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Risk factor analysis combined with deep learning in the risk assessment of overseas investment of enterprises

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  • Xiuyan Xu

Abstract

To evaluate the overseas investment risks of enterprises and expand the application and development of deep learning methods in risk assessment, 15 national clusters are utilized as samples to analyze and discuss the overseas investment risk indicators of enterprises. First, based on the indicator system of overseas investment risks, five major types of investment risks are identified. Second, the Deep Neural Network (DNN) is introduced; a risk evaluation model is constructed for enterprise overseas investment. Finally, the investment attractiveness index in the Fraser risk assessment learning label is adopted as the evaluation results of the model. According to the classification of risks, the model is trained and its performance is tested. The results show that the major source of overseas investment risks includes basic resources, political systems, economic and financial development, and environmental protection. The corresponding risk score is high. North American country clusters and Oceanian country clusters have lower investment risks, while the investment risks in Africa, Latin America, and Asia are affected by multiple factors of the specific cities. This is closely related to the resources and legal systems possessed by the country clusters. This is of great significance for enterprises to conduct risk assessment in overseas investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiuyan Xu, 2020. "Risk factor analysis combined with deep learning in the risk assessment of overseas investment of enterprises," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-14, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0239635
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0239635
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tang, Bao-Jun & Zhou, Hui-Ling & Chen, Hao & Wang, Kai & Cao, Hong, 2017. "Investment opportunity in China's overseas oil project: An empirical analysis based on real option approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 17-26.
    2. Liu, Ximei & Zeng, Ming, 2017. "Renewable energy investment risk evaluation model based on system dynamics," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 782-788.
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