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A Hybrid Bimodal LSTM Architecture for Cascading Thermal Energy Storage Modelling

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  • Athanasios Anagnostis

    (CERTH/IBO—Centre for Research and Technology Hellas, Institute of Bio-Economy and Agri-Technology, 57001 Thessaloniki, Greece
    Department of Computer Science, University of Thessaly, 35100 Lamia, Greece)

  • Serafeim Moustakidis

    (Systems & Control Research Centre, City University of London, Northampton Square, London EC1V 0HB, UK
    AIDEAS OÜ, Narva mnt 5, 10117 Tallinn, Estonia)

  • Elpiniki Papageorgiou

    (CERTH/IBO—Centre for Research and Technology Hellas, Institute of Bio-Economy and Agri-Technology, 57001 Thessaloniki, Greece
    Department of Energy Systems, Geopolis Campus, University of Thessaly, 41500 Larisa, Greece)

  • Dionysis Bochtis

    (CERTH/IBO—Centre for Research and Technology Hellas, Institute of Bio-Economy and Agri-Technology, 57001 Thessaloniki, Greece)

Abstract

Modelling of thermal energy storage (TES) systems is a complex process that requires the development of sophisticated computational tools for numerical simulation and optimization. Until recently, most modelling approaches relied on analytical methods based on equations of the physical processes that govern TES systems’ operations, producing high-accuracy and interpretable results. The present study tackles the problem of modelling the temperature dynamics of a TES plant by exploring the advantages and limitations of an alternative data-driven approach. A hybrid bimodal LSTM (H2M-LSTM) architecture is proposed to model the temperature dynamics of different TES components, by utilizing multiple temperature readings in both forward and bidirectional fashion for fine-tuning the predictions. Initially, a selection of methods was employed to model the temperature dynamics of individual components of the TES system. Subsequently, a novel cascading modelling framework was realised to provide an integrated holistic modelling solution that takes into account the results of the individual modelling components. The cascading framework was built in a hierarchical structure that considers the interrelationships between the integrated energy components leading to seamless modelling of whole operation as a single system. The performance of the proposed H2M-LSTM was compared against a variety of well-known machine learning algorithms through an extensive experimental analysis. The efficacy of the proposed energy framework was demonstrated in comparison to the modelling performance of the individual components, by utilizing three prediction performance indicators. The findings of the present study offer: (i) insights on the low-error performance of tailor-made LSTM architectures fitting the TES modelling problem, (ii) deeper knowledge of the behaviour of integral energy frameworks operating in fine timescales and (iii) an alternative approach that enables the real-time or semi-real time deployment of TES modelling tools facilitating their use in real-world settings.

Suggested Citation

  • Athanasios Anagnostis & Serafeim Moustakidis & Elpiniki Papageorgiou & Dionysis Bochtis, 2022. "A Hybrid Bimodal LSTM Architecture for Cascading Thermal Energy Storage Modelling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-24, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:6:p:1959-:d:766211
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    References listed on IDEAS

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