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Evaluation of Resource and Environmental Carrying Capacity of China’s Rapid-Urbanization Areas—A Case Study of Xinbei District, Changzhou

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  • Kaiyuan Li

    (School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
    Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
    Department of Landscape Architecture and Environmental Planning, Wurster Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA)

  • Xiaolong Jin

    (School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
    Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China)

  • Danxun Ma

    (School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
    Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China)

  • Penghui Jiang

    (School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China
    Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China)

Abstract

The evaluation of resource and environmental carrying capacity (RECC) is the foundation for the rationale behind the arrangement of land spaces for production, living, and ecological uses. In this study, based on various natural, economic, and social factors, an integrated Multi-Factor assessment model was developed to evaluate the RECC of Xinbei district of Changzhou. Meanwhile, we also calculated the population carrying capacity estimation model restricted by food security. The study comprehensively analyzed the current status and land resource characteristics of a rapid urbanization area and the RECC restrictions for protection and development. The results indicate that the comprehensive carrying capacity of Xinbei showed distinct spatial heterogeneity, with a decreasing trend from the riverside protection area to urban areas, then to mountain areas. Combined with the secure food supply provided by future land resources, it was estimated that the population carrying index of Xinbei would be as high as 1.25 and 1.22 in 2035 and 2050, respectively, indicating that both years would experience a population overload. Therefore, an urgent adjustment to the structure and layout of territorial space and resources of the Xinbei District is necessary.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaiyuan Li & Xiaolong Jin & Danxun Ma & Penghui Jiang, 2019. "Evaluation of Resource and Environmental Carrying Capacity of China’s Rapid-Urbanization Areas—A Case Study of Xinbei District, Changzhou," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:8:y:2019:i:4:p:69-:d:224784
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    References listed on IDEAS

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