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Towards Energy Efficiency: Forecasting Indoor Temperature via Multivariate Analysis

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  • Francisco Zamora-Martínez

    (Escuela Superior de Enseñanzas Técnicas, Universidad CEU Cardenal Herrera, C/ San Bartolomé 55, Alfara del Patriarca 46115, Valencia, Spain)

  • Pablo Romeu

    (Escuela Superior de Enseñanzas Técnicas, Universidad CEU Cardenal Herrera, C/ San Bartolomé 55, Alfara del Patriarca 46115, Valencia, Spain)

  • Paloma Botella-Rocamora

    (Escuela Superior de Enseñanzas Técnicas, Universidad CEU Cardenal Herrera, C/ San Bartolomé 55, Alfara del Patriarca 46115, Valencia, Spain)

  • Juan Pardo

    (Escuela Superior de Enseñanzas Técnicas, Universidad CEU Cardenal Herrera, C/ San Bartolomé 55, Alfara del Patriarca 46115, Valencia, Spain)

Abstract

The small medium large system (SMLsystem) is a house built at the Universidad CEU Cardenal Herrera (CEU-UCH) for participation in the Solar Decathlon 2013 competition. Several technologies have been integrated to reduce power consumption. One of these is a forecasting system based on artificial neural networks (ANNs), which is able to predict indoor temperature in the near future using captured data by a complex monitoring system as the input. A study of the impact on forecasting performance of different covariate combinations is presented in this paper. Additionally, a comparison of ANNs with the standard statistical forecasting methods is shown. The research in this paper has been focused on forecasting the indoor temperature of a house, as it is directly related to HVAC—heating, ventilation and air conditioning—system consumption. HVAC systems at the SMLsystem house represent 53:89% of the overall power consumption. The energy used to maintain temperature was measured to be 30%–38:9% of the energy needed to lower it. Hence, these forecasting measures allow the house to adapt itself to future temperature conditions by using home automation in an energy-efficient manner. Experimental results show a high forecasting accuracy and therefore, they might be used to efficiently control an HVAC system.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Zamora-Martínez & Pablo Romeu & Paloma Botella-Rocamora & Juan Pardo, 2013. "Towards Energy Efficiency: Forecasting Indoor Temperature via Multivariate Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 6(9), pages 1-21, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:6:y:2013:i:9:p:4639-4659:d:28637
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sachin Kumar & Zairu Nisha & Jagvinder Singh & Anuj Kumar Sharma, 2022. "Sensor network driven novel hybrid model based on feature selection and SVR to predict indoor temperature for energy consumption optimisation in smart buildings," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 13(6), pages 3048-3061, December.
    2. Lara Ramadan & Isam Shahrour & Hussein Mroueh & Fadi Hage Chehade, 2021. "Use of Machine Learning Methods for Indoor Temperature Forecasting," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, September.
    3. Petri Hietaharju & Mika Ruusunen & Kauko Leiviskä, 2018. "A Dynamic Model for Indoor Temperature Prediction in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-20, June.
    4. Enescu, Diana, 2017. "A review of thermal comfort models and indicators for indoor environments," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1353-1379.
    5. Ma, Nan & Aviv, Dorit & Guo, Hongshan & Braham, William W., 2021. "Measuring the right factors: A review of variables and models for thermal comfort and indoor air quality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    6. Jussi Kuutti & Kim H. Blomqvist & Raimo E. Sepponen, 2014. "Evaluation of Visitor Counting Technologies and Their Energy Saving Potential through Demand-Controlled Ventilation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-21, March.
    7. Song, Jiancai & Bian, Tianxiang & Xue, Guixiang & Wang, Hanyu & Shen, Xingliang & Wu, Xiangdong, 2023. "Short-term forecasting model for residential indoor temperature in DHS based on sequence generative adversarial network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).

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