IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v16y2023i1p377-d1311449.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Projected Summer Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Region

Author

Listed:
  • Mustafa Tufan Turp

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Computational Science and Engineering, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Nazan An

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Computational Science and Engineering, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Başak Bilgin

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Department of Tourism Administration, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Gamze Şimşir

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Computational Science and Engineering, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Bora Orgen

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Department of Physics, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Department of Physics, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

Abstract

The impacts of climate change and the extent of their consequences exhibit regional variability. The negative effects of climate change on the tourism industry require a comprehensive examination of the vulnerabilities of tourism–dependent countries. Considering that the tourism sector is an important source of income for these countries, it is imperative to evaluate the potential consequences of climate change. Its effects may lead to changes in the location and popularity of tourist destinations and the timing of the tourism season. If popular coastal destinations cannot respond effectively to the impacts of climate change, alternative tourism destinations need to be explored to reduce financial losses. This study aims to assess the potential of the Black Sea coasts as an alternative tourism destination. The evaluation was conducted using the Holiday Climate Index (HCI), a prominent indicator for determining human comfort. The research showed that Türkiye’s Black Sea coast may have the necessary comfort level for beach tourism in the summer season and may be attractive for more tourists considering the positive relationship between arrival and overnight stay and tourist comfort.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Tufan Turp & Nazan An & Başak Bilgin & Gamze Şimşir & Bora Orgen & Mehmet Levent Kurnaz, 2023. "Projected Summer Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2023:i:1:p:377-:d:1311449
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/1/377/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/1/377/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elinor Haldane & Lauren MacDonald & Nolan Kressin & Zoe Furlotte & Pelin Kınay & Ryan Guild & Xander Wang, 2023. "Sustainable Tourism in the Face of Climate Change: An Overview of Prince Edward Island," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, March.
    2. Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2005. "The Impact Of Climate Change On Domestic And International Tourism: A Simulation Study," Working Papers FNU-58, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jan 2005.
    3. Mauricio Carvache-Franco & Wilmer Carvache-Franco & Orly Carvache-Franco & Ana B. Hernández-Lara & Cesar Villagómez Buele, 2020. "Segmentation, motivation, and sociodemographic aspects of tourist demand in a coastal marine destination: a case study in Manta (Ecuador)," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(10), pages 1234-1247, May.
    4. Jonathon Day & Natalie Chin & Sandra Sydnor & Melissa Widhalm & Kalim U. Shah & Leslie Dorworth, 2021. "Implications of climate change for tourism and outdoor recreation: an Indiana, USA, case study," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-21, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dzintra Atstāja & Edmira Cakrani, 2024. "Impact of Climate Change on International Tourism Evidence from Baltic Sea Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-16, June.
    2. Hongchao Zhang & Jordan W. Smith, 2018. "Weather and Air Quality Drive the Winter Use of Utah’s Big and Little Cottonwood Canyons," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-12, October.
    3. Christine Schleupner & P. Michael Link, 2007. "Potential impacts on important bird habitats in Eiderstedt (Schleswig-Holstein) caused by agricultural land use changes," Working Papers FNU-138, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jun 2007.
    4. Roberto Roson & Francesco Bosello, 2007. "Estimating a Climate Change Damage Function through General Equilibrium Modeling," Working Papers 2007_08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    5. Jonathan Aylen & Kevin Albertson & Gina Cavan, 2014. "The impact of weather and climate on tourist demand: the case of Chester Zoo," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 127(2), pages 183-197, November.
    6. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2016. "Estimation of Climate Change Damage Functions for 140 Regions in the GTAP 9 Database," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(2), pages 78-115, December.
    7. Michailidou, Alexandra V. & Vlachokostas, Christos & Moussiopoulos, Νicolas, 2016. "Interactions between climate change and the tourism sector: Multiple-criteria decision analysis to assess mitigation and adaptation options in tourism areas," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-12.
    8. Ghislain Dubois & Jean-Paul Ceron & Stefan Gössling & C. Michael Hall, 2016. "Weather preferences of French tourists: lessons for climate change impact assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 339-351, May.
    9. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2012. "Climate Change, Tourism and Water Resources in the Mediterranean:a General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers 2012_05, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    10. Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2005. "The Impact Of Climate Change On Domestic And International Tourism: A Simulation Study," Working Papers FNU-58, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jan 2005.
    11. Salvador Barrios & Juan Nicolas Ibañez Rivas, 2013. "Tourism demand, climatic conditions and transport costs: an integrated analysis for EU regions," JRC Research Reports JRC80898, Joint Research Centre.
    12. Gössling, Stefan & Scott, Daniel & Hall, C. Michael, 2015. "Inter-market variability in CO2 emission-intensities in tourism: Implications for destination marketing and carbon management," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 203-212.
    13. P. Michael Link & Christine Schleupner, 2007. "Agricultural land use changes in Eiderstedt," Working Papers FNU-137, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jun 2007.
    14. Ridderstaat, Jorge & Oduber, Marck & Croes, Robertico & Nijkamp, Peter & Martens, Pim, 2014. "Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 245-256.
    15. Bigano, Andrea & Bosello, Francesco & Roson, Roberto & Tol, Richard S.J., 2006. "Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: A Joint Analysis for Sea Level Rise and Tourism," Climate Change Modelling and Policy Working Papers 12022, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    16. John E. Gordon, 2023. "Climate Change and Geotourism: Impacts, Challenges, and Opportunities," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-25, September.
    17. Anup K. C. & Resham Thapa Parajuli, 2014. "Tourism and its impact on livelihood in Manaslu conservation area, Nepal," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(5), pages 1053-1063, October.
    18. Massidda, Carla & Etzo, Ivan, 2012. "The determinants of Italian domestic tourism: A panel data analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 603-610.
    19. Francesco Bosello, 2015. "Catastrophic Risk, Precautionary Abatement, and Adaptation Transfers," Review of Environment, Energy and Economics - Re3, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, September.
    20. Zahid Ahmad* & Anam Tariq**, 2013. "Impact of International Trade on departed tourists : A case of the South and South-East Asian region," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 23(1), pages 1-12.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2023:i:1:p:377-:d:1311449. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.