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Socio-Ecological Futures: Embedded Solutions for Stakeholder-Driven Alternative Futures

Author

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  • Daniel Cronan

    (Landscape Architecture, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA
    Center for Resilient Communities, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA)

  • E. Jamie Trammell

    (Center for Resilient Communities, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA
    Environmental Science and Policy, Southern Oregon University, Ashland, OR 97520, USA)

  • Andrew (Anaru) Kliskey

    (Landscape Architecture, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA
    Center for Resilient Communities, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA)

  • Paula Williams

    (Landscape Architecture, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA
    Center for Resilient Communities, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA)

  • Lilian Alessa

    (Landscape Architecture, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA
    Center for Resilient Communities, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA)

Abstract

Scenarios of landscape change have the capacity to address spatial and temporal issues, current and future trends, and solutions that increase capacity and/or resilience in social-ecological systems and their networks. In this study, we present a resilience framework for food–energy–water systems and demonstrate it with a case study in Magic Valley, Idaho. We formulated scenarios of change based on stakeholder input (qualitative data), researcher-developed models (quantitative data), and validation of plausibility through impact and indicator evaluation. The stakeholder engagement process identified key issues, critical uncertainties, and plausible and viable solutions to future challenges. Specifically, we analyzed cross-scenario futures and their solutions to address water quality issues in the face of climate change, land-use change conflicts, and population shifts in the region. The process activates stakeholder and research-based models to create geospatial alternative futures and their associated timesteps, with embedded solutions, which broadens and improves conventional scenario-based research. The process intends to provide policy-makers, researchers, and scenario facilitators with a strategic framework to activate solutions temporally with a stakeholder-defined suite of scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Cronan & E. Jamie Trammell & Andrew (Anaru) Kliskey & Paula Williams & Lilian Alessa, 2022. "Socio-Ecological Futures: Embedded Solutions for Stakeholder-Driven Alternative Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:7:p:3732-:d:776832
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lu Huang & Weining Xiang & Jianguo Wu & Christoph Traxler & Jingzhou Huang, 2019. "Integrating GeoDesign with Landscape Sustainability Science," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-17, February.
    2. Jamie Trammell & Meagan Krupa & Paula Williams & Andrew Kliskey, 2021. "Using Comprehensive Scenarios to Identify Social–Ecological Threats to Salmon in the Kenai River Watershed, Alaska," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-15, May.
    3. Andrew Kliskey & Paula Williams & David L. Griffith & Virginia H. Dale & Chelsea Schelly & Anna-Maria Marshall & Valoree S. Gagnon & Weston M. Eaton & Kristin Floress, 2021. "Thinking Big and Thinking Small: A Conceptual Framework for Best Practices in Community and Stakeholder Engagement in Food, Energy, and Water Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Ingrid Boas & Frank Biermann & Norichika Kanie, 2016. "Cross-sectoral strategies in global sustainability governance: towards a nexus approach," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 449-464, June.
    5. E. Jamie Trammell & J. Scott Thomas & Dave Mouat & Quinn Korbulic & Scott Bassett, 2018. "Developing alternative land-use scenarios to facilitate natural resource management across jurisdictional boundaries," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 61(1), pages 64-85, January.
    6. Wichelns, Dennis, 2017. "The water-energy-food nexus: Is the increasing attention warranted, from either a research or policy perspective?," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 113-123.
    7. Daniel Cronan & E. Jamie Trammell & Andrew (Anaru) Kliskey, 2022. "Images to Evoke Decision-Making: Building Compelling Representations for Stakeholder-Driven Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-13, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Cronan & E. Jamie Trammell & Andrew Kliskey, 2023. "From Uncertainties to Solutions: A Scenario-Based Framework for an Agriculture Protection Zone in Magic Valley Idaho," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-13, April.
    2. Daniel Cronan & E. Jamie Trammell & Andrew (Anaru) Kliskey, 2022. "Images to Evoke Decision-Making: Building Compelling Representations for Stakeholder-Driven Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-13, March.

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