IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v18y2021i12p6186-d570798.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial-Temporal Changes and Associated Determinants of Global Heating Degree Days

Author

Listed:
  • Yuanzheng Li

    (School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Academician Laboratory for Urban and Rural Spatial Data Mining of Henan Province, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Jinyuan Li

    (School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Ao Xu

    (School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Zhizhi Feng

    (School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Chanjuan Hu

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences, Henan Academy of Sciences, Zhengzhou 450052, China)

  • Guosong Zhao

    (School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China)

Abstract

The heating degree days (HDDs) could indicate the climate impact on energy consumption and thermal environment conditions effectively during the winter season. Nevertheless, studies on the spatial-temporal changes in global HDDs and their determinants are scarce. This study used multi-source data and several methods to explore the rules of the spatial distribution of global HDDs and their interannual changes over the past 49 years and some critical determinants. The results show that global HDDs generally became larger in regions with higher latitudes and altitudes. Most global change rates of HDDs were negative ( p < 0.10) and decreased to a greater extent in areas with higher latitudes. Most global HDDs showed sustainability trends in the future. Both the HDDs and their change rates were significantly partially correlated with latitude, altitude, mean albedo, and EVI during winter, annual mean PM 2.5 concentration, and nighttime light intensity ( p = 0.000). The HDDs and their change rates could be simulated well by the machine learning method. Their RMSEs were 564.08 °C * days and 3.59 °C * days * year −1 , respectively. Our findings could support the scientific response to climate warming, the construction of living environments, sustainable development, etc.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanzheng Li & Jinyuan Li & Ao Xu & Zhizhi Feng & Chanjuan Hu & Guosong Zhao, 2021. "Spatial-Temporal Changes and Associated Determinants of Global Heating Degree Days," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(12), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:12:p:6186-:d:570798
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/12/6186/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/12/6186/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eugenia Kalnay & Ming Cai, 2003. "Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6939), pages 528-531, May.
    2. Costa, Andrea & Keane, Marcus M. & Torrens, J. Ignacio & Corry, Edward, 2013. "Building operation and energy performance: Monitoring, analysis and optimisation toolkit," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 310-316.
    3. Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam & Itmam Ahmed & Md. Siddiqur Rahman, 2020. "Trends in cooling and heating degree-days overtimes in Bangladesh? An investigation of the possible causes of changes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(3), pages 879-909, April.
    4. Isaac, Morna & van Vuuren, Detlef P., 2009. "Modeling global residential sector energy demand for heating and air conditioning in the context of climate change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 507-521, February.
    5. Morakinyo, Tobi Eniolu & Ren, Chao & Shi, Yuan & Lau, Kevin Ka-Lun & Tong, Hang-Wai & Choy, Chun-Wing & Ng, Edward, 2019. "Estimates of the impact of extreme heat events on cooling energy demand in Hong Kong," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 73-84.
    6. Kevin E. Trenberth, 2004. "Rural land-use change and climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 427(6971), pages 213-213, January.
    7. Atalla, Tarek & Gualdi, Silvio & Lanza, Alessandro, 2018. "A global degree days database for energy-related applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1048-1055.
    8. Li, Xian-Xiang, 2018. "Linking residential electricity consumption and outdoor climate in a tropical city," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 734-743.
    9. Karin Lundgren Kownacki & Chuansi Gao & Kalev Kuklane & Aneta Wierzbicka, 2019. "Heat Stress in Indoor Environments of Scandinavian Urban Areas: A Literature Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-18, February.
    10. Waite, Michael & Cohen, Elliot & Torbey, Henri & Piccirilli, Michael & Tian, Yu & Modi, Vijay, 2017. "Global trends in urban electricity demands for cooling and heating," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 786-802.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuanzheng Li & Wenjing Wang & Yating Wang & Yashu Xin & Tian He & Guosong Zhao, 2020. "A Review of Studies Involving the Effects of Climate Change on the Energy Consumption for Building Heating and Cooling," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-18, December.
    2. Wang, Manyu & Wei, Chu, 2024. "Toward sustainable heating: Assessment of the carbon mitigation potential from residential heating in northern rural China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    3. Jinling Quan, 2019. "Multi-Temporal Effects of Urban Forms and Functions on Urban Heat Islands Based on Local Climate Zone Classification," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-35, June.
    4. Francesco Pietro Colelli & Johannes Emmerling & Giacomo Marangoni & Malcolm N. Mistry & Enrica Cian, 2022. "Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Azad Rasul & Ramesh Ningthoujam, 2021. "Snow cover and vegetation greenness with leaf water content control the global land surface temperature," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(10), pages 14722-14748, October.
    6. Iain Staffell & Stefan Pfenninger & Nathan Johnson, 2023. "A global model of hourly space heating and cooling demand at multiple spatial scales," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 8(12), pages 1328-1344, December.
    7. Li, Xiaoma & Zhou, Yuyu & Yu, Sha & Jia, Gensuo & Li, Huidong & Li, Wenliang, 2019. "Urban heat island impacts on building energy consumption: A review of approaches and findings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 407-419.
    8. Castillo, Victhalia Zapata & Boer, Harmen-Sytze de & Muñoz, Raúl Maícas & Gernaat, David E.H.J. & Benders, René & van Vuuren, Detlef, 2022. "Future global electricity demand load curves," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    9. Hannu S. Laine & Jyri Salpakari & Erin E. Looney & Hele Savin & Ian Marius Peters & Tonio Buonassisi, 2019. "Meeting Global Cooling Demand with Photovoltaics during the 21st Century," Papers 1902.10080, arXiv.org.
    10. Ahmad Murtaza Ershad & Robert Pietzcker & Falko Ueckerdt & Gunnar Luderer, 2020. "Managing Power Demand from Air Conditioning Benefits Solar PV in India Scenarios for 2040," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-19, May.
    11. Nishijima, Daisuke, 2017. "The role of technology, product lifetime, and energy efficiency in climate mitigation: A case study of air conditioners in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 340-347.
    12. Xiaoqing Lin & Chunyan Lu & Kaishan Song & Ying Su & Yifan Lei & Lianxiu Zhong & Yibin Gao, 2020. "Analysis of Coupling Coordination Variance between Urbanization Quality and Eco-Environment Pressure: A Case Study of the West Taiwan Strait Urban Agglomeration, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-19, March.
    13. Chen, Han & Huang, Ye & Shen, Huizhong & Chen, Yilin & Ru, Muye & Chen, Yuanchen & Lin, Nan & Su, Shu & Zhuo, Shaojie & Zhong, Qirui & Wang, Xilong & Liu, Junfeng & Li, Bengang & Tao, Shu, 2016. "Modeling temporal variations in global residential energy consumption and pollutant emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 820-829.
    14. Yang, Yuanyuan & Bao, Wenkai & Liu, Yansui, 2020. "Scenario simulation of land system change in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    15. Dereje S. Ayou & Valerie Eveloy, 2020. "Integration of Municipal Air-Conditioning, Power, and Gas Supplies Using an LNG Cold Exergy-Assisted Kalina Cycle System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-31, September.
    16. Florian Knobloch & Hector Pollitt & Unnada Chewpreecha & Vassilis Daioglou & Jean-Francois Mercure, 2017. "Simulating the deep decarbonisation of residential heating for limiting global warming to 1.5C," Papers 1710.11019, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
    17. Ahmed, Khalid, 2015. "The sheer scale of China’s urban renewal and CO2 emissions: Multiple structural breaks, long-run relationship and short-run dynamics," MPRA Paper 71035, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Anne A. Gharaibeh & Esra’a M. Al.Zu’bi & Lama B. Abuhassan, 2019. "Amman ( City of Waters ); Policy, Land Use, and Character Changes," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-25, December.
    19. François Cohen & Matthieu Glachant & Magnus Söderberg, 2017. "The cost of adapting to climate change: evidence from the US residential sector," Working Papers hal-01695171, HAL.
    20. Yau, Y.H. & Pean, H.L., 2011. "The climate change impact on air conditioner system and reliability in Malaysia—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4939-4949.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:12:p:6186-:d:570798. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.