IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v9y2017i5p742-d97541.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Establishment of the Sustainable Ecosystem for the Regional Shipping Industry Based on System Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaoqiao Geng

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

  • Yuanqiao Wen

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

  • Chunhui Zhou

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

  • Changshi Xiao

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

Abstract

The rapid development of the shipping industry has brought great economic benefits but at a great environmental cost; exhaust emissions originating from ships are increasing, causing serious atmospheric pollution. Hence, the mitigation of ship exhaust emissions and the establishment of the sustainable ecosystem have become urgent tasks, which will require complicated and comprehensive systematic approaches to solve. We address this problem by establishing a System Dynamics (SD) model to help mitigate regional ship exhaust emissions without restricting economic growth and promote the development of the sustainable ecosystem. Factors correlated with ship exhaust emissions are identified, and a causal loop diagram is drawn to describe the complicated interrelations among the correlated factors. Then, a stock-and-flow diagram is designed and variable equations and parameter values are determined to quantitatively describe the dynamic relations among different elements. After verifying the effectiveness of the model, different scenarios for the sustainable development in the study area were set by changing the values of the controlling variables. The variation trends of the exhaust emissions and economic benefits for Qingdao port under different scenarios were predicted for the years 2015–2025. By comparing the simulation results, the effects of different sustainable development measures were analyzed, providing a reference for the promotion of the harmonious development of the regional environment and economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaoqiao Geng & Yuanqiao Wen & Chunhui Zhou & Changshi Xiao, 2017. "Establishment of the Sustainable Ecosystem for the Regional Shipping Industry Based on System Dynamics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-18, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:5:p:742-:d:97541
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/5/742/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/5/742/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stepp, Matthew D. & Winebrake, James J. & Hawker, J. Scott & Skerlos, Steven J., 2009. "Greenhouse gas mitigation policies and the transportation sector: The role of feedback effects on policy effectiveness," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2774-2787, July.
    2. Ansari, Nastaran & Seifi, Abbas, 2013. "A system dynamics model for analyzing energy consumption and CO2 emission in Iranian cement industry under various production and export scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 75-89.
    3. Jong-Kyun Woo & Daniel Seong-Hyeok Moon, 2014. "The effects of slow steaming on the environmental performance in liner shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 176-191, March.
    4. Trappey, Amy J.C. & Trappey, Charles & Hsiao, C.T. & Ou, Jerry J.R. & Li, S.J. & Chen, Kevin W.P., 2012. "An evaluation model for low carbon island policy: The case of Taiwan's green transportation policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 510-515.
    5. Abbas, Khaled A. & Bell, Michael G. H., 1994. "System dynamics applicability to transportation modeling," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 373-390, September.
    6. Saysel, Ali Kerem & Hekimoğlu, Mustafa, 2013. "Exploring the options for carbon dioxide mitigation in Turkish electric power industry: System dynamics approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 675-686.
    7. Feng, Y.Y. & Chen, S.Q. & Zhang, L.X., 2013. "System dynamics modeling for urban energy consumption and CO2 emissions: A case study of Beijing, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 44-52.
    8. Steve Engelen & Hilda Meersman & Eddy Van De Voorde, 2006. "Using system dynamics in maritime economics: an endogenous decision model for shipowners in the dry bulk sector," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 141-158, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yuliya Mamatok & Yingyi Huang & Chun Jin & Xingqun Cheng, 2019. "A System Dynamics Model for CO 2 Mitigation Strategies at a Container Seaport," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, May.
    2. Lingxiang Jian & Jia Guo & Hui Ma, 2022. "Research on the Impact of Digital Innovation Driving the High-Quality Development of the Shipping Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Yan Li & Xiaohan Zhang & Kaiyue Lin & Qingbo Huang, 2019. "The Analysis of a Simulation of a Port–City Green Cooperative Development, Based on System Dynamics: A Case Study of Shanghai Port, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-20, October.
    4. Jelena Nikcevic, 2018. "Montenegro on the Path to Paris MoU Accession: Towards Achieving a Sustainable Shipping Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, June.
    5. Xinjia Gao & Aoshuang Zhu & Qifeng Yu, 2023. "Exploring the Carbon Abatement Strategies in Shipping Using System Dynamics Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-25, September.
    6. Weiwei Lin & Jing Lu & Jinfu Zhu & Li Xu, 2022. "Research on the Sustainable Development and Dynamic Capabilities of China’s Aircraft Leasing Industry Based on System Dynamics Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, February.
    7. Ronghua Xu & Yiran Liu & Meng Liu & Chengang Ye, 2023. "Sustainability of Shipping Logistics: A Warning Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-15, July.
    8. Albert Ping Chuen Chan & Amos Darko & Ernest Effah Ameyaw, 2017. "Strategies for Promoting Green Building Technologies Adoption in the Construction Industry—An International Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-18, June.
    9. Verônica Ghisolfi & Lóránt Antal Tavasszy & Gonçalo Homem de Almeida Correia & Gisele de Lorena Diniz Chaves & Glaydston Mattos Ribeiro, 2022. "Freight Transport Decarbonization: A Systematic Literature Review of System Dynamics Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-30, March.
    10. Hua Cui & Changhao Liu & Raymond Côté & Weifeng Liu, 2018. "Understanding the Evolution of Industrial Symbiosis with a System Dynamics Model: A Case Study of Hai Hua Industrial Symbiosis, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-25, October.
    11. Yingyi Huang & Yuliya Mamatok & Chun Jin, 2021. "Decision-making instruments for container seaport sustainable development: management platform and system dynamics model," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 212-226, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Akhil Kunche & Bożena Mielczarek, 2021. "Application of System Dynamic Modelling for Evaluation of Carbon Mitigation Strategies in Cement Industries: A Comparative Overview of the Current State of the Art," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Shen, Yung-Shuen & Huang, Guan-Ting & Chang-Chien, Chien-Li & Huang, Lance Hongwei & Kuo, Chien-Hung & Hu, Allen H., 2023. "The impact of passenger electric vehicles on carbon reduction and environmental impact under the 2050 net zero policy in Taiwan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    3. Xingpeng Chen & Guokui Wang & Xiaojia Guo & Jinxiu Fu, 2016. "An Analysis Based on SD Model for Energy-Related CO 2 Mitigation in the Chinese Household Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-18, December.
    4. Dehghan, Hamed & Amin-Naseri, Mohammad Reza & Nahavandi, Nasim, 2021. "A system dynamics model to analyze future electricity supply and demand in Iran under alternative pricing policies," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    5. Gupta, Monika & Bandyopadhyay, Kaushik Ranjan & Singh, Sanjay K., 2019. "Measuring effectiveness of carbon tax on Indian road passenger transport: A system dynamics approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 341-354.
    6. Wang, Geng & Feng, Yan, 2024. "Analysis of carbon emission drivers and peak carbon forecasts for island economies," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 489(C).
    7. Elham Heidari & Sona Bikdeli & Mohammad Reza Mansouri Daneshvar, 2023. "A dynamic model for CO2 emissions induced by urban transportation during 2005–2030, a case study of Mashhad, Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 4217-4236, May.
    8. David Rees & Janet Stephenson & Debbie Hopkins & Adam Doering, 2017. "Exploring stability and change in transport systems: combining Delphi and system dynamics approaches," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 789-805, July.
    9. Jia, Shuwei & Liu, Xiaolu & Yan, Guangle, 2019. "Effect of APCF policy on the haze pollution in China: A system dynamics approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 33-44.
    10. Mohammadreza Zolfagharian & Bob Walrave & A. Georges L. Romme & Rob Raven, 2020. "Toward the Dynamic Modeling of Transition Problems: The Case of Electric Mobility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-23, December.
    11. Song Han & Changqing Lin & Baosheng Zhang & Arash Farnoosh, 2019. "Projections and Recommendations for Energy Structure and Industrial Structure Development in China through 2030: A System Dynamics Model," Post-Print hal-02408957, HAL.
    12. Yunna, Wu & Kaifeng, Chen & Yisheng, Yang & Tiantian, Feng, 2015. "A system dynamics analysis of technology, cost and policy that affect the market competition of shale gas in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 235-243.
    13. Song Han & Changqing Lin & Baosheng Zhang & Arash Farnoosh, 2019. "Projections and Recommendations for Energy Structure and Industrial Structure Development in China through 2030: A System Dynamics Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-20, September.
    14. Esteban Lopez-Arboleda & Alfonso T. Sarmiento & Laura M. Cardenas, 2021. "Systemic approach for integration of sustainability in evaluation of public policies for adoption of electric vehicles," Systemic Practice and Action Research, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 399-417, August.
    15. Sun, Xiaolei & Liu, Chang & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Assessing the extreme risk spillovers of international commodities on maritime markets: A GARCH-Copula-CoVaR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    16. Chai, Naijie & Zhou, Wenliang & Hu, Xinlei, 2022. "Safety evaluation of urban rail transit operation considering uncertainty and risk preference: A case study in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 267-288.
    17. Sun, Lu & Liu, Wenjing & Li, Zhaoling & Cai, Bofeng & Fujii, Minoru & Luo, Xiao & Chen, Wei & Geng, Yong & Fujita, Tsuyoshi & Le, Yiping, 2021. "Spatial and structural characteristics of CO2 emissions in East Asian megacities and its indication for low-carbon city development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    18. Yoo, Sunbin & Koh, Kyung Woong & Yoshida, Yoshikuni & Wakamori, Naoki, 2019. "Revisiting Jevons's paradox of energy rebound: Policy implications and empirical evidence in consumer-oriented financial incentives from the Japanese automobile market, 2006–2016," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    19. Bénédicte Meurisse, 2015. "On the relevance of differentiated car purchase taxes in light of the rebound effect," Working Papers 1512, Chaire Economie du climat.
    20. Hongxia Sun & Yao Wan & Huirong Lv, 2020. "System Dynamics Model for the Evolutionary Behaviour of Government Enterprises and Consumers in China’s New Energy Vehicle Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:5:p:742-:d:97541. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.