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Game Theory and an Improved Maximum Entropy-Attribute Measure Interval Model for Predicting Rockburst Intensity

Author

Listed:
  • Yakun Zhao

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

  • Jianhong Chen

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

  • Shan Yang

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

  • Zhe Liu

    (School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)

Abstract

To improve the accuracy of predicting rockburst intensity, game theory and an improved maximum entropy-attribute measure interval model were established. First, by studying the mechanism of rockburst and typical cases, rock uniaxial compressive strength σ c , rock compression-tension ratio σ c / σ t , rock shear compression ratio σ θ / σ c , rock elastic deformation coefficient W e t , and rock integrity coefficient K v were selected as indexes for predicting rockburst intensity. Second, by combining the maximum entropy principle with the attribute measure interval and using the minimum distance D i − k between sample and class as the guide, the entropy solution of the attribute measure was obtained, which eliminates the greyness and ambiguity of the rockburst indexes to the maximum extent. Third, using the compromise coefficient to integrate the comprehensive attribute measure, which avoids the ambiguity about the number of attribute measure intervals. Fourth, from the essence of measurement theory, the Euclidean distance formula was used to improve the attribute identification mode, which overcomes the effect of the confidence coefficient taking on the results. Moreover, in order to balance the shortcomings of the subjective weights of the Analytic Hierarchy Process and the objective weights of the CRITIC method, game theory was used for the combined weights, which balances experts’ experience and the amount of data information. Finally, 20 sets of typical cases for rockburst in the world were selected as samples. On the one hand, the reasonableness of the combined weights of indexes was analyzed; on the other hand, the results of this paper’s model were compared with the three analytical models for predicting rockburst, and this paper’s model had the lowest number of misjudged samples and an accuracy rate of 80%, which was better than other models, verifying the accuracy and applicability.

Suggested Citation

  • Yakun Zhao & Jianhong Chen & Shan Yang & Zhe Liu, 2022. "Game Theory and an Improved Maximum Entropy-Attribute Measure Interval Model for Predicting Rockburst Intensity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-22, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:15:p:2551-:d:869171
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zaobao Liu & Jianfu Shao & Weiya Xu & Yongdong Meng, 2013. "Prediction of rock burst classification using the technique of cloud models with attribution weight," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(2), pages 549-568, September.
    2. Diyuan Li & Zida Liu & Danial Jahed Armaghani & Peng Xiao & Jian Zhou, 2022. "Novel Ensemble Tree Solution for Rockburst Prediction Using Deep Forest," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-23, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhe Liu & Jianhong Chen & Yakun Zhao & Shan Yang, 2023. "A Novel Method for Predicting Rockburst Intensity Based on an Improved Unascertained Measurement and an Improved Game Theory," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-18, April.
    2. Jianhong Chen & Yakun Zhao & Zhe Liu & Shan Yang & Zhiyong Zhou, 2023. "Prediction of Rockburst Propensity Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set—Multisource Combined Weights—Improved Attribute Measurement Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-22, August.

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