IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i21p13976-d954958.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Trends Shaping Western European Agrifood Systems of the Future

Author

Listed:
  • Myriam Preiss

    (Food4future (f4f), c/o Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops, 14979 Grossbeeren, Germany
    Institut Futur, Department Master Futures Studies, Freie Universität Berlin, 14195 Berlin, Germany)

  • Julia H.-M. Vogt

    (Food4future (f4f), c/o Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops, 14979 Grossbeeren, Germany
    Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops, 14979 Grossbeeren, Germany)

  • Carsten Dreher

    (Food4future (f4f), c/o Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops, 14979 Grossbeeren, Germany
    School of Business and Economics, Freie Universität Berlin, 14195 Berlin, Germany)

  • Monika Schreiner

    (Food4future (f4f), c/o Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops, 14979 Grossbeeren, Germany
    Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops, 14979 Grossbeeren, Germany)

Abstract

Western Europe’s agrifood systems are highly developed, extremely complex, and dependably produce food for billions. Securing their functionality is imperative whilst dealing with varieties of major challenges and opportunities in the future. Multiple stakeholders are involved in system transitions; therefore, synthesizing views from different scientific disciplines is essential for a robust trend analysis. Through workshops with a variety of experts, extensive research, followed by close monitoring over 5 years, we identified trends that will influence the shape of the evolving agrifood systems. Based on this, we determined which trends need addressing by agrifood research to secure the system’s future functioning. We detected nine trends with 50 sub-topics that will shape the future of Western European agrifood systems, of which 5 are classified as macro- and 4 as micro-trends. Our second objective was to improve the efforts of the stakeholders in- and outside of the agrifood area to secure functioning and further improvement through giving a comprehensive overview. This contributes to enhanced strategies for sustainable and resilient agrifood systems that produce sufficient affordable nutritious food for a planetary health diet, and hence, supporting successful implementation of selected goals from the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the European Green Deal.

Suggested Citation

  • Myriam Preiss & Julia H.-M. Vogt & Carsten Dreher & Monika Schreiner, 2022. "Trends Shaping Western European Agrifood Systems of the Future," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-18, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:13976-:d:954958
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/13976/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/13976/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maryn McKenna, 2019. "Antibiotics set to flood Florida’s troubled orange orchards," Nature, Nature, vol. 567(7748), pages 302-303, March.
    2. Declan Butler, 2013. "Fungus threatens top banana," Nature, Nature, vol. 504(7479), pages 195-196, December.
    3. de Olde, Evelien M. & Valentinov, Vladislav, 2019. "The moral complexity of agriculture: A challenge for corporate social responsibility," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 32(3), pages 413-430.
    4. Kijek, Tomasz & Nowak, Anna & Domańska, Katarzyna, 2016. "The Role of Knowledge Capital in Total Factor Productivity Changes: The Case of Agriculture in EU Countries," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 65(03), September.
    5. Maria Fitzner & Anna Fricke & Monika Schreiner & Susanne Baldermann, 2021. "Utilization of Regional Natural Brines for the Indoor Cultivation of Salicornia europaea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-12, November.
    6. Ward Anseeuw & Mathieu Boche & Thomas Breu & Markus Giger & Jann Lay & Peter Messerli & Kerstin Nolte, 2012. "Transnational land deals for agriculture in the global south," Working Papers hal-02875924, HAL.
    7. Alexandra Jurgilevich & Traci Birge & Johanna Kentala-Lehtonen & Kaisa Korhonen-Kurki & Janna Pietikäinen & Laura Saikku & Hanna Schösler, 2016. "Transition towards Circular Economy in the Food System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, January.
    8. Devi Buehler & Ranka Junge, 2016. "Global Trends and Current Status of Commercial Urban Rooftop Farming," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, October.
    9. Marco Springmann & Michael Clark & Daniel Mason-D’Croz & Keith Wiebe & Benjamin Leon Bodirsky & Luis Lassaletta & Wim Vries & Sonja J. Vermeulen & Mario Herrero & Kimberly M. Carlson & Malin Jonell & , 2018. "Options for keeping the food system within environmental limits," Nature, Nature, vol. 562(7728), pages 519-525, October.
    10. Carl E. Pray & Keith O. Fuglie, 2015. "Agricultural Research by the Private Sector," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 399-424, October.
    11. Armin Schwienbacher, 2008. "Venture capital investment practices in Europe and the United States," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 22(3), pages 195-217, September.
    12. Rovers, Anja & Christoph-Schulz, Inken & Brümmer, Nanke & Saggau, Doreen, 2017. "Trust no One? Citizens’ Concerns regarding the Pork and Dairy Supply Chain," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 2017(1), June.
    13. Miina Porkka & Matti Kummu & Stefan Siebert & Olli Varis, 2013. "From Food Insufficiency towards Trade Dependency: A Historical Analysis of Global Food Availability," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(12), pages 1-12, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Steven R. McGreevy & Christoph D. D. Rupprecht & Daniel Niles & Arnim Wiek & Michael Carolan & Giorgos Kallis & Kanang Kantamaturapoj & Astrid Mangnus & Petr Jehlička & Oliver Taherzadeh & Marlyne Sah, 2022. "Sustainable agrifood systems for a post-growth world," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(12), pages 1011-1017, December.
    2. Irene Blanco-Gutiérrez & Consuelo Varela-Ortega & Rhys Manners, 2020. "Evaluating Animal-Based Foods and Plant-Based Alternatives Using Multi-Criteria and SWOT Analyses," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-26, October.
    3. Vermunt, D.A. & Wojtynia, N. & Hekkert, M.P. & Van Dijk, J. & Verburg, R. & Verweij, P.A. & Wassen, M. & Runhaar, H., 2022. "Five mechanisms blocking the transition towards ‘nature-inclusive’ agriculture: A systemic analysis of Dutch dairy farming," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    4. Mechthild Donner & Anne Verniquet & Jan Broeze & Katrin Kayser & Hugo de Vries, 2021. "Critical success and risk factors for circular business models valorising agricultural waste and by-products," Post-Print hal-03004851, HAL.
    5. Rabah Arezki & Klaus Deininger & Harris Selod, 2015. "What Drives the Global "Land Rush"?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 207-233.
    6. Cao, Juan & Zhang, Zhao & Tao, Fulu & Chen, Yi & Luo, Xiangzhong & Xie, Jun, 2023. "Forecasting global crop yields based on El Nino Southern Oscillation early signals," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    7. Albert, Osei-Owusu Kwame & Marianne, Thomsen & Jonathan, Lindahl & Nino, Javakhishvili Larsen & Dario, Caro, 2020. "Tracking the carbon emissions of Denmark's five regions from a producer and consumer perspective," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    8. Li, Yilin & Chen, Bin & Li, Chaohui & Li, Zhi & Chen, Guoqian, 2020. "Energy perspective of Sino-US trade imbalance in global supply chains," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. António Almeida & Joana Torres & Isilda Rodrigues, 2023. "The Impact of Meat Consumption on Human Health, the Environment and Animal Welfare: Perceptions and Knowledge of Pre-Service Teachers," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-20, June.
    10. Sylvain, Dernat & Bertrand, Dumont & Dominique, Vollet, 2023. "La Grange®: A generic game to reveal trade-offs and synergies among stakeholders in livestock farming areas," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    11. Birgit Kopainsky & Anita Frehner & Adrian Müller, 2020. "Sustainable and healthy diets: Synergies and trade‐offs in Switzerland," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 908-927, November.
    12. Jones, R.E. & Speight, R.E. & Blinco, J.L. & O'Hara, I.M., 2022. "Biorefining within food loss and waste frameworks: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    13. Rob Roggema & Nico Tillie, 2022. "Realizing Emergent Ecologies: Nature-Based Solutions from Design to Implementation," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, November.
    14. Morais, Joanna & Trinh, Thi-Huong, 2017. "Impact of socioeconomic factors on nutritional diet in Vietnam from 2004 to 2014: new insights using compositional data analysis," TSE Working Papers 17-825, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    15. Filippini, Massimo & Srinivasan, Suchita, 2019. "Impact of religious participation, social interactions and globalization on meat consumption: Evidence from India," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(S1).
    16. Giorgia Giovannetti & Elisa Ticci, 2013. "Biofuel Development and Large-Scale Land Deals in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers - Economics wp2013_27.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    17. Federico Cuomo & Stefania Ravazzi & Federico Savini & Luca Bertolini, 2020. "Transformative Urban Living Labs: Towards a Circular Economy in Amsterdam and Turin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    18. Marianne Ryghaug & Michael Ornetzeder & Tomas Moe Skjølsvold & William Throndsen, 2019. "The Role of Experiments and Demonstration Projects in Efforts of Upscaling: An Analysis of Two Projects Attempting to Reconfigure Production and Consumption in Energy and Mobility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-15, October.
    19. Vayu Maini Rekdal & Casper R. B. Luijt & Yan Chen & Ramu Kakumanu & Edward E. K. Baidoo & Christopher J. Petzold & Pablo Cruz-Morales & Jay D. Keasling, 2024. "Edible mycelium bioengineered for enhanced nutritional value and sensory appeal using a modular synthetic biology toolkit," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, December.
    20. Paul Fesenfeld, Lukas & Maier, Maiken & Brazzola, Nicoletta & Stolz, Niklas & Sun, Yixian & Kachi, Aya, 2023. "How information, social norms, and experience with novel meat substitutes can create positive political feedback and demand-side policy change," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:13976-:d:954958. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.