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A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method

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  • Wanqing Wang

    (School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China)

  • Shuran Lyu

    (School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China)

  • Yudong Zhang

    (Institute for Public Safety Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Shuqi Ma

    (School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China)

Abstract

Coalbed methane development represents a complex system engineering operation that involves complex technology, many links, long cycles, and various risks. If risks are not controlled in a timely and effective manner, project operators may easily cause different levels of casualties, resource waste and property loss. To evaluate the risk status of coalbed methane development projects, this paper constructs a coalbed methane development risk assessment index system that consists of six first grade indexes and 45 second grade indexes. The weight of each index is calculated based on the structure entropy weight method. Then, a theoretical model for risk assessments of coalbed methane development is established based on the matter-element extension method. Finally, the model is applied to analyze a coalbed methane development project in the southern Qinshui Basin of China. The results show that the overall risk level of the coalbed methane development project is Grade II, indicating that the overall risk of the project is small, but the local risk of the project needs to be rectified in time. The assessment results are consistent with the actual operation of the project, indicating that the established risk assessment model has good applicability and effectiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • Wanqing Wang & Shuran Lyu & Yudong Zhang & Shuqi Ma, 2019. "A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-30, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:20:p:3931-:d:277285
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    1. Barbara Uliasz-Misiak & Jacek Misiak & Joanna Lewandowska-Śmierzchalska & Rafał Matuła, 2020. "Environmental Risk Related to the Exploration and Exploitation of Coalbed Methane," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Katarzyna Chruzik & Marzena Graboń-Chałupczak, 2021. "The Concept of Safety Management in the Electromobility Development Strategy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Yana Duan & Yang Sun & Yu Zhang & Xiaoqi Fan & Qinghuan Dong & Sen Guo, 2021. "Risk Evaluation of Electric Power Grid Investment in China Employing a Hybrid Novel MCDM Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-22, February.
    4. Tarkowski, Radosław & Lankof, Leszek & Luboń, Katarzyna & Michalski, Jan, 2024. "Hydrogen storage capacity of salt caverns and deep aquifers versus demand for hydrogen storage: A case study of Poland," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).

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