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Long-Term Trends in Shooting Performance in the NBA: An Analysis of Two- and Three-Point Shooting across 40 Consecutive Seasons

Author

Listed:
  • Tomasz Zając

    (Human Performance Laboratory, The Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education in Katowice, Mikołowska 72A, 40-065 Katowice, Poland)

  • Kazimierz Mikołajec

    (Department of Basketball and Football, The Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education in Katowice, Mikołowska 72A, 40-065 Katowice, Poland)

  • Paweł Chmura

    (Department of Team Games, Wrocław University of Health and Sport Sciences, I.J., Paderewskiego 35, 51-612 Wrocław, Poland)

  • Marek Konefał

    (Department of Biological and Motor Sport Bases, Wrocław University of Health and Sport Sciences, I.J., Paderewskiego 35, 51-612 Wrocław, Poland)

  • Michał Krzysztofik

    (Institute of Sport Sciences, The Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education in Katowice, 40-065 Katowice, Poland)

  • Piotr Makar

    (Faculty of Physical Education, Gdańsk University of Physical Education and Sport, 80-336 Gdańsk, Poland)

Abstract

This study aims to depict two-point and three-point shooting trends and explore their influence on game outcomes in the NBA across 40 consecutive seasons. Therefore, the following game-related statistics were considered: total points per game (PPG), games played (GP), field goals made (FGM), field goal attempts (FGA), field goal percentage (FG%), two-point field goals made (2PM), two-point field goal attempts (2PA), two-point field goal percentage (2P%), three-point field goals made (3PM), three-point field goal attempts (3PA), three-point field goal percentage (3P%), and a three-point field goal to two-point field goal ratio (3P/2P). The fixed-base indexes and inter-decade ANOVAs or Friedman tests were used as the main statistical tools. The number of 3PA significantly increased over time, while the number of 2PA decreased. A significant increase in 3P% was also observed, whereas 2P% remained relatively stable over the analyzed period. This study also revealed a higher number of ball possessions and more points scored per game, especially in the last decade of NBA competition.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz Zając & Kazimierz Mikołajec & Paweł Chmura & Marek Konefał & Michał Krzysztofik & Piotr Makar, 2023. "Long-Term Trends in Shooting Performance in the NBA: An Analysis of Two- and Three-Point Shooting across 40 Consecutive Seasons," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-12, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:20:y:2023:i:3:p:1924-:d:1042674
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Jorge Malarranha & Bruno Figueira & Nuno Leite & Jaime Sampaio, 2013. "Dynamic Modeling of Performance in Basketball," International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 377-387, August.
    4. Martí Casals & A. Jose Martinez, 2013. "Modelling player performance in basketball through mixed models," International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 64-82, April.
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