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Establishment of the Sustainable Ecosystem for the Regional Shipping Industry Based on System Dynamics

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  • Xiaoqiao Geng

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

  • Yuanqiao Wen

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

  • Chunhui Zhou

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

  • Changshi Xiao

    (School of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China
    Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China
    National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China)

Abstract

The rapid development of the shipping industry has brought great economic benefits but at a great environmental cost; exhaust emissions originating from ships are increasing, causing serious atmospheric pollution. Hence, the mitigation of ship exhaust emissions and the establishment of the sustainable ecosystem have become urgent tasks, which will require complicated and comprehensive systematic approaches to solve. We address this problem by establishing a System Dynamics (SD) model to help mitigate regional ship exhaust emissions without restricting economic growth and promote the development of the sustainable ecosystem. Factors correlated with ship exhaust emissions are identified, and a causal loop diagram is drawn to describe the complicated interrelations among the correlated factors. Then, a stock-and-flow diagram is designed and variable equations and parameter values are determined to quantitatively describe the dynamic relations among different elements. After verifying the effectiveness of the model, different scenarios for the sustainable development in the study area were set by changing the values of the controlling variables. The variation trends of the exhaust emissions and economic benefits for Qingdao port under different scenarios were predicted for the years 2015–2025. By comparing the simulation results, the effects of different sustainable development measures were analyzed, providing a reference for the promotion of the harmonious development of the regional environment and economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaoqiao Geng & Yuanqiao Wen & Chunhui Zhou & Changshi Xiao, 2017. "Establishment of the Sustainable Ecosystem for the Regional Shipping Industry Based on System Dynamics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-18, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:5:p:742-:d:97541
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    7. Yan Li & Xiaohan Zhang & Kaiyue Lin & Qingbo Huang, 2019. "The Analysis of a Simulation of a Port–City Green Cooperative Development, Based on System Dynamics: A Case Study of Shanghai Port, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Jelena Nikcevic, 2018. "Montenegro on the Path to Paris MoU Accession: Towards Achieving a Sustainable Shipping Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, June.
    9. Hua Cui & Changhao Liu & Raymond Côté & Weifeng Liu, 2018. "Understanding the Evolution of Industrial Symbiosis with a System Dynamics Model: A Case Study of Hai Hua Industrial Symbiosis, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-25, October.
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