IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i7p4276-d786750.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Port Planning and Sustainable Development Based on Prediction Modelling of Port Throughput: A Case Study of the Deep-Water Dongjiakou Port

Author

Listed:
  • Xinyu Zhuang

    (College of Quality and Standardization, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
    Department of Architecture and Urban Design, Faculty of Human-Environment Studies, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan)

  • Wenhan Li

    (School of Business, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China)

  • Yisong Xu

    (School of Business, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China)

Abstract

With the rapid development of ports, the port industry continues to focus on the function, service, and value chains. Further accelerating the high-quality development of ports has become crucial to promoting urban construction and economic development. Dongjiakou Port is an important shipping and logistics hub in the center of the Bohai Economic Rim and the Northeast Asia economic circle, which has superior deep-water resources. Through active transformation and upgrade, it has become an international trade hub with sustainable practices. This research examined Dongjiakou Port as a case study and employed a grey prediction model to analyze and predict port throughput and to determine the indicators and impact factors for a green port. In addition, the grey model and principal component analysis were used to predict the throughput of Dongjiakou Port from 2021 to 2025, and the effectiveness of the model was verified by comparing the predicted and actual throughput from 2014 to 2020. In addition, this research also provided suggestions for the sustainable development of ports from the aspects of port planning, port cargo structures, and effective port governance and development. The prediction model can provide support for future port planning and port design, to a certain extent, and can also provide references for predicting port throughput and promoting the construction of new ports and sustainable port development.

Suggested Citation

  • Xinyu Zhuang & Wenhan Li & Yisong Xu, 2022. "Port Planning and Sustainable Development Based on Prediction Modelling of Port Throughput: A Case Study of the Deep-Water Dongjiakou Port," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-21, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:7:p:4276-:d:786750
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/7/4276/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/7/4276/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rodrigue, Jean-Paul & Notteboom, Theo, 2010. "Foreland-based regionalization: Integrating intermediate hubs with port hinterlands," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 19-29.
    2. Brian Slack & Claude Comtois & Robert McCalla, 2002. "Strategic alliances in the container shipping industry: a global perspective," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 65-76, January.
    3. Gaodan Deng & Jingxiao Chen & Quanlong Liu, 2022. "Influence Mechanism and Evolutionary Game of Environmental Regulation on Green Port Construction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.
    4. Constantinos Chlomoudis & Petros Pallis & Charalampos Platias, 2022. "Environmental Mainstreaming in Greek TEN-T Ports," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, January.
    5. Dong Yang & Shuaian Wang, 2017. "Analysis of the development potential of bulk shipping network on the Yangtze River," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 512-523, May.
    6. Antoine Fremont & F Parola & Martin Soppe, 2007. "Vertical adjustments between liner shipping and container handling industry on the global scale: divide et impera ?," Post-Print hal-02123048, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yanfei Xia & Quan Guo & Hao Sun & Ke Li & Zongyu Mu, 2022. "Green R&D Financing Strategy in Platform Supply Chain with Data-Driven Marketing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Theo Notteboom & Jean-Paul Rodrigue, 2023. "Maritime container terminal infrastructure, network corporatization, and global terminal operators: Implications for international business policy," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 67-83, March.
    2. Kevin X. Li & Tae-Joon Park & Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Heather McLaughlin & Wenming Shi, 2018. "Container Transport Network for Sustainable Development in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, October.
    3. Pallis, Athanasios A. & de Langen, Peter W., 2010. "Seaports and the structural implications of the economic crisis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 10-18.
    4. Rau, Philipp & Spinler, Stefan, 2017. "Alliance formation in a cooperative container shipping game: Performance of a real options investment approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 155-175.
    5. Erica Varese & Danilo Stefano Marigo & Mariarosaria Lombardi, 2020. "Dry Port: A Review on Concept, Classification, Functionalities and Technological Processes," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-16, November.
    6. Zhang, Qiang & Zheng, Shiyuan & Geerlings, Harry & El Makhloufi, Abdel, 2019. "Port governance revisited: How to govern and for what purpose?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 46-57.
    7. Chengjin Wang & César Ducruet, 2012. "New port development and global city making: Emergence of the Shanghai-Yangshan multilayered gateway hub," Post-Print halshs-00717879, HAL.
    8. Moreira, Paulo Pires, 2012. "A Análise De Sines Como Ativo Geoestratégico Nacional: Um Cluster Suportado Nas Redes Marítimas Mundiais [The Analysis of Sines as a Geostrategic Asset: A Cluster Supported in the Maritime Chain]," MPRA Paper 47694, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Oct 2012.
    9. Laure Rousset & César Ducruet, 2020. "Disruptions in Spatial Networks: a Comparative Study of Major Shocks Affecting Ports and Shipping Patterns," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 423-447, June.
    10. Liu, Liming & Wang, Kelly Yujie & Yip, Tsz Leung, 2013. "Development of a container port system in Pearl River Delta: path to multi-gateway ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-38.
    11. Jianfeng Zheng & Ziyou Gao & Dong Yang & Zhuo Sun, 2015. "Network Design and Capacity Exchange for Liner Alliances with Fixed and Variable Container Demands," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(4), pages 886-899, November.
    12. Wouter Jacobs & Theo Notteboom, 2011. "An Evolutionary Perspective on Regional Port Systems: The Role of Windows of Opportunity in Shaping Seaport Competition," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 43(7), pages 1674-1692, July.
    13. Balci, Gökcay & Cetin, Ismail Bilge & Tanyeri, Mustafa, 2018. "Differentiation of container shipping services in Turkey," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 26-35.
    14. Adolf K.Y. Ng & Zaili Yang & Stephen Cahoon & Paul T.W. Lee & Brian Slack & Elisabeth Gouvernal, 2016. "Container Transshipment and Logistics in the Context of Urban Economic Development," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 406-415, September.
    15. Jagan Jeevan & Violeta Roso, 2019. "Exploring seaport - dry ports dyadic integration to meet the increase in container vessels size," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-18, December.
    16. Ahmed Sahraoui & Nguyen Khoi Tran & Youssef Tliche & Ameni Kacem & Atour Taghipour, 2023. "Examining ICT Innovation for Sustainable Terminal Operations in Developing Countries: A Case Study of the Port of Radès in Tunisia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-22, June.
    17. Qianqian Gu & Lei Hang, 2022. "A Game Analysis-Based Behavioral Interaction Framework between Governments and Innovative Enterprises for Intellectual Property Regulation Policies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-20, May.
    18. Amanda Mackloet, 2006. "Locational Dynamics in an Era of Global Economic Change: Is the Port of Rotterdam Up to the Challenge?," ERSA conference papers ersa06p337, European Regional Science Association.
    19. Yang, Jinglei & Luo, Meifeng & Ji, Abing, 2016. "Analyzing the spatial–temporal evolution of a gateway’s hinterland: A case study of Shanghai, China," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 355-367.
    20. Dadashpoor, Hashem & Arasteh, Mojtaba, 2020. "Core-port connectivity: Towards shaping a national hinterland in a West Asia country," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 57-68.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:7:p:4276-:d:786750. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.