IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v17y2020i24p9219-d459534.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-Term Effects of Atmospheric Pollution on Daily Mortality and Their Modification by Increased Temperatures Associated with a Climatic Change Scenario in Northern Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Rosa María Cerón Bretón

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Julia Griselda Cerón Bretón

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Jonathan W. D. Kahl

    (Mathematical Sciences, Atmospheric Science Group, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI 53211, USA)

  • María de la Luz Espinosa Fuentes

    (Atmospheric Sciences Center, National University of Mexico, Investigación Científica s/n, Ciudad de Mexico 04510, Mexico)

  • Evangelina Ramírez Lara

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Nuevo Leon, Av. Universidad s/n, Ciudad Universitaria, San Nicolas de los Garza 66455, Mexico)

  • Marcela Rangel Marrón

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Reyna del Carmen Lara Severino

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Martha Patricia Uc Chi

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

Abstract

Short-term effects of air pollution on the health of residents in the Metropolitan Area of Monterrey, Mexico were assessed from 2012–2015 using a time-series approach. Guadalupe had the highest mean concentrations for SO 2 , CO and O 3 ; whereas Santa Catarina showed the highest NO 2 concentrations. Escobedo and Garcia registered the highest levels for PM 10 . Only PM 10 and O 3 exceeded the maximum permissible values established in the Mexican official standards. Most of pollutants and municipalities showed a great number of associations between an increase of 10% in their current concentrations and mortality, especially for people >60 years. Different scenarios resulting from climatic change were built (increases of 5–25% in daily mean temperature), but only the increase of 25% (5 °C) showed a significant association with air pollutant concentrations and mortality. All pollutants and municipalities showed significant increases in relative risk indexes (RRI) resulting from an increase of 5 °C when people >60 years was considered. Results were comparable to those reported by other authors around the world. The RRI were low but significant, and thus are of public concern. This study demonstrated that the elderly is strongly threatened not only by atmospheric pollution but also by climatic change scenarios in warm and semiarid places.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosa María Cerón Bretón & Julia Griselda Cerón Bretón & Jonathan W. D. Kahl & María de la Luz Espinosa Fuentes & Evangelina Ramírez Lara & Marcela Rangel Marrón & Reyna del Carmen Lara Severino & Mart, 2020. "Short-Term Effects of Atmospheric Pollution on Daily Mortality and Their Modification by Increased Temperatures Associated with a Climatic Change Scenario in Northern Mexico," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-21, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:24:p:9219-:d:459534
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/24/9219/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/24/9219/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Henrik Olstrup & Christer Johansson & Bertil Forsberg & Christofer Åström, 2019. "Association between Mortality and Short-Term Exposure to Particles, Ozone and Nitrogen Dioxide in Stockholm, Sweden," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-14, March.
    2. Matteo Scortichini & Manuela De Sario & Francesca K. De’Donato & Marina Davoli & Paola Michelozzi & Massimo Stafoggia, 2018. "Short-Term Effects of Heat on Mortality and Effect Modification by Air Pollution in 25 Italian Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-12, August.
    3. Rachel Lowe & Joan Ballester & James Creswick & Jean-Marie Robine & François R. Herrmann & Xavier Rodó, 2015. "Evaluating the Performance of a Climate-Driven Mortality Model during Heat Waves and Cold Spells in Europe," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Chao Zhang & Zhenyu Quan & Qincheng Wu & Zhezhen Jin & Joseph H. Lee & Chunhua Li & Yuxin Zheng & Lianhua Cui, 2018. "Association between Atmospheric Particulate Pollutants and Mortality for Cardio-Cerebrovascular Diseases in Chinese Korean Population: A Case-Crossover Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-12, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shayna K. Fever & Jonathan D. W. Kahl & Amy E. Kalkbrenner & Rosa M. Cerón Bretón & Julia G. Cerón Bretón, 2022. "A New Combined Air Quality and Heat Index in Relation to Mortality in Monterrey, Mexico," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Longwu Liang & Zhenbo Wang, 2021. "Control Models and Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Air Pollution in the Rapidly Developing Urban Agglomerations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-16, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rachel Lowe & Markel García-Díez & Joan Ballester & James Creswick & Jean-Marie Robine & François R. Herrmann & Xavier Rodó, 2016. "Evaluation of an Early-Warning System for Heat Wave-Related Mortality in Europe: Implications for Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting and Climate Services," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-13, February.
    2. Xianyong Meng & Yiping Wu & Zhihua Pan & Hao Wang & Gang Yin & Honggang Zhao, 2019. "Seasonal Characteristics and Particle-size Distributions of Particulate Air Pollutants in Urumqi," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-15, January.
    3. Francesco Cappelli & Gianfranco Castronuovo & Salvatore Grimaldi & Vito Telesca, 2024. "Random Forest and Feature Importance Measures for Discriminating the Most Influential Environmental Factors in Predicting Cardiovascular and Respiratory Diseases," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(7), pages 1-21, July.
    4. Elisa Stivanello & Federico Chierzi & Paolo Marzaroli & Sara Zanella & Rossella Miglio & Patrizia Biavati & Vincenza Perlangeli & Domenico Berardi & Angelo Fioritti & Paolo Pandolfi, 2020. "Mental Health Disorders and Summer Temperature-Related Mortality: A Case Crossover Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Jongchul Park & Yeora Chae & Seo Hyung Choi, 2019. "Analysis of Mortality Change Rate from Temperature in Summer by Age, Occupation, Household Type, and Chronic Diseases in 229 Korean Municipalities from 2007–2016," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-15, May.
    6. Lisbeth Weitensfelder & Hanns Moshammer, 2019. "Evidence of Adaptation to Increasing Temperatures," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-9, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:24:p:9219-:d:459534. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.