IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v12y2019i6p981-d213642.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Assessment System for Oil and Gas Pipelines Laid in One Ditch Based on Quantitative Risk Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Peng Zhang

    (School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China)

  • Guojin Qin

    (School of Mechatronic Engineering, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China)

  • Yihuan Wang

    (School of Mechatronic Engineering, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China)

Abstract

In view of the vegetation reduction caused by the continuous construction of oil and gas pipelines, the pipelines have been designed to be laid in one ditch to reduce land occupation. However, owing to the small spacing between the pipelines, the fault correlation between pipelines has been proven to increase the potential hazard of adjacent pipelines and routing environments. The neglect of failure correlation in existing risk assessment methods leads to inaccurate results, which will lead to errors in maintenance decisions. Therefore, this paper proposed a risk assessment system for pipelines using this laying method. In the risk assessment, pipelines laid in one ditch (PLOD) were regarded as a series system relative to the routing environment. Therefore, the functional relationship between the total risk of the pipeline system and the risk of each pipeline was obtained by combining the engineering system reliability theory with the mathematical induction method. In addition, fuzzy set theory combined with fault tree analysis was used to calculate the failure probability of each pipeline in the system. Event tree analysis was used to sort out all the possible consequences of pipeline failure, and then the consequences were unified into monetary units to evaluate the severity of failure consequences. Finally, the two parts were merged into a bow-tie diagram to realize the risk management and control of the pipeline. Meanwhile, risk acceptance criteria were formulated to analyze risks and to guide pipeline maintenance. This system provides a complete risk assessment system for the pipeline system laid in one ditch, including the methods of risk identification, risk assessment, and risk analysis, which are of great significance to ensure the safety of the pipeline and the surrounding environment using this laying method.

Suggested Citation

  • Peng Zhang & Guojin Qin & Yihuan Wang, 2019. "Risk Assessment System for Oil and Gas Pipelines Laid in One Ditch Based on Quantitative Risk Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:6:p:981-:d:213642
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/6/981/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/6/981/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Khakzad, Nima & Khan, Faisal & Amyotte, Paul, 2012. "Dynamic risk analysis using bow-tie approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 36-44.
    2. Le Coent, Philippe & Préget, Raphaële & Thoyer, Sophie, 2017. "Compensating Environmental Losses Versus Creating Environmental Gains: Implications for Biodiversity Offsets," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 120-129.
    3. Robert T. Clemen & Robert L. Winkler, 1999. "Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(2), pages 187-203, April.
    4. Wang, Hanxi & Xu, Jianling & Sheng, Lianxi, 2019. "Study on the comprehensive utilization of city kitchen waste as a resource in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 263-277.
    5. Wang, Hanxi & Xu, Jianling & Sheng, Lianxi & Liu, Xuejun, 2018. "Effect of addition of biogas slurry for anaerobic fermentation of deer manure on biogas production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 411-418.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Jiarui & Ji, Chunhou & Yang, Lihong & Liu, Yun & Xie, Zhiqiang & Fu, Xingfeng & Jiang, Fengshan & Liao, Mengfan & Zhao, Lei, 2025. "Urban natural gas pipeline operational vulnerability under the influence of a social spatial distribution structure: A case study of the safety risk patterns in Kunming, China," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    2. Ievgen Babeshko & Oleg Illiashenko & Vyacheslav Kharchenko & Kostiantyn Leontiev, 2022. "Towards Trustworthy Safety Assessment by Providing Expert and Tool-Based XMECA Techniques," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-25, June.
    3. Peng Zhang & Xiangsu Chen & Chaohai Fan, 2020. "Research on a Safety Assessment Method for Leakage in a Heavy Oil Gathering Pipeline," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, March.
    4. Gricelda Herrera-Franco & F. Javier Montalván & Andrés Velastegui-Montoya & Jhon Caicedo-Potosí, 2022. "Vulnerability in a Populated Coastal Zone and Its Influence by Oil Wells in Santa Elena, Ecuador," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-18, July.
    5. Haiying Cheng & Zhun Luo & Nd Seliverstov, 2022. "A Study of Foam Bitumen Preparation for Effective Recycling of Pavement Layers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, July.
    6. Yujie Pan & Hongxia Peng & Shuyun Xie & Min Zeng & Changsheng Huang, 2019. "Eight Elements in Soils from a Typical Light Industrial City, China: Spatial Distribution, Ecological Assessment, and the Source Apportionment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-17, July.
    7. Marco Cinelli & Matteo Spada & Miłosz Kadziński & Grzegorz Miebs & Peter Burgherr, 2019. "Advancing Hazard Assessment of Energy Accidents in the Natural Gas Sector with Rough Set Theory and Decision Rules," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-17, November.
    8. Tangzhe Nie & Peng Chen & Zhongxue Zhang & Zhijuan Qi & Yanyu Lin & Dan Xu, 2019. "Effects of Different Types of Water and Nitrogen Fertilizer Management on Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Yield, and Water Consumption of Paddy Fields in Cold Region of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-16, May.
    9. Yujie Pan & Ke Peng & Hongxia Peng & Jing Zhang & Min Zeng & Changsheng Huang, 2019. "Evaluation Model and Empirical Study on the Competitiveness of the County Silicon Crystal Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-15, September.
    10. Hanxi Wang & Jianling Xu & Lianxi Sheng & Xuejun Liu & Meihan Zong & Difu Yao, 2019. "Anaerobic Digestion Technology for Methane Production Using Deer Manure Under Different Experimental Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, May.
    11. Xiangqin Hou & Yihuan Wang & Peng Zhang & Guojin Qin, 2019. "Non-Probabilistic Time-Varying Reliability-Based Analysis of Corroded Pipelines Considering the Interaction of Multiple Uncertainty Variables," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hanxi Wang & Jianling Xu & Lianxi Sheng & Xuejun Liu & Meihan Zong & Difu Yao, 2019. "Anaerobic Digestion Technology for Methane Production Using Deer Manure Under Different Experimental Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, May.
    2. Peng Zhang & Guojin Qin & Yihuan Wang, 2018. "Optimal Maintenance Decision Method for Urban Gas Pipelines Based on as Low as Reasonably Practicable Principle," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Shi, Yi & Deng, Yawen & Wang, Guoan & Xu, Jiuping, 2020. "Stackelberg equilibrium-based eco-economic approach for sustainable development of kitchen waste disposal with subsidy policy: A case study from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    4. Avner Engel & Shalom Shachar, 2006. "Measuring and optimizing systems' quality costs and project duration," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 9(3), pages 259-280, September.
    5. Franz Dietrich & Christian List, 2017. "Probabilistic opinion pooling generalized. Part one: general agendas," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 48(4), pages 747-786, April.
    6. Wang, Hanxi & Xu, Jianling & Sheng, Lianxi, 2019. "Study on the comprehensive utilization of city kitchen waste as a resource in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 263-277.
    7. Bhardwaj, U. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2022. "Casualty analysis methodology and taxonomy for FPSO accident analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    8. repec:cup:judgdm:v:13:y:2018:i:6:p:607-621 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Zio, E., 2018. "The future of risk assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 176-190.
    10. Robert L. Winkler & Robert T. Clemen, 2004. "Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 1(3), pages 167-176, September.
    11. Kwon, Gihoon & Tsang, Daniel C.W. & Oh, Jeong-Ik & Kwon, Eilhann E. & Song, Hocheol, 2019. "Pyrolysis of aquatic carbohydrates using CO2 as reactive gas medium: A case study of chitin," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 136-143.
    12. Ine H. J. Van Der Fels‐Klerx & Louis H. J. Goossens & Helmut W. Saatkamp & Suzan H. S. Horst, 2002. "Elicitation of Quantitative Data from a Heterogeneous Expert Panel: Formal Process and Application in Animal Health," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(1), pages 67-81, February.
    13. Minh Ha-Duong, 2008. "Hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on climate sensitivity," Post-Print halshs-00112129, HAL.
    14. Pennings, Clint L.P. & van Dalen, Jan & Rook, Laurens, 2019. "Coordinating judgmental forecasting: Coping with intentional biases," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 46-56.
    15. Li, Weijun & Sun, Qiqi & Zhang, Jiwang & Zhang, Laibin, 2024. "Quantitative risk assessment of industrial hot work using Adaptive Bow Tie and Petri Nets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    16. Jeffrey M. Keisler, 2005. "Additivity of Information Value in Two‐Act Linear Loss Decisions with Normal Priors," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(2), pages 351-359, April.
    17. Chunchang Zhang & Hu Sun & Yuanyuan Zhang & Gen Li & Shibo Li & Junyu Chang & Gongqian Shi, 2023. "Fire Accident Risk Analysis of Lithium Battery Energy Storage Systems during Maritime Transportation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-12, September.
    18. Jason R. W. Merrick, 2008. "Getting the Right Mix of Experts," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 5(1), pages 43-52, March.
    19. Christoph Schulze & Katarzyna Zagórska & Kati Häfner & Olimpia Markiewicz & Mikołaj Czajkowski & Bettina Matzdorf, 2024. "Using farmers' ex ante preferences to design agri‐environmental contracts: A systematic review," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 44-83, February.
    20. Gregory F. Nemet & Erin Baker, 2009. "Demand Subsidies Versus R&D: Comparing the Uncertain Impacts of Policy on a Pre-commercial Low-carbon Energy Technology," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 49-80.
    21. Wang, Xiaoqian & Hyndman, Rob J. & Li, Feng & Kang, Yanfei, 2023. "Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1518-1547.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:6:p:981-:d:213642. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.