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Responses of Vegetation Growth to Climatic Factors in Shule River Basin in Northwest China: A Panel Analysis

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  • Jinghui Qi

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China)

  • Shuwen Niu

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China
    Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China)

  • Yifang Zhao

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China)

  • Man Liang

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China)

  • Libang Ma

    (College of Geography and Environment Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China)

  • Yongxia Ding

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China)

Abstract

The vegetation response to climatic factors is a hot topic in global change research. However, research on vegetation in Shule River Basin, which is a typical arid region in northwest China, is still limited, especially at micro scale. On the basis of Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data and daily meteorological data, employing panel data models and other mathematical models, the aim of this paper is to reveal the interactive relationship between vegetation variation and climatic factors in Shule River Basin. Results show that there is a widespread greening trend in the whole basin during 2000–2015, and 80.28% of greening areas (areas with vegetation improvement) are distributed over upstream region, but the maximum vegetation variation appears in downstream area. The effects of climate change on NDVI lag about half to one month. The parameters estimated using panel data models indicate that precipitation and accumulated temperature have positive contribution to NDVI. With every 1-mm increase in rainfall, NDVI increases by around 0.223‰ in upstream area and 0.6‰ in downstream area. With every 1-°C increase in accumulated temperature, NDVI increases by around 0.241‰ in upstream area and 0.174‰ in downstream area. Responses of NDVI to climatic factors are more sensitive when these factors are limiting than when they are not limiting. NDVI variation has performance in two seasonal and inter-annual directions, and the range of seasonal change is far more than that of inter-annual change. The inverted U-shaped curve of the variable intercepts reflects the seasonal change. Our results might provide some scientific basis for the comprehensive basin management.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinghui Qi & Shuwen Niu & Yifang Zhao & Man Liang & Libang Ma & Yongxia Ding, 2017. "Responses of Vegetation Growth to Climatic Factors in Shule River Basin in Northwest China: A Panel Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:3:p:368-:d:91995
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Libang Ma & Wenjuan Cheng & Jie Bo & Xiaoyang Li & Yuan Gu, 2018. "Spatio-Temporal Variation of Land-Use Intensity from a Multi-Perspective—Taking the Middle and Lower Reaches of Shule River Basin in China as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-20, March.
    2. Fuwen Da & Xingpeng Chen & Jinghui Qi, 2019. "Spatiotemporal Characteristic of Land Use/Land Cover Changes in the Middle and Lower Reaches of Shule River Basin Based on an Intensity Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-19, March.

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