IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i18p11231-d909378.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Neural Networks as an Alternative Tool for Predicting Fossil Fuel Dependency and GHG Production in Transport

Author

Listed:
  • Vit Malinovsky

    (Department of Mechanics and Materials, Czech Technical University in Prague, 166 36 Prague, Czech Republic)

Abstract

This paper deals with problems of the comparative analysis of results provided by the processing of predicting trends in freight transport, especially concerning dependency on fossil fuels and GHG (greenhouse gas) production. This topic has been in compliance with current requests for sustainable transport and the environment both being strongly emphasized in recent EU directions. Based on publicly available statistical data covering the selected time period, two completely different predicting methods—neural networks and mathematical statistics—are used for forecasting both of the above-mentioned trends. Obtained results are further analyzed from viewpoints of value concordance and reliability. The concluding comparative analysis summarizes the pros and cons of both approaches. Given the fact that forecasting methods generate model values representing future events whose states are unverifiable, the presented procedure can be used as a tool for verifying of their verisimilitude by means of comparing results obtained by the above-mentioned methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Vit Malinovsky, 2022. "Neural Networks as an Alternative Tool for Predicting Fossil Fuel Dependency and GHG Production in Transport," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-12, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:18:p:11231-:d:909378
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/18/11231/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/18/11231/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cristea, Anca & Hummels, David & Puzzello, Laura & Avetisyan, Misak, 2013. "Trade and the greenhouse gas emissions from international freight transport," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 153-173.
    2. Carlos Llano & Santiago Pérez-Balsalobre & Julian Pérez-García, 2018. "Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Intra-National Freight Transport: Measurement and Scenarios for Greater Sustainability in Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-33, July.
    3. Lóránt Tavasszy & Maja Piecyk, 2018. "Sustainable Freight Transport," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-4, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Đurđica Stojanović & Jelena Ivetić & Marko Veličković, 2021. "Assessment of International Trade-Related Transport CO 2 Emissions—A Logistics Responsibility Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, January.
    2. Vit Malinovsky & Tomas Subrt, 2023. "Multi-Criteria-Based Optimization Model for Sustainable Mobility and Transport," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-18, June.
    3. Nelson, Ewan & Warren, Peter, 2020. "UK transport decoupling: On track for clean growth in transport?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 39-51.
    4. Carballo, Jerónimo & Schaur, Georg & Graziano, Alejandro & Volpe Martincus, Christian, 2016. "Transit Trade," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 7688, Inter-American Development Bank.
    5. Alfredo Burlando & Anca D. Cristea & Logan M. Lee, 2015. "The Trade Consequences of Maritime Insecurity: Evidence from Somali Piracy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 525-557, August.
    6. Christian Volpe Martincus, 2016. "Out of the Border Labyrinth: An Assessment of Trade Facilitation Initiatives in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 96856, February.
    7. Yi Zheng & Huchang Liao & Xue Yang, 2016. "Stochastic Pricing and Order Model with Transportation Mode Selection for Low-Carbon Retailers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, January.
    8. Maria Serena Mancini & Mikel Evans & Katsunori Iha & Carla Danelutti & Alessandro Galli, 2018. "Assessing the Ecological Footprint of Ecotourism Packages: A Methodological Proposition," Resources, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-37, June.
    9. Christopher R. Knittel & Konstantinos Metaxoglou & Anson Soderbery & André Trindade, 2022. "Exporting global warming? Coal trade and the shale gas boom," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(3), pages 1294-1333, August.
    10. Bachmann, Christian, 2016. "Analyzing the Infrastructure Impacts of Free Trade Agreements," Conference papers 332725, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Dolabella, Marcelo & Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio, 2022. "Fighting Global Warming: Is Trade Policy in Latin America and the Caribbean a Help or a Hindrance?: Technical Appendix," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12526, Inter-American Development Bank.
    12. Koutchogna Kokou Edem Assogbavi & Stéphane Dées, 2023. "Environmental Policy and the CO2 Emissions Embodied in International Trade," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(2), pages 507-527, February.
    13. Kym Anderson, 2021. "Food policy in a more volatile climate and trade environment," Departmental Working Papers 2021-25, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    14. Berman, Nicolas & Berthou, Antoine & Héricourt, Jérôme, 2015. "Export dynamics and sales at home," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 298-310.
    15. López, Luis Antonio & Arce, Guadalupe & Zafrilla, Jorge Enrique, 2013. "Parcelling virtual carbon in the pollution haven hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 177-186.
    16. de Melo, Jaime, 2012. "Trade in a'green growth'development strategy : global scale issues and challenges," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6236, The World Bank.
    17. Dhimitri Qirjo & Razvan Pascalau, 2019. "The Role of TTIP on the Environment," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(4), pages 1262-1285, April.
    18. Udo Kreickemeier & Philipp M. Richter, 2014. "Trade and the Environment: The Role of Firm Heterogeneity," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 209-225, May.
    19. Malin Song & Nan Wu & Kaiya Wu, 2014. "Energy Consumption and Energy Efficiency of the Transportation Sector in Shanghai," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, February.
    20. J. Verschuur & E. E. Koks & J. W. Hall, 2022. "Ports’ criticality in international trade and global supply-chains," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:18:p:11231-:d:909378. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.