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Dynamic Modeling of Performance in Basketball

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge Malarranha
  • Bruno Figueira
  • Nuno Leite
  • Jaime Sampaio

Abstract

The aim of this study was to identify the intra-game variation from four performance indicators that determine the outcome of basketball games, controlling for quality of opposition. All seventy-four games of the Basketball World Championship (Turkey 2010) were analyzed to calculate the performance indicators in eight 5-minute periods. A repeated measures ANOVA was performed to identify differences in time and game outcome for each performance indicator. The quality of opposition was included in the models as covariable. The effective field goal percentage (F=14.0 p <.001, η2=.09) influenced the game outcome throughout the game, while the offensive rebounds percentage (F=7.6 p <.05, η2=.05) had greater influence in the second half. The offensive (F=6.3, p <.05, η2=.04) and defensive (F=12.0, p <.001, η2=.08) ratings also influenced the outcome of the games. These results may allow coaches to have more accurate information aimed to prepare their teams for the competition.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Malarranha & Bruno Figueira & Nuno Leite & Jaime Sampaio, 2013. "Dynamic Modeling of Performance in Basketball," International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 377-387, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rpanxx:v:13:y:2013:i:2:p:377-387
    DOI: 10.1080/24748668.2013.11868655
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jaime Sampaio & Tim McGarry & Julio Calleja-González & Sergio Jiménez Sáiz & Xavi Schelling i del Alcázar & Mindaugas Balciunas, 2015. "Exploring Game Performance in the National Basketball Association Using Player Tracking Data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-14, July.
    2. Tomasz Zając & Kazimierz Mikołajec & Paweł Chmura & Marek Konefał & Michał Krzysztofik & Piotr Makar, 2023. "Long-Term Trends in Shooting Performance in the NBA: An Analysis of Two- and Three-Point Shooting across 40 Consecutive Seasons," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-12, January.
    3. Shaoliang Zhang & Miguel Ángel Gomez & Qing Yi & Rui Dong & Anthony Leicht & Alberto Lorenzo, 2020. "Modelling the Relationship between Match Outcome and Match Performances during the 2019 FIBA Basketball World Cup: A Quantile Regression Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-11, August.
    4. Jorge Serna & Verónica Muñoz-Arroyave & Jaume March-Llanes & M. Teresa Anguera & Queralt Prat & Aaron Rillo-Albert & David Falcón & Pere Lavega-Burgués, 2021. "Effect of Ball Screen and One-on-One on the Level of Opposition and Effectiveness of Shots in the ACB," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-16, March.

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