IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i21p7387-d673124.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation of Prediction Error in Regression Air Quality Models

Author

Listed:
  • Szymon Hoffman

    (Faculty of Infrastructure and Environment, Czestochowa University of Technology, 69 Dabrowskiego St., 42-200 Czestochowa, Poland)

Abstract

Combustion of energy fuels or organic waste is associated with the emission of harmful gases and aerosols into the atmosphere, which strongly affects air quality. Air quality monitoring devices are unreliable and measurement gaps appear quite often. Missing data modeling techniques can be used to complete the monitoring data. Concentrations of monitored pollutants can be approximated with regression modeling tools, such as artificial neural networks. In this study, a long-term set of data from the air monitoring station in Zabrze (Silesia, South Poland) was analyzed. Concentration prediction was tested for the main air pollutants, i.e., O 3 , NO, NO 2 , SO 2 , PM 10 , CO. Multilayer perceptrons were used to model the concentrations. The predicted concentrations were compared to the observed ones to evaluate the approximation accuracy. Prediction errors were calculated separately for the whole concentration range as well as for the specified concentration subranges. Some different measures of error were estimated. It was stated that the use of a single measure of the approximation accuracy may lead to incorrect interpretation. The application of one neural network to the entire concentration range results in different prediction accuracy in various concentration subranges. Replacing one neural network with several networks adjusted to specific concentration subranges should improve the modeling accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Szymon Hoffman, 2021. "Estimation of Prediction Error in Regression Air Quality Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-13, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:21:p:7387-:d:673124
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/21/7387/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/21/7387/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hanna, Rema & Oliva, Paulina, 2015. "The effect of pollution on labor supply: Evidence from a natural experiment in Mexico City," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 68-79.
    2. Joshua Graff Zivin & Matthew Neidell, 2012. "The Impact of Pollution on Worker Productivity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(7), pages 3652-3673, December.
    3. Tom Chang & Joshua Graff Zivin & Tal Gross & Matthew Neidell, 2016. "Particulate Pollution and the Productivity of Pear Packers," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 8(3), pages 141-169, August.
    4. Aragón, Fernando M. & Miranda, Juan Jose & Oliva, Paulina, 2017. "Particulate matter and labor supply: The role of caregiving and non-linearities," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 295-309.
    5. Mouton, Ans M. & De Baets, Bernard & Goethals, Peter L.M., 2010. "Ecological relevance of performance criteria for species distribution models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(16), pages 1995-2002.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Szymon Hoffman & Mariusz Filak & Rafał Jasiński, 2022. "Air Quality Modeling with the Use of Regression Neural Networks," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(24), pages 1-33, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Haoming & Salvo, Alberto, 2017. "Severe Air Pollution and School Absences: Longitudinal Data on Expatriates in North China," IZA Discussion Papers 11134, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Felix Bracht & Dennis Verhoeven, 2021. "Air pollution and innovation," CEP Discussion Papers dp1817, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    3. Szymon Hoffman & Mariusz Filak & Rafał Jasiński, 2022. "Air Quality Modeling with the Use of Regression Neural Networks," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(24), pages 1-33, December.
    4. Luis Sarmiento, 2020. "Waiting for My Sentence: Air Pollution and the Productivity of Court Rulings," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1878, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    5. Luis Sarmiento, 2022. "Air pollution and the productivity of high‐skill labor: evidence from court hearings," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(1), pages 301-332, January.
    6. Mark Borgschulte & David Molitor & Eric Yongchen Zou, 2024. "Air Pollution and the Labor Market: Evidence from Wildfire Smoke," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(6), pages 1558-1575, November.
    7. Bridget Hoffmann & Juan Pablo Rud, 2022. "Exposure or Income? The Unequal Effects of Pollution on Daily Labor Supply," Working Papers 109, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    8. Felix Holub & Laura Hospido & Ulrich J. Wagner, 2020. "Urban air pollution and sick leaves: evidence from social security data," Working Papers 2041, Banco de España.
    9. Yu SHEN & Wenkai SUN, 2023. "Information and avoidance behaviour: The effect of air pollution disclosure on labour supply in China," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 162(4), pages 665-686, December.
    10. Clara Kögel, 2022. "The impact of air pollution on labour productivity in France," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 22020, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    11. Bellani, Luna & Ceolotto, Stefano & Elsner, Benjamin & Pestel, Nico, 2021. "Air Pollution Affects Decision-Making: Evidence from the Ballot Box," IZA Discussion Papers 14718, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Fu, Shihe & Viard, V. Brian & Zhang, Peng, 2022. "Trans-boundary air pollution spillovers: Physical transport and economic costs by distance," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    13. Matthew Neidell & Nico Pestel, 2023. "Air pollution and worker productivity," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 363-363, February.
    14. Shihe Fu & V. Brian Viard, 2022. "A mayors perspective on tackling air pollution," Chapters, in: Charles K.Y. Leung (ed.), Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics, chapter 16, pages 413-437, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    15. Kuang, Yunming & Tan, Ruipeng & Zhang, Zihan, 2023. "Saving energy by cleaning the air?: Endogenous energy efficiency and energy conservation potential," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    16. Edoardo Porto & Joanna Kopinska & Alessandro Palma, 2021. "Labor market effects of dirty air. Evidence from administrative data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(3), pages 887-921, October.
    17. Künn, Steffen & Palacios, Juan & Pestel, Nico, 2019. "Indoor Air Quality and Cognitive Performance," IZA Discussion Papers 12632, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    18. Han, Ahram & Kim, Taejong & Ten, Gi Khan & Wang, Shun, 2023. "Air pollution and gender imbalance in labor supply responses: Evidence from South Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    19. Ye, Hai-Jian & Huang, Zuhui & Chen, Shuai, 2023. "Air pollution and agricultural labor supply: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Li, Jennifer (Jie) & Massa, Massimo & Zhang, Hong & Zhang, Jian, 2021. "Air pollution, behavioral bias, and the disposition effect in China," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 641-673.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:21:p:7387-:d:673124. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.