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Assessing Asset-Liability Risk with Neural Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Cheridito

    (RiskLab, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland)

  • John Ery

    (RiskLab, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland)

  • Mario V. Wüthrich

    (RiskLab, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland)

Abstract

We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given time period. This requires a conditional valuation of the portfolio given the state of the world at a later time, a problem that is particularly challenging if the portfolio contains structured products or complex insurance contracts which do not admit closed form valuation formulas. We illustrate the method on different examples from banking and insurance. We focus on value-at-risk and expected shortfall, but the approach also works for other risk measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Cheridito & John Ery & Mario V. Wüthrich, 2020. "Assessing Asset-Liability Risk with Neural Networks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:8:y:2020:i:1:p:16-:d:318508
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Calypso Herrera & Florian Krach & Josef Teichmann, 2020. "Neural Jump Ordinary Differential Equations: Consistent Continuous-Time Prediction and Filtering," Papers 2006.04727, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    2. Hainaut, Donatien & Akbaraly, Adnane, 2023. "Risk management with Local Least Squares Monte-Carlo," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023003, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    3. Alfonsi, Aurélien & Cherchali, Adel & Infante Acevedo, Jose Arturo, 2021. "Multilevel Monte-Carlo for computing the SCR with the standard formula and other stress tests," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 234-260.
    4. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Adel Cherchali & Jose Arturo Infante Acevedo, 2020. "Multilevel Monte-Carlo for computing the SCR with the standard formula and other stress tests," Papers 2010.12651, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    5. E. Lorenzo & G. Piscopo & M. Sibillo, 2024. "Addressing the economic and demographic complexity via a neural network approach: risk measures for reverse mortgages," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-22, June.

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