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A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets

Author

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  • Yianni Doumenis

    (The Claude Littner Business School, University of West London, London W5 5RF, UK)

  • Javad Izadi

    (The Claude Littner Business School, University of West London, London W5 5RF, UK)

  • Pradeep Dhamdhere

    (The Claude Littner Business School, University of West London, London W5 5RF, UK)

  • Epameinondas Katsikas

    (Kent Business School, University of Kent, Canterbury CT2 7NZ, UK)

  • Dimitrios Koufopoulos

    (The Centre for Distance Education, University of London, London WC1E 7HU, UK)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the viability as compared with other financial assets of cryptocurrencies as a currency or as an asset investment. This paper also aims to see which macro variable relates more to the price of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Since the whole concept of cryptocurrencies is quite novel, an attempt has been made to briefly explain the underlying blockchain technology that forms the bedrock of cryptocurrencies. In this study, we use secondary data, i.e., the price history of Bitcoin from September 2014 to September 2021 for the last seven years, captured from trading exchanges. We predicted monthly returns of Bitcoin with that of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500), gold, and Treasury Bonds. Our findings show that Bitcoin has very high volatility compared to S&P 500, Gold and Treasury Bonds. Also, our findings show that there is a positive correlation between Bitcoin’s price volatility and the other three financial assets before and during COVID-19. Hence, Bitcoin is acting more as a speculative asset rather than a steady store of value. This can be drawn from the comparison with the debt market i.e., a Treasury Bond that invests in long-dated (30 years) US treasuries with which Bitcoin shows no relationship. The findings of this study could help with understanding the future of Bitcoin. This has important implications for Bitcoin investors. The current study contributes to the extant literature by providing empirical evidence on long-term social sustainability vis-à-vis supply chain traceability.

Suggested Citation

  • Yianni Doumenis & Javad Izadi & Pradeep Dhamdhere & Epameinondas Katsikas & Dimitrios Koufopoulos, 2021. "A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-15, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:9:y:2021:i:11:p:207-:d:677651
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Silky Vigg Kushwah & Shab Hundal & Payal Goel, 2024. "Unveiling Interconnectedness and Volatility Transmission: A Novel GARCH Analysis of Leading Global Cryptocurrencies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 132-139, May.
    4. Larisa V. Sannikova, 2022. "Risks of Using Cryptoassets in Russia and the Potential for Mitigation," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 124-138, December.
    5. Agnese, Pablo & Rios, Francisco, 2024. "Spillover effects of energy transition metals in Chile," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Chengying He & Yong Li & Tianqi Wang & Salman Ali Shah, 2024. "Is cryptocurrency a hedging tool during economic policy uncertainty? An empirical investigation," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Mina Sami & Wael Abdallah, 2022. "Does Cryptocurrency Hurt African Firms?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, March.
    8. Papa Ousseynou Diop, 2024. "An Econometric and Time Series Analysis of the USTC Depeg’s Impact on the LUNA Classic Price Crash During Spring 2022’s Crypto Market Turmoil," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-29, December.
    9. Georgia Zournatzidou & Dimitrios Farazakis & Ioannis Mallidis & Christos Floros, 2024. "Stochastic Patterns of Bitcoin Volatility: Evidence across Measures," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-16, May.
    10. Danai Likitratcharoen & Pan Chudasring & Chakrin Pinmanee & Karawan Wiwattanalamphong, 2023. "The Efficiency of Value-at-Risk Models during Extreme Market Stress in Cryptocurrencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, March.
    11. Juhro, Solikin M. & Syarifuddin, Ferry & Sakti, Ali, 2022. "Inclusive Welfare: On The Role of Islamic Public-Social Finance and Monetary Economics," MPRA Paper 113788, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Ajithakumari Vijayappan Nair Biju & Ann Susan Thomas, 2023. "Uncertainties and ambivalence in the crypto market: an urgent need for a regional crypto regulation," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-21, August.

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