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Evolution of Drought–Flood Abrupt Alternation and Its Impacts on Surface Water Quality from 2020 to 2050 in the Luanhe River Basin

Author

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  • Wuxia Bi

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China
    College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Baisha Weng

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China)

  • Zhe Yuan

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China
    Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China)

  • Yuheng Yang

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China)

  • Ting Xu

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China)

  • Dengming Yan

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China
    College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Donghua University, Shanghai 201620, China)

  • Jun Ma

    (State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China
    School of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan 056021, China)

Abstract

It has become a hot issue to study extreme climate change and its impacts on water quality. In this context, this study explored the evolution characteristics of drought–flood abrupt alternation (DFAA) and its impacts on total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorous (TP) pollution, from 2020 to 2050, in the Luanhe river basin (LRB), based on the predicted meteorological data of the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) climate scenarios and simulated surface water quality data of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The results show that DFAA occurred more frequently in summer, with an increasing trend from northwest to southeast of the LRB, basically concentrated in the downstream plain area, and the irrigation area. Meanwhile, most of the DFAA events were in light level. The incidence of TN pollution was much larger than the incidence of TP pollution and simultaneous occurrence of TN and TP pollution. The TN pollution was more serious than TP pollution in the basin. When DFAA occurred, TN pollution almost occurred simultaneously. Also, when TP pollution occurred, the TN pollution occurred simultaneously. These results could provide some references for the effects and adaptation-strategies study of extreme climate change and its influence on surface water quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Wuxia Bi & Baisha Weng & Zhe Yuan & Yuheng Yang & Ting Xu & Dengming Yan & Jun Ma, 2019. "Evolution of Drought–Flood Abrupt Alternation and Its Impacts on Surface Water Quality from 2020 to 2050 in the Luanhe River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-17, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:16:y:2019:i:5:p:691-:d:209259
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Curriero, F.C. & Patz, J.A. & Rose, J.B. & Lele, S., 2001. "The association between extreme precipitation and waterborne disease outbreaks in the United States, 1948-1994," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 91(8), pages 1194-1199.
    2. Wuxia Bi & Baisha Weng & Zhe Yuan & Mao Ye & Cheng Zhang & Yu Zhao & Dengming Yan & Ting Xu, 2018. "Evolution Characteristics of Surface Water Quality Due to Climate Change and LUCC under Scenario Simulations: A Case Study in the Luanhe River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-18, August.
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    1. Yongbin Zhang & Tanglei Song & Jihao Fan & Weidong Man & Mingyue Liu & Yongqiang Zhao & Hao Zheng & Yahui Liu & Chunyu Li & Jingru Song & Xiaowu Yang & Junmin Du, 2022. "Land Use and Climate Change Altered the Ecological Quality in the Luanhe River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-22, June.

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