Soil Sample Assay Uncertainty and the Geographic Distribution of Contaminants: Error Impacts on Syracuse Trace Metal Soil Loading Analysis Results

A research team collected 3609 useful soil samples across the city of Syracuse, NY; this data collection fieldwork occurred during the two consecutive summers (mid-May to mid-August) of 2003 and 2004. Each soil sample had fifteen heavy metals (As, Cr, Cu, Co, Fe, Hg, Mo, Mn, Ni, Pb, Rb, Se, Sr, Zn, and Zr), measured during its assaying; errors for these measurements are analyzed in this paper, with an objective of contributing to the geography of error literature. Geochemistry measurements are in milligrams of heavy metal per kilogram of soil, or ppm, together with accompanying analytical measurement errors. The purpose of this paper is to summarize and portray the geographic distribution of these selected heavy metals measurement errors across the city of Syracuse. Doing so both illustrates the value of the SAAR software’s uncertainty mapping module and uncovers heavy metal characteristics in the geographic distribution of Syracuse’s soil. In addition to uncertainty visualization portraying and indicating reliability information about heavy metal levels and their geographic patterns, SAAR also provides optimized map classifications of heavy metal levels based upon their uncertainty (utilizing the Sun-Wong separability criterion) as well as an optimality criterion that simultaneously accounts for heavy metal levels and their affiliated uncertainty. One major outcome is a summary and portrayal of the geographic distribution of As, Cr, Cu, Co, Fe, Hg, Mo, Mn, Ni, Pb, Rb, Se, Sr, Zn, and Zr measurement error across the city of Syracuse.