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Revolutionizing Wind Power Prediction—The Future of Energy Forecasting with Advanced Deep Learning and Strategic Feature Engineering

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  • Md. Ahasan Habib

    (School of Electrical and Data Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia)

  • M. J. Hossain

    (School of Electrical and Data Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia)

Abstract

This paper introduces an innovative framework for wind power prediction that focuses on the future of energy forecasting utilizing intelligent deep learning and strategic feature engineering. This research investigates the application of a state-of-the-art deep learning model for wind energy prediction to make extremely short-term forecasts using real-time data on wind generation from New South Wales, Australia. In contrast with typical approaches to wind energy forecasting, this model relies entirely on historical data and strategic feature engineering to make predictions, rather than relying on meteorological parameters. A hybrid feature engineering strategy that integrates features from several feature generation techniques to obtain the optimal input parameters is a significant contribution to this work. The model’s performance is assessed using key metrics, yielding optimal results with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 8.76, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 139.49, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 11.81, R-squared score of 0.997, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 4.85%. Additionally, the proposed framework outperforms six other deep learning and hybrid deep learning models in terms of wind energy prediction accuracy. These findings highlight the importance of advanced data analysis for feature generation in data processing, pointing to its key role in boosting the precision of forecasting applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Ahasan Habib & M. J. Hossain, 2024. "Revolutionizing Wind Power Prediction—The Future of Energy Forecasting with Advanced Deep Learning and Strategic Feature Engineering," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-23, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:5:p:1215-:d:1350534
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xu, Li & Ou, Yanxia & Cai, Jingjing & Wang, Jin & Fu, Yang & Bian, Xiaoyan, 2023. "Offshore wind speed assessment with statistical and attention-based neural network methods based on STL decomposition," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Georgilakis, Pavlos S., 2008. "Technical challenges associated with the integration of wind power into power systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 852-863, April.
    3. Wang, Cong & Zhang, Hongli & Ma, Ping, 2020. "Wind power forecasting based on singular spectrum analysis and a new hybrid Laguerre neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    4. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
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