IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v11y2023i4p1041-d1072814.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Blockwise Empirical Likelihood Test for Gaussianity in Stationary Autoregressive Processes

Author

Listed:
  • Chioneso S. Marange

    (Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Agriculture, Alice Campus, Fort Hare University, Alice 5700, South Africa)

  • Yongsong Qin

    (College of Mathematics and Statistics, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Raymond T. Chiruka

    (Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Agriculture, Alice Campus, Fort Hare University, Alice 5700, South Africa)

  • Jesca M. Batidzirai

    (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, Pietermaritzburg Campus, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg 3201, South Africa)

Abstract

A new and simple blockwise empirical likelihood moment-based procedure to test if a stationary autoregressive process is Gaussian has been proposed. The proposed test utilizes the skewness and kurtosis moment constraints to develop the test statistic. The test nonparametrically accommodates the dependence in the time series data whilst exhibiting some useful properties of empirical likelihood, such as the Wilks theorem with the test statistic having a chi-square limiting distribution. A Monte Carlo simulation study shows that our proposed test has good control of type I error. The finite sample performance of the proposed test is evaluated and compared to some selected competitor tests for different sample sizes and a variety of alternative applied distributions by means of a Monte Carlo study. The results reveal that our proposed test is on average superior under the log-normal and chi-square alternatives for small to large sample sizes. Some real data studies further revealed the applicability and robustness of our proposed test in practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Chioneso S. Marange & Yongsong Qin & Raymond T. Chiruka & Jesca M. Batidzirai, 2023. "A Blockwise Empirical Likelihood Test for Gaussianity in Stationary Autoregressive Processes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-20, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:4:p:1041-:d:1072814
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/4/1041/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/4/1041/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
    2. Albert Vexler & Chengqing Wu, 2009. "An Optimal Retrospective Change Point Detection Policy," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(3), pages 542-558, September.
    3. C. S. Marange & Y. Qin, 2018. "A Simple Empirical Likelihood Ratio Test for Normality Based on the Moment Constraints of a Half-Normal Distribution," Journal of Probability and Statistics, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-10, September.
    4. Francesco Bravo, 2009. "Blockwise generalized empirical likelihood inference for non-linear dynamic moment conditions models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(2), pages 208-231, July.
    5. Lobato, Ignacio N. & Velasco, Carlos, 2004. "A Simple Test Of Normality For Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(4), pages 671-689, August.
    6. Caner, M. & Kilian, L., 2001. "Size distortions of tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity: evidence and implications for the PPP debate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 639-657, October.
    7. De Long, James Bradford & Summers, Lawrence H, 1986. "Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 1031-1044, December.
    8. Daniel J. Nordman & Philipp Sibbertsen & Soumendra N. Lahiri, 2007. "Empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the mean of a long‐range dependent process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 576-599, July.
    9. Daniel J. Nordman & Helle Bunzel & Soumendra N. Lahiri, 2012. "A Non-standard Empirical Likelihood for Time Series," CREATES Research Papers 2012-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    10. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2005. "Tests for Skewness, Kurtosis, and Normality for Time Series Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 49-60, January.
    11. Yongsong Qin & Qingzhu Lei, 2021. "Empirical Likelihood for Mixed Regressive, Spatial Autoregressive Model Based on GMM," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 83(1), pages 353-378, February.
    12. Young Min Kim & Soumendra N. Lahiri & Daniel J. Nordman, 2013. "A Progressive Block Empirical Likelihood Method for Time Series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(504), pages 1506-1516, December.
    13. Lin, Lu & Zhang, Runchu, 2001. "Blockwise empirical Euclidean likelihood for weakly dependent processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 143-152, June.
    14. Chioneso Show Marange & Yongsong Qin, 2021. "An Empirical Likelihood Ratio-Based Omnibus Test for Normality with an Adjustment for Symmetric Alternatives," Journal of Probability and Statistics, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-18, March.
    15. Gombay, Edit & Horváth, Lajos, 1994. "An application of the maximum likelihood test to the change-point problem," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 161-171, March.
    16. Ploberger, Werner & Kramer, Walter, 1992. "The CUSUM Test with OLS Residuals," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 271-285, March.
    17. Daniel J. Nordman, 2009. "Tapered empirical likelihood for time series data in time and frequency domains," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 96(1), pages 119-132.
    18. T. Subba Rao & M. M. Gabr, 1980. "A Test For Linearity Of Stationary Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(2), pages 145-158, March.
    19. Wu, Rongning & Cao, Jiguo, 2011. "Blockwise empirical likelihood for time series of counts," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 661-673, March.
    20. Francesco Bravo, 2005. "Blockwise empirical entropy tests for time series regressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 185-210, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Daniel J. Nordman & Helle Bunzel & Soumendra N. Lahiri, 2012. "A Non-standard Empirical Likelihood for Time Series," CREATES Research Papers 2012-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    2. Feifan Jiang & Lihong Wang, 2018. "Adjusted blockwise empirical likelihood for long memory time series models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 27(2), pages 319-332, June.
    3. Zacharias Psaradakis & Marián Vávra, 2017. "Normality Tests for Dependent Data: Large-Sample and Bootstrap Approaches," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1706, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    4. Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2017. "Modeling Latin-American stock and Forex markets volatility: Empirical application of a model with random level shifts and genuine long memory," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 393-420.
    5. Donghang Luo & Ke Zhu & Huan Gong & Dong Li, 2020. "Testing error distribution by kernelized Stein discrepancy in multivariate time series models," Papers 2008.00747, arXiv.org.
    6. Kontogeorgos, Georgios & Lambrias, Kyriacos, 2019. "An analysis of the Eurosystem/ECB projections," Working Paper Series 2291, European Central Bank.
    7. Psaradakis, Zacharias & Vávra, Marián, 2017. "A distance test of normality for a wide class of stationary processes," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 2(C), pages 50-60.
    8. Chen, Yi-Ting, 2012. "A simple approach to standardized-residuals-based higher-moment tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 427-453.
    9. Xianyang Zhang & Xiaofeng Shao, 2016. "On the coverage bound problem of empirical likelihood methods for time series," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(2), pages 395-421, March.
    10. James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2013. "Efficient Aggregation Of Panel Qualitative Survey Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 580-603, June.
    11. Theodore Panagiotidis & Georgios Papapanagiotou, 2024. "A note on the determinants of NFTs returns," Working Paper series 24-07, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    12. Daniel Nordman, 2008. "An empirical likelihood method for spatial regression," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 68(3), pages 351-363, November.
    13. Marian Vavra, 2016. "Testing the Validity of Assumptions of UC-ARIMA Models for Trend-Cycle Decompositions," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2016, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    14. Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2012. "Testing distributional assumptions: A GMM aproach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 978-1012, September.
    15. Hong, Yongmiao & Linton, Oliver & McCabe, Brendan & Sun, Jiajing & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "Kolmogorov–Smirnov type testing for structural breaks: A new adjusted-range based self-normalization approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    16. Mohamed Boutahar, 2010. "Behaviour of skewness, kurtosis and normality tests in long memory data," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 19(2), pages 193-215, June.
    17. Tincho Almuzara & Dante Amengual & Enrique Sentana, 2017. "Normality Tests for Latent Variables," Working Papers wp2018_1708, CEMFI.
    18. Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
    19. Thanasis Stengos & Ximing Wu, 2010. "Information-Theoretic Distribution Test with Application to Normality," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 307-329.
    20. Wu, Rongning & Cao, Jiguo, 2011. "Blockwise empirical likelihood for time series of counts," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 661-673, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:4:p:1041-:d:1072814. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.