IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v16y2024i9p3753-d1386244.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Requirement on the Capacity of Energy Storage to Meet the 2 °C Goal

Author

Listed:
  • Yifei Deng

    (Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China)

  • Yijing Wang

    (Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China)

  • Xiaofan Xing

    (Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China)

  • Yuankang Xiong

    (Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China)

  • Siqing Xu

    (Sciences Laboratory of Climate and the Environment (LSCE), Atomic Energy and Alternative Energies Commission (CEA)/French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS)/University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Paris-Saclay University, 91190 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
    Climate and Atmosphere Research Center (CARE-C), The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia 2121, Cyprus)

  • Rong Wang

    (Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
    IRDR International Center of Excellence on Risk Interconnectivity and Governance on Weather/Climate Extremes Impact and Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
    Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China
    Shanghai Frontiers Science Center of Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction, Shanghai 200438, China)

Abstract

The inherent power fluctuations of wind, photovoltaic (PV) and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) create a temporal mismatch between energy supply and demand. This mismatch could lead to a potential resurgence of fossil fuels, offsetting the effects of decarbonization and affecting the realization of the Paris target by limiting global warming to below 2 °C in the 21st century. While application of energy storage is widely recommended to address this limitation, there is a research gap to quantify the impacts of energy storage limitation on global warming. Here, we analyzed the hourly variation of global wind and PV power during the period 1981–2020 and the monthly capacity of biomass production in 2019, and thus quantified the impact of decreasing the capacity of energy storage on global warming using a state-of-the-art Earth system model. We found that global warming by 2100 in the SSP1-2.6 scenario would increase by about 20% and exceed 2 °C without deploying energy storage facilities. Achieving the 2 °C target requires reducing power losses of wind and PV by at least 30% through energy storage. This requirement delivers to a cumulative storage capacity of 16.46 TWh using batteries during the period 2021–2100, leading to the international trade of cobalt and manganese across countries due to deficits of minerals at a country level. In the context of energy security, we highlight the importance of considering the limitations of energy storage and mineral shortage in the forthcoming policies of decarbonization.

Suggested Citation

  • Yifei Deng & Yijing Wang & Xiaofan Xing & Yuankang Xiong & Siqing Xu & Rong Wang, 2024. "Requirement on the Capacity of Energy Storage to Meet the 2 °C Goal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-17, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:9:p:3753-:d:1386244
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/9/3753/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/9/3753/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nebojsa Nakicenovic & Peter D. Lund, 2021. "Could Europe become the first climate-neutral continent?," Nature, Nature, vol. 596(7873), pages 486-486, August.
    2. Siqing Xu & Rong Wang & Thomas Gasser & Philippe Ciais & Josep Peñuelas & Yves Balkanski & Olivier Boucher & Ivan A. Janssens & Jordi Sardans & James H. Clark & Junji Cao & Xiaofan Xing & Jianmin Chen, 2022. "Delayed use of bioenergy crops might threaten climate and food security," Nature, Nature, vol. 609(7926), pages 299-306, September.
    3. Yang, Mao & Wang, Da & Xu, Chuanyu & Dai, Bozhi & Ma, Miaomiao & Su, Xin, 2023. "Power transfer characteristics in fluctuation partition algorithm for wind speed and its application to wind power forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 582-594.
    4. Schakel, Wouter & Meerman, Hans & Talaei, Alireza & Ramírez, Andrea & Faaij, André, 2014. "Comparative life cycle assessment of biomass co-firing plants with carbon capture and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 441-467.
    5. Mearns, Euan & Sornette, Didier, 2023. "Are 2050 energy transition plans viable? A detailed analysis of projected Swiss electricity supply and demand in 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    6. Jafari, Mehdi & Botterud, Audun & Sakti, Apurba, 2022. "Decarbonizing power systems: A critical review of the role of energy storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    7. Abbassi, Abdelkader & Dami, Mohamed Ali & Jemli, Mohamed, 2017. "A statistical approach for hybrid energy storage system sizing based on capacity distributions in an autonomous PV/Wind power generation system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 81-93.
    8. Yijing Wang & Rong Wang & Katsumasa Tanaka & Philippe Ciais & Josep Penuelas & Yves Balkanski & Jordi Sardans & Didier Hauglustaine & Wang Liu & Xiaofan Xing & Jiarong Li & Siqing Xu & Yuankang Xiong , 2023. "Accelerating the energy transition towards photovoltaic and wind in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 619(7971), pages 761-767, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Mao & Han, Chao & Zhang, Wei & Wang, Bo, 2024. "A short-term power prediction method for wind farm cluster based on the fusion of multi-source spatiotemporal feature information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    2. Pedro Gomes da Cruz Filho & Danielle Devequi Gomes Nunes & Hayna Malta Santos & Alex Álisson Bandeira Santos & Bruna Aparecida Souza Machado, 2023. "From Patents to Progress: Genetic Algorithms in Harmonic Distortion Monitoring Technology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Li, Haoran & Zhang, Chenghui & Sun, Bo, 2021. "Optimal design for component capacity of integrated energy system based on the active dispatch mode of multiple energy storages," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    4. Hou, Jiazuo & Hu, Chenxi & Lei, Shunbo & Liang, Liang & Hou, Yunhe, 2024. "Security region of inverter-interfaced power systems: Existence, expansion, and application," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    5. Arévalo, Paul & Benavides, Dario & Tostado-Véliz, Marcos & Aguado, José A. & Jurado, Francisco, 2023. "Smart monitoring method for photovoltaic systems and failure control based on power smoothing techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 366-383.
    6. Zang, Guiyan & Zhang, Jianan & Jia, Junxi & Lora, Electo Silva & Ratner, Albert, 2020. "Life cycle assessment of power-generation systems based on biomass integrated gasification combined cycles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 336-346.
    7. Zhao, Huiru & Li, Bingkang & Lu, Hao & Wang, Xuejie & Li, Hongze & Guo, Sen & Xue, Wanlei & Wang, Yuwei, 2022. "Economy-environment-energy performance evaluation of CCHP microgrid system: A hybrid multi-criteria decision-making method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    8. Muhammad Khalid, 2019. "A Review on the Selected Applications of Battery-Supercapacitor Hybrid Energy Storage Systems for Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-34, November.
    9. Nasrin Aghamohammadi & Stacy Simai Reginald & Ahmad Shamiri & Ali Akbar Zinatizadeh & Li Ping Wong & Nik Meriam Binti Nik Sulaiman, 2016. "An Investigation of Sustainable Power Generation from Oil Palm Biomass: A Case Study in Sarawak," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-19, April.
    10. John Byrne & Peter Lund & Job Taminiau, 2022. "Rapid climate transformation requires transformative policy and science thinking—An editorial essay," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(1), January.
    11. Yanan Xue & Jinliang Yin & Xinhao Hou, 2024. "Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Multi-Feature Domain Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-25, July.
    12. Busiswe Skosana & Mukwanga W. Siti & Nsilulu T. Mbungu & Sonu Kumar & Willy Mulumba, 2023. "An Evaluation of Potential Strategies in Renewable Energy Systems and Their Importance for South Africa—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-27, November.
    13. Yang, Bo & Wei, Yi-Ming & Hou, Yunbing & Li, Hui & Wang, Pengtao, 2019. "Life cycle environmental impact assessment of fuel mix-based biomass co-firing plants with CO2 capture and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
    14. Zhao, Fei & Li, Yalou & Zhou, Xiaoxin & Wang, Dandan & Wei, Yawei & Li, Fang, 2023. "Co-optimization of decarbonized operation of coal-fired power plants and seasonal storage based on green ammonia co-firing," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 341(C).
    15. Abbassi, Rabeh & Abbassi, Abdelkader & Jemli, Mohamed & Chebbi, Souad, 2018. "Identification of unknown parameters of solar cell models: A comprehensive overview of available approaches," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 453-474.
    16. Zheng, Xidong & Bai, Feifei & Zeng, Ziyang & Jin, Tao, 2024. "A new methodology to improve wind power prediction accuracy considering power quality disturbance dimension reduction and elimination," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    17. Lupiáñez, Carlos & Carmen Mayoral, M. & Díez, Luis I. & Pueyo, Eloy & Espatolero, Sergio & Manuel Andrés, J., 2016. "The role of limestone during fluidized bed oxy-combustion of coal and biomass," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 670-680.
    18. Harnpon Phungrassami & Phairat Usubharatana, 2021. "Environmental Problem Shifting Analysis of Pollution Control Units in a Coal-Fired Powerplant Based on Multiple Regression and LCA Methodology," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, May.
    19. Wu, Di & Ma, Xu & Balducci, Patrick & Bhatnagar, Dhruv, 2021. "An economic assessment of behind-the-meter photovoltaics paired with batteries on the Hawaiian Islands," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    20. Eda Puntarić & Lato Pezo & Željka Zgorelec & Jerko Gunjača & Dajana Kučić Grgić & Neven Voća, 2022. "Prediction of the Production of Separated Municipal Solid Waste by Artificial Neural Networks in Croatia and the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-13, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:9:p:3753-:d:1386244. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.