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The Role of Vertical Transmission in the Control of Dengue Fever

Author

Listed:
  • David Murillo

    (Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA)

  • Anarina Murillo

    (Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA)

  • Sunmi Lee

    (Department of Applied Mathematics, Kyung Hee University, Yongin 446-701, Korea
    Institute of Natural Sciences, Kyung Hee University, Yongin 446-701, Korea)

Abstract

In this work, a two-strain dengue model with vertical transmission in the mosquito population is considered. Although vertical transmission is often ignored in models of dengue fever, we show that effective control of an outbreak of dengue can depend on whether or not the vertical transmission is a significant mode of disease transmission. We model the effect of a control strategy aimed at reducing human-mosquito transmissions in an optimal control framework. As the likelihood of vertical transmission increases, outbreaks become more difficult and expensive to control. However, even for low levels of vertical transmission, the additional, uncontrolled, transmission from infected mosquito to eggs may undercut the effectiveness of any control function. This is of particular importance in regions where existing control policies may be effective and the endemic strain does not exhibit vertical transmission. If a novel strain that does exhibit vertical transmission invades, then existing, formerly effective, control policies may no longer be sufficient. Therefore, public health officials should pay more attention to the role of vertical transmission for more effective interventions and policy.

Suggested Citation

  • David Murillo & Anarina Murillo & Sunmi Lee, 2019. "The Role of Vertical Transmission in the Control of Dengue Fever," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-17, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:16:y:2019:i:5:p:803-:d:211099
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Samir Bhatt & Peter W. Gething & Oliver J. Brady & Jane P. Messina & Andrew W. Farlow & Catherine L. Moyes & John M. Drake & John S. Brownstein & Anne G. Hoen & Osman Sankoh & Monica F. Myers & Dylan , 2013. "The global distribution and burden of dengue," Nature, Nature, vol. 496(7446), pages 504-507, April.
    2. Lee, S. & Jung, E. & Castillo-Chavez, C., 2010. "Optimal control intervention strategies in low- and high-risk problem drinking populations," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 258-265, December.
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