoretical values implied with calibrated parameters of preferences and technology, (e) deviations from the equilibrium are large and persistent with half-life (between 2.8 and 5) consistent with the consensus interval of 2.5-5 found in the literature (Murray and Papell, 2002)

Suggested Citation

  • César A. Calderón, 2004. "Real exchange rates in the long and short run: a panel co-integration approach," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 19(2), pages 41-83, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ila:anaeco:v:19:y:2004:i:2:p:41-83
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Chernookiy Valery, 2005. "Adjustment to the Asymmetric Shocks and Currency Unions: the Case of Belarus and Russia," EERC Working Paper Series 05-07e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    3. Mr. Etienne B Yehoue & Gilles J. Dufrénot, 2005. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: A Panel Co-Integration and Common Factor Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2005/164, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Dakhlallah Kassim, 2019. "Reserve Adequacies and the Determinants of Foreign Exchange Reserves – Empirical Analysis through the Vector Error Correction Model: The Case of Lebanon," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Audrey Sallenave, 2010. "Real exchange rate misalignments and economic performance for the G20 countries," EconomiX Working Papers 2010-1, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real Exchange Rate; New Open Economy Macroeconomics; Panel Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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