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Optimizing the Sample Selection of Machine Learning Models for Landslide Susceptibility Prediction Using Information Value Models in the Dabie Mountain Area of Anhui, China

Author

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  • Yanrong Liu

    (School of Resources and Environment, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China)

  • Zhongqiu Meng

    (School of Resources and Environment, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China)

  • Lei Zhu

    (School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China)

  • Di Hu

    (Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Ministry of Education, Nanjing 210023, China
    Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China
    State Key Laboratory Cultivation Base of Geographical Environment Evolution (Jiangsu Province), Nanjing 210023, China)

  • Handong He

    (School of Resources and Environment, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China
    Anhui Province Key Lab of Farmland Ecological Conservation and Pollution Prevention, Hefei 230036, China
    Engineering and Technology Research Center of Intelligent Manufacture and Efficient Utilization of Green Phosphorus Fertilizer of Anhui Province, College of Resources and Environment, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China
    Key Laboratory of JiangHuai Arable Land Resources Protection and Eco-Restoration, Ministry of Natural Resources, College of Resources and Environment, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China)

Abstract

The evaluation of landslide susceptibility is of great significance in the prevention and management of geological hazards. The accuracy of the landslide susceptibility prediction model based on machine learning is significantly higher than that of traditional expert knowledge and the conventional mathematical statistics model. The correct and reasonable selection of non-landslide samples in the machine learning model greatly improves the prediction accuracy and reliability of the regional landslide susceptibility model. Focusing on the problem of selecting non-landslide samples in the machine learning model for landslide susceptibility evaluation, this paper proposes a landslide susceptibility evaluation method based on the combination of an information model and machine learning in traditional mathematical statistics. First, the influence factors for landslide susceptibility evaluation are screened by the correlation analysis method. Second, the information value model is used to delimit areas with low and relatively low landslide susceptibility, and non-landslide points are randomly selected. Third, a landslide susceptibility evaluation method combined with IV-ML, such as logistic regression (IV-LR), random forest (IV-RF), support vector machine (IV-SVM), and artificial neural network (IV-ANN), is established. Finally, the landslide susceptibility factors in the Dabie Mountain area of Anhui Province are analyzed, and the accuracy of the landslide susceptibility evaluation results using the IV-LR, IV-RF, IV-SVM, and IV-ANN and LR, RF, SVM, and ANN methods are compared. The accuracy is evaluated by examining the ACC, AUC, and kappa values of the model. The results indicate that the evaluation effect of the IV-ML models (IV-LR, IV-RF, IV-SVM, IV-ANN) on landslide susceptibility is significantly higher than that of the ML models (LR, RF, SVM, ANN).

Suggested Citation

  • Yanrong Liu & Zhongqiu Meng & Lei Zhu & Di Hu & Handong He, 2023. "Optimizing the Sample Selection of Machine Learning Models for Landslide Susceptibility Prediction Using Information Value Models in the Dabie Mountain Area of Anhui, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:3:p:1971-:d:1041887
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xuedong Zhang & Haoyun Xie & Zidong Xu & Zhaowen Li & Bo Chen, 2024. "Evaluating landslide susceptibility: an AHP method-based approach enhanced with optimized random forest modeling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(9), pages 8153-8207, July.
    2. Li He & Xiantan Wu & Zhengwei He & Dongjian Xue & Fang Luo & Wenqian Bai & Guichuan Kang & Xin Chen & Yuxiang Zhang, 2023. "Susceptibility Assessment of Landslides in the Loess Plateau Based on Machine Learning Models: A Case Study of Xining City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-18, October.
    3. Haijun Qiu & Yao Xu & Bingzhe Tang & Lingling Su & Yijun Li & Dongdong Yang & Mohib Ullah, 2024. "Interpretable Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation Based on Model Optimization," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-20, May.
    4. Haishan Wang & Jian Xu & Shucheng Tan & Jinxuan Zhou, 2023. "Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation Based on a Coupled Informative–Logistic Regression Model—Shuangbai County as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Sheng Ma & Jian Chen & Saier Wu & Yurou Li, 2023. "Landslide Susceptibility Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Landslides in the Yinghu Lake Basin in Shaanxi," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.

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