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A Method for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Lithium Batteries Considering Capacity Regeneration and Random Fluctuations

Author

Listed:
  • Haipeng Pan

    (School of Mechanical and Automatic, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, Hangzhou 310018, China)

  • Chengte Chen

    (School of Mechanical and Automatic, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, Hangzhou 310018, China)

  • Minming Gu

    (School of Mechanical and Automatic, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, Hangzhou 310018, China)

Abstract

Accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is important for electronic equipment. A new algorithm is proposed to aim at the nonlinear degradation caused by capacity regeneration and random fluctuations. Firstly, the health state degradation curve of LIBs is divided into the normal degradation trend part, capacity regeneration part, and random fluctuation part. Secondly, the capacity degradation curve of LIBs is decomposed by the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) to obtain the known long-term degradation trend part of LIBs. Then, the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is used to predict the future normal degradation trend part based on the known long-term degradation trend part of LIBs. In addition, the LIBs’ state of health (SOH), the initial state of charge (SOC), and the rest time are taken as the inputs of Gaussian process regression (GPR) to predict the LIBs’ capacity regeneration part. After that, random numbers obeying the Stable distribution are generated as the random fluctuation part of LIBs. Finally, the Monte Carlo simulation is used to predict the probability density distribution of the RUL of LIBs. The paper is verified by the LIBs’ public dataset provided by the University of Maryland. The experimental results show that the predicted RMSE of the proposed method is lower than 0.6%.

Suggested Citation

  • Haipeng Pan & Chengte Chen & Minming Gu, 2022. "A Method for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Lithium Batteries Considering Capacity Regeneration and Random Fluctuations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-15, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:7:p:2498-:d:782019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lingling Li & Pengchong Wang & Kuei-Hsiang Chao & Yatong Zhou & Yang Xie, 2016. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Gaussian Processes Mixture," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(9), pages 1-13, September.
    2. Xiaodong Xu & Chuanqiang Yu & Shengjin Tang & Xiaoyan Sun & Xiaosheng Si & Lifeng Wu, 2019. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, May.
    3. Patil, Meru A. & Tagade, Piyush & Hariharan, Krishnan S. & Kolake, Subramanya M. & Song, Taewon & Yeo, Taejung & Doo, Seokgwang, 2015. "A novel multistage Support Vector Machine based approach for Li ion battery remaining useful life estimation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 285-297.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lingxi Kong & Diganta Das & Michael G. Pecht, 2022. "The Distribution and Detection Issues of Counterfeit Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-13, May.
    2. Yongsheng Shi & Tailin Li & Leicheng Wang & Hongzhou Lu & Yujun Hu & Beichen He & Xinran Zhai, 2023. "A Method for Predicting the Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Successive Variational Mode Decomposition and Optimized Long Short-Term Memory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-16, August.

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