IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v11y2022i2p278-d747534.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessment on Land-Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Countries in Central Asia from the Perspective of Self-Supplied Agricultural Products

Author

Listed:
  • Yuhan Zhao

    (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), No. 12 Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Yongxun Zhang

    (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), No. 12 Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Xiande Li

    (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), No. 12 Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China)

  • Chen Qian

    (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), No. 12 Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China)

Abstract

Despite the declining hunger in Central Asia, food insecurity remains an important issue due to the dry climate. Taking Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan as examples, this study assesses their land-water resources carrying capacity in 1999, 2009, and 2018, on the premise that agricultural water and farmland are spatially matched based on the “buckets effect”, using the ecological footprint and water footprint methods. Results show the following: (1) the total farmland area in Central Asia is sufficient to achieve food self-sufficiency; the available farmland area is 2.45 times that of the farmland required for self-sufficiency in 1999, which decreased to 1.71 times in 2009, but slightly increased to 1.92 times in 2018. Specifically, Kazakhstan maintains a surplus of more than 15 × 10 6 ha in farmland, while the other 4 countries could not achieve self-sufficiency. (2) The water resources pressure rises; the available agricultural water resource (AAWR) in Central Asia is 3.07 times that of the water demand for agricultural irrigation (WDAI), and 3.06 times that of the water demand for irrigation and environmental purification (WDIEP) in 1999, which decreased to 1.69 times of WDAI and to 1.60 times of WDIEP in 2018. Tajikistan has the highest level of water surplus, followed by Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan do not have enough water to sustain agricultural production. (3) The trend of land-water resources carrying capacity declines in Central Asia. In 1999, 2009, and 2018, the land-water resources could support the population’s food demand in this region when only considering farmland matched with WDAI. However, the population carrying capacity deficit would emerge if we considered the matching farmland with WDIEP.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuhan Zhao & Yongxun Zhang & Xiande Li & Chen Qian, 2022. "Assessment on Land-Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Countries in Central Asia from the Perspective of Self-Supplied Agricultural Products," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:2:p:278-:d:747534
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/2/278/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/2/278/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ahmed, Shamseddin Musa, 2020. "Impacts of drought, food security policy and climate change on performance of irrigation schemes in Sub-saharan Africa: The case of Sudan," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    2. Petrick, Martin & Gramzow, Andreas & Oshakbaev, Dauren & Wandel, Jürgen, 2014. "A policy agenda for agricultural development in Kazakhstan," IAMO Policy Briefs 15, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    3. Sun, J. & Li, Y.P. & Suo, C. & Liu, Y.R., 2019. "Impacts of irrigation efficiency on agricultural water-land nexus system management under multiple uncertainties—A case study in Amu Darya River basin, Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 76-88.
    4. Kawabata, Mariko & Berardo, Andrea & Mattei, Paolo & de Pee, Saskia, 2020. "Food security and nutrition challenges in Tajikistan: Opportunities for a systems approach," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mengjiao Wang & Xiaofang Xu & Liyuan Zheng & Xiaolu Xu & Yukuo Zhang, 2023. "Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Development and Water Resources–Ecological Management Capacity in China Based on Nighttime Lighting Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-19, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, S.Q. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Ding, Y.K. & Yang, X., 2023. "Developing a copula-based input-output method for analyzing energy-water nexus of Tajikistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    2. Giuseppe Lucio Gaeta & Stefano Ghinoi & Matteo Masotti & Francesco Silvestri, 2021. "Economics research and climate change. A Scopus-based bibliometric investigation," SEEDS Working Papers 0321, SEEDS, Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, revised Apr 2021.
    3. Zuo, Qiting & Wu, Qingsong & Yu, Lei & Li, Yongping & Fan, Yurui, 2021. "Optimization of uncertain agricultural management considering the framework of water, energy and food," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    4. Hipólito-Valencia, Brígido J. & Mosqueda-Jiménez, Francisco Waldemar & Barajas-Fernández, Juan & Ponce-Ortega, José M., 2021. "Incorporating a seawater desalination scheme in the optimal water use in agricultural activities," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    5. Hamidov, Ahmad & Helming, Katharina & Balla, Dagmar, 2014. "Research on Land Use Functions in Central Asia: A bibliometric analysis," ReCCA-Conference 2014 212555, Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    6. Fabien Muhirwa & Lei Shen & Ayman Elshkaki & Kgosietsile Velempini & Hubert Hirwa & Shuai Zhong & Aderiana Mutheu Mbandi, 2021. "Decoupling Energy, Water, and Food Resources Production from GHG Emissions: A Footprint Perspective Review of Africa from 1990 to 2017," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-20, October.
    7. Fei, Rilong & Lin, Ziyi & Chunga, Joseph, 2021. "How land transfer affects agricultural land use efficiency: Evidence from China’s agricultural sector," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    8. repec:zbw:iamodp:253397 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Tleubayev, Alisher & Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Götz, Linde & Hockmann, Heinrich & Glauben, Thomas, 2017. "Determinants of productivity and efficiency of wheat production in Kazakhstan: A stochastic frontier approach [Determinanten von Produktivität und Effizienz der Weizenproduktion in Kasachstan: Ein ," IAMO Discussion Papers 160, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    10. Martin Petrick & Dauren Oshakbayev & Regina Taitukova & Nodir Djanibekov, 2017. "The return of the regulator: Kazakhstan’s cotton sector reforms since independence," Central Asian Survey, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 430-452, October.
    11. Zheng Wang & Yue Huang & Tie Liu & Chanjuan Zan & Yunan Ling & Chenyu Guo, 2022. "Analysis of the Water Demand-Supply Gap and Scarcity Index in Lower Amu Darya River Basin, Central Asia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(2), pages 1-18, January.
    12. Kamal Abdelrahim Mohamed Shuka & Wang Ke & Mohammad Sohail Nazar & Ghali Abdullahi Abubakar & AmirReza Shahtahamssebi, 2022. "Impact of Hydrological Infrastructure Projects on Land Use/Cover and Socioeconomic Development in Arid Regions—Evidence from the Upper Atbara and Setit Dam Complex, Kassala, Eastern Sudan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-23, March.
    13. Mohamed Mehana & Mohamed Abdelrahman & Yasmin Emadeldin & Jai S. Rohila & Raghupathy Karthikeyan, 2021. "Impact of Genetic Improvements of Rice on Its Water Use and Effects of Climate Variability in Egypt," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, September.
    14. Ashenafi Woldeselassie & Nigussie Dechassa & Yibekal Alemayehu & Tamado Tana & Bobe Bedadi, 2021. "Soil and Water Management Practices as a Strategy to Cope with Climate Change Effects in Smallholder Potato Production in the Eastern Highlands of Ethiopia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, June.
    15. Wenqi Xie & Gang Zhou & Haijuan Yang & Xin Chen & Chao Wang & Jieying Ji, 2023. "Response of Food Production and Trade to the Global Socio-Ecological System Network," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, September.
    16. Olimjon Saidmamatov & Orifjon Saidmamatov & Yuldoshboy Sobirov & Peter Marty & Davron Ruzmetov & Temur Berdiyorov & Javlon Karimov & Ergash Ibadullaev & Umidjon Matyakubov & Jonathon Day, 2024. "Nexus between Life Expectancy, CO 2 Emissions, Economic Development, Water, and Agriculture in Aral Sea Basin: Empirical Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-16, March.
    17. Wang, Yu & Lu, Yanli & Xu, Ye & Zheng, Lijun & Fan, Yurui, 2023. "A factorial inexact copula stochastic programming (FICSP) approach for water-energy- food nexus system management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    18. Lilin Zou & Xumin Zheng & Yongsheng Wang, 2022. "Spatial‐temporal evolution and influence factors of China’s agricultural non‐point source pollution discharge intensity in recent 40 years," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(3), pages 1170-1189, September.
    19. Liu, Yansui & Zou, Lilin & Wang, Yongsheng, 2020. "Spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of agricultural eco-efficiency in China in recent 40 years," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    20. Ayansina Ayanlade & Isaac A. Oluwatimilehin & Oluwatoyin S. Ayanlade & Olajumoke Adeyeye & Sa’adatu Abatemi-Usman, 2023. "Gendered vulnerabilities to climate change and farmers’ adaptation responses in Kwara and Nassarawa States, Nigeria," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, December.
    21. Petrick, Martin & Pomfret, Richard, 2016. "Agricultural policies in Kazakhstan [Agrarpolitik in Kasachstan]," IAMO Discussion Papers 155, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:2:p:278-:d:747534. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.