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An Algorithm of Management Decision-Making Regarding the Feasibility of Investing in Geological Studies of Forecasted Hydrocarbon Resources

Author

Listed:
  • Alexey Cherepovitsyn

    (Organization and Management Department, Saint-Petersburg Mining University, Saint-Petersburg 199106, Russia)

  • Dmitry Metkin

    (Scientific and Production Department, All-Russian Petroleum Research Exploration Institute, Saint-Petersburg 192102, Russia
    Institute of Industrial Management, Economics and Trade, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Saint-Petersburg 195251, Russia)

  • Alexander Gladilin

    (“EDS-Plus” Ltd., Moscow 115114, Russia)

Abstract

Currently, under the conditions of increasing depletion of hydrocarbon reserves in Russia, it is necessary to consider the resource potential of poorly-researched oil and gas objects as a factor for ensuring the sustainable development of the oil and gas complex, in the context of the concept formation of rational subsoil utilization and a circular economy. The methodology of this study is based on a clear sequence of geological and economic studies of poorly-researched oil and gas objects, including four stages, such as analysis of the raw material base, assessment of the raw material potential, determination of technological development parameters, and economic evaluation. The methods of the probabilistic estimation of oil resources of the forecasted objects with regard to geological risk are outlined. Software packages “EVA—Risk Analysis” and “EVA—Economic Evaluation of Oil and Gas Field Development Projects” were used for estimation. The result of the study is the determination of the geological and economic efficiency of the development of nine hydrocarbon objects with the determination of the order of their further geological exploration, and introduction into industrial development on the example of the poorly-researched region of the Timan-Pechora oil and gas province located in the Arctic zone.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexey Cherepovitsyn & Dmitry Metkin & Alexander Gladilin, 2018. "An Algorithm of Management Decision-Making Regarding the Feasibility of Investing in Geological Studies of Forecasted Hydrocarbon Resources," Resources, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-17, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jresou:v:7:y:2018:i:3:p:47-:d:162529
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elias G. Carayannis & Alexey E. Cherepovitsyn & Alina A. Ilinova, 2017. "Sustainable Development of the Russian Arctic zone energy shelf: the Role of the Quintuple Innovation Helix Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 8(2), pages 456-470, June.
    2. Tang, Bao-Jun & Zhou, Hui-Ling & Chen, Hao & Wang, Kai & Cao, Hong, 2017. "Investment opportunity in China's overseas oil project: An empirical analysis based on real option approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 17-26.
    3. Zhu, Lei & Zhang, ZhongXiang & Fan, Ying, 2015. "Overseas oil investment projects under uncertainty: How to make informed decisions?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 742-762.
    4. Clews, Robert, 2016. "Project Finance for the International Petroleum Industry," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780128001585.
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    Cited by:

    1. Victor Duryagin & Thang Nguyen Van & Nikita Onegov & Galiya Shamsutdinova, 2022. "Investigation of the Selectivity of the Water Shutoff Technology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Pavel Konyukhovskiy & Victoria Holodkova & Aleksander Titov, 2019. "Modeling Competition between Countries in the Development of Arctic Resources," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, March.
    3. Yury Boldyrev & Sergey Chernogorskiy & Konstantin Shvetsov & Anatoly Zherelo & Konstantin Kostin, 2019. "A Mathematical Model of Regional Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Arctic Zone," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, February.
    4. Oleg Prischepa & Yury Nefedov & Victoria Nikiforova, 2021. "Arctic Shelf Oil and Gas Prospects from Lower-Middle Paleozoic Sediments of the Timan–Pechora Oil and Gas Province Based on the Results of a Regional Study," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, December.

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