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The Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Building Energy Consumption in Poland

Author

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  • Hassan Bazazzadeh

    (Faculty of Architecture, Poznan University of Technology, 61-131 Poznan, Poland)

  • Peiman Pilechiha

    (Faculty of Architecture, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran 14115-111, Iran)

  • Adam Nadolny

    (Faculty of Architecture, Poznan University of Technology, 61-131 Poznan, Poland)

  • Mohammadjavad Mahdavinejad

    (Faculty of Architecture, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran 14115-111, Iran)

  • Seyedeh sara Hashemi safaei

    (Faculty of Architecture, Jundi-Shapur University of Technology, Dezful 334-64615, Iran)

Abstract

A substantial share of the building sector in global energy demand has attracted scholars to focus on the energy efficiency of the building sector. The building’s energy consumption has been projected to increase due to mass urbanization, high living comfort standards, and, more importantly, climate change. While climate change has potential impacts on the rate of energy consumption in buildings, several studies have shown that these impacts differ from one region to another. In response, this paper aimed to investigate the impact of climate change on the heating and cooling energy demands of buildings as influential variables in building energy consumption in the city of Poznan, Poland. In this sense, through the statistical downscaling method and considering the most recent Typical Meteorological Year (2004–2018) as the baseline, the future weather data for 2050 and 2080 of the city of Poznan were produced according to the HadCM3 and A2 GHG scenario. These generated files were then used to simulate the energy demands in 16 building prototypes of the ASHRAE 90.1 standard. The results indicate an average increase in cooling load and a decrease in heating load at 135% and 40%, respectively, by 2080. Due to the higher share of heating load, the total thermal load of the buildings decreased within the study period. Therefore, while the total thermal load is currently under the decrease, to avoid its rise in the future, serious measures should be taken to control the increased cooling demand and, consequently, thermal load and GHG emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hassan Bazazzadeh & Peiman Pilechiha & Adam Nadolny & Mohammadjavad Mahdavinejad & Seyedeh sara Hashemi safaei, 2021. "The Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Building Energy Consumption in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:14:p:4084-:d:589703
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    3. George Halkos, 2022. "New Assessment Methods of Future Conditions for Main Vulnerabilities and Risks from Climate Change," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-5, October.
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    5. Sanjin Gumbarević & Bojan Milovanović & Bojana Dalbelo Bašić & Mergim Gaši, 2022. "Combining Deep Learning and the Heat Flux Method for In-Situ Thermal-Transmittance Measurement Improvement," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-19, July.
    6. Bass, Brett & New, Joshua, 2023. "How will United States commercial building energy use be impacted by IPCC climate scenarios?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    7. Mohammad Anvar Adibhesami & Hirou Karimi & Ayyoob Sharifi & Borhan Sepehri & Hassan Bazazzadeh & Umberto Berardi, 2022. "Optimization of Urban-Scale Sustainable Energy Strategies to Improve Citizens’ Health," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
    8. Imre Csáky, 2021. "Analysis of Daily Energy Demand for Cooling in Buildings with Different Comfort Categories—Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-17, August.
    9. Hassan Bazazzadeh & Barbara Świt-Jankowska & Nasim Fazeli & Adam Nadolny & Behnaz Safar ali najar & Seyedeh sara Hashemi safaei & Mohammadjavad Mahdavinejad, 2021. "Efficient Shading Device as an Important Part of Daylightophil Architecture; a Designerly Framework of High-Performance Architecture for an Office Building in Tehran," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-26, December.
    10. Siamak Hoseinzadeh & Daniele Groppi & Adriana Scarlet Sferra & Umberto Di Matteo & Davide Astiaso Garcia, 2022. "The PRISMI Plus Toolkit Application to a Grid-Connected Mediterranean Island," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-14, November.
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    12. David Borge-Diez, 2022. "Advanced Energy Efficiency Systems in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-3, October.

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