IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v10y2022i15p2551-d869171.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Game Theory and an Improved Maximum Entropy-Attribute Measure Interval Model for Predicting Rockburst Intensity

Author

Listed:
  • Yakun Zhao

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

  • Jianhong Chen

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

  • Shan Yang

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

  • Zhe Liu

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

Abstract

To improve the accuracy of predicting rockburst intensity, game theory and an improved maximum entropy-attribute measure interval model were established. First, by studying the mechanism of rockburst and typical cases, rock uniaxial compressive strength σ c , rock compression-tension ratio σ c / σ t , rock shear compression ratio σ θ / σ c , rock elastic deformation coefficient W e t , and rock integrity coefficient K v were selected as indexes for predicting rockburst intensity. Second, by combining the maximum entropy principle with the attribute measure interval and using the minimum distance D i − k between sample and class as the guide, the entropy solution of the attribute measure was obtained, which eliminates the greyness and ambiguity of the rockburst indexes to the maximum extent. Third, using the compromise coefficient to integrate the comprehensive attribute measure, which avoids the ambiguity about the number of attribute measure intervals. Fourth, from the essence of measurement theory, the Euclidean distance formula was used to improve the attribute identification mode, which overcomes the effect of the confidence coefficient taking on the results. Moreover, in order to balance the shortcomings of the subjective weights of the Analytic Hierarchy Process and the objective weights of the CRITIC method, game theory was used for the combined weights, which balances experts’ experience and the amount of data information. Finally, 20 sets of typical cases for rockburst in the world were selected as samples. On the one hand, the reasonableness of the combined weights of indexes was analyzed; on the other hand, the results of this paper’s model were compared with the three analytical models for predicting rockburst, and this paper’s model had the lowest number of misjudged samples and an accuracy rate of 80%, which was better than other models, verifying the accuracy and applicability.

Suggested Citation

  • Yakun Zhao & Jianhong Chen & Shan Yang & Zhe Liu, 2022. "Game Theory and an Improved Maximum Entropy-Attribute Measure Interval Model for Predicting Rockburst Intensity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-22, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:15:p:2551-:d:869171
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/15/2551/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/15/2551/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zaobao Liu & Jianfu Shao & Weiya Xu & Yongdong Meng, 2013. "Prediction of rock burst classification using the technique of cloud models with attribution weight," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(2), pages 549-568, September.
    2. Diyuan Li & Zida Liu & Danial Jahed Armaghani & Peng Xiao & Jian Zhou, 2022. "Novel Ensemble Tree Solution for Rockburst Prediction Using Deep Forest," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Huimin Xiao & Meiqi Wang & Xiaoning Xi, 2020. "A Consistency Check Method for Trusted Hesitant Fuzzy Sets with Confidence Levels Based on a Distance Measure," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-7, October.
    4. Shitan Gu & Changpeng Chen & Bangyou Jiang & Ke Ding & Huajian Xiao, 2022. "Study on the Pressure Relief Mechanism and Engineering Application of Segmented Enlarged-Diameter Boreholes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, April.
    5. Vashishtha, Sanjay & Ramachandran, M., 2006. "Multicriteria evaluation of demand side management (DSM) implementation strategies in the Indian power sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 2210-2225.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhe Liu & Jianhong Chen & Yakun Zhao & Shan Yang, 2023. "A Novel Method for Predicting Rockburst Intensity Based on an Improved Unascertained Measurement and an Improved Game Theory," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-18, April.
    2. Jianhong Chen & Yakun Zhao & Zhe Liu & Shan Yang & Zhiyong Zhou, 2023. "Prediction of Rockburst Propensity Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set—Multisource Combined Weights—Improved Attribute Measurement Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-22, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qinghe Zhang & Weiguo Li & Liang Yuan & Tianle Zheng & Zhiwei Liang & Xiaorui Wang, 2024. "A review of tunnel rockburst prediction methods based on static and dynamic indicators," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(12), pages 10465-10512, September.
    2. Shaofeng Wang & Xin Cai & Jian Zhou & Zhengyang Song & Xiaofeng Li, 2022. "Analytical, Numerical and Big-Data-Based Methods in Deep Rock Mechanics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(18), pages 1-5, September.
    3. Yumin Wang & Xian’e Zhang & Yifeng Wu, 2020. "Eutrophication Assessment Based on the Cloud Matter Element Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Yuantian Sun & Guichen Li & Sen Yang, 2021. "Rockburst Interpretation by a Data-Driven Approach: A Comparative Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-13, November.
    5. Morteza Zare Oskouei & Ayşe Aybike Şeker & Süleyman Tunçel & Emin Demirbaş & Tuba Gözel & Mehmet Hakan Hocaoğlu & Mehdi Abapour & Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo, 2022. "A Critical Review on the Impacts of Energy Storage Systems and Demand-Side Management Strategies in the Economic Operation of Renewable-Based Distribution Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-34, February.
    6. Khanna, Tarun M., 2022. "Using agricultural demand for reducing costs of renewable energy integration in India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    7. Kanitkar, Tejal & Banerjee, Rangan & Jayaraman, T., 2019. "An integrated modeling framework for energy economy and emissions modeling: A case for India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 670-679.
    8. Wang, Bing & Kocaoglu, Dundar F. & Daim, Tugrul U. & Yang, Jiting, 2010. "A decision model for energy resource selection in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(11), pages 7130-7141, November.
    9. Jun Dong & Rong Li & Hui Huang, 2018. "Performance Evaluation of Residential Demand Response Based on a Modified Fuzzy VIKOR and Scalable Computing Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-27, April.
    10. K. Cheng & Q. Fu & J. Meng & T. X. Li & W. Pei, 2018. "Analysis of the Spatial Variation and Identification of Factors Affecting the Water Resources Carrying Capacity Based on the Cloud Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(8), pages 2767-2781, June.
    11. Keyou Shi & Yong Liu & Weizhang Liang, 2022. "An Extended ORESTE Approach for Evaluating Rockburst Risk under Uncertain Environments," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, May.
    12. Alasseri, Rajeev & Tripathi, Ashish & Joji Rao, T. & Sreekanth, K.J., 2017. "A review on implementation strategies for demand side management (DSM) in Kuwait through incentive-based demand response programs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 617-635.
    13. Dzene, Ilze & Rošā, Marika & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2011. "How to select appropriate measures for reductions in negative environmental impact? Testing a screening method on a regional energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1878-1883.
    14. Zhe Liu & Jianhong Chen & Yakun Zhao & Shan Yang, 2023. "A Novel Method for Predicting Rockburst Intensity Based on an Improved Unascertained Measurement and an Improved Game Theory," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-18, April.
    15. Weijun Liu & Zhixiang Liu & Zida Liu & Shuai Xiong & Shuangxia Zhang, 2023. "Random Forest and Whale Optimization Algorithm to Predict the Invalidation Risk of Backfilling Pipeline," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-19, March.
    16. Mehmet Yüksel, 2019. "A Model Proposal for the Evaluation of Chemistry Education in the Context of Learning Environment," Asian Journal of Education and Training, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 5(3), pages 488-494.
    17. Ning Li & R. Jimenez, 2018. "A logistic regression classifier for long-term probabilistic prediction of rock burst hazard," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(1), pages 197-215, January.
    18. Jian Zhou & Xibing Li & Hani Mitri, 2015. "Comparative performance of six supervised learning methods for the development of models of hard rock pillar stability prediction," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(1), pages 291-316, October.
    19. Guangliang Feng & Guoqing Xia & Bingrui Chen & Yaxun Xiao & Ruichen Zhou, 2019. "A Method for Rockburst Prediction in the Deep Tunnels of Hydropower Stations Based on the Monitored Microseismicity and an Optimized Probabilistic Neural Network Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-17, June.
    20. Sophie Marchand & Cristian Monsalve & Thorsten Reimann & Wolfram Heckmann & Jakob Ungerland & Hagen Lauer & Stephan Ruhe & Christoph Krauß, 2021. "Microgrid Systems: Towards a Technical Performance Assessment Frame," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:15:p:2551-:d:869171. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.