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A Forecasting Model of Wind Power Based on IPSO–LSTM and Classified Fusion

Author

Listed:
  • Qiuhong Huang

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

  • Xiao Wang

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

Abstract

To improve the predicting accuracy of wind power, this paper proposes a forecasting model of wind power based on the IPSO–LSTM model and classified fusion, which not only overcomes the shortcoming of the artificially determined parameters of LSTM, but also solves the problem that the fused accuracy may be reduced by the environment when adopting a single fusion model. Firstly, some wind speed sub-series were obtained by decomposing the original wind speed according to the wavelet packet decomposition (WPD), and the data sets formed by combining these sub-series with meteorological elements. Subsequently, the wind power components formed by wind speed decomposition are predicted through the long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), which is optimized by the improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO). Consequently, the predicting value of the final wind power was acquired by adopting the method of classified fusion to calculate the wind power components. Several case studies were carried out on the proposed model with the help of Python. It is found from those relevant results that the RMSE and MAE of the proposed model is 1.2382 and 0.8210, respectively. Moreover, the R 2 is 0.9952. Those simulating results show that the proposed model may be better for fitting the actual curve of wind power and has excellent predicting accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiuhong Huang & Xiao Wang, 2022. "A Forecasting Model of Wind Power Based on IPSO–LSTM and Classified Fusion," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-19, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:15:p:5531-:d:876037
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bingchun Liu & Shijie Zhao & Xiaogang Yu & Lei Zhang & Qingshan Wang, 2020. "A Novel Deep Learning Approach for Wind Power Forecasting Based on WD-LSTM Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.
    2. Konstantinos Blazakis & Yiannis Katsigiannis & Georgios Stavrakakis, 2022. "One-Day-Ahead Solar Irradiation and Windspeed Forecasting with Advanced Deep Learning Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-25, June.
    3. Anfeng Zhu & Qiancheng Zhao & Xian Wang & Ling Zhou, 2022. "Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Combined Prediction Based on Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, Whale Optimisation Algorithm, and Elman Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-17, April.
    4. Fang Liu & Ranran Li & Aliona Dreglea, 2019. "Wind Speed and Power Ultra Short-Term Robust Forecasting Based on Takagi–Sugeno Fuzzy Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-16, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammed A. A. Al-qaness & Ahmed A. Ewees & Mohamed Abd Elaziz & Ahmed H. Samak, 2022. "Wind Power Forecasting Using Optimized Dendritic Neural Model Based on Seagull Optimization Algorithm and Aquila Optimizer," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Jingtao Huang & Gang Niu & Haiping Guan & Shuzhong Song, 2023. "Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on LSTM with Loss Shrinkage Adam," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-13, April.
    3. Minan Tang & Wenjuan Wang & Jiandong Qiu & Detao Li & Linyuan Lei, 2022. "Active Power Cooperative Control for Wind Power Clusters with Multiple Temporal and Spatial Scales," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-21, December.

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