IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v11y2018i8p2112-d163603.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Bottom-Up Model for Household Load Profile Based on the Consumption Behavior of Residents

Author

Listed:
  • Bingtuan Gao

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)

  • Xiaofeng Liu

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)

  • Zhenyu Zhu

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)

Abstract

The forecasting of the load profile of the domestic sector is an area of increased concern for the power grid as it appears in many applications, such as grid operations, demand side management, energy trading, and so forth. Accordingly, a bottom-up forecasting framework is presented in this paper based upon bottom level data about the electricity consumption of household appliances. In the proposed framework, a load profile for group households is obtained with a similar day extraction module, household behavior analysis module, and household behavior prediction module. Concretely, similar day extraction module is the core of the prediction and is employed to extract similar historical days by considering the external environmental and household internal influence factors on energy consumption. The household behavior analysis module is used to analyse and formulate the consumption behavior probability of appliances according to the statistical characteristics of appliances’ switch state in historical similar days. Based on the former two modules, household behavior prediction module is responsible for the load profile of group households. Finally, a case study based on the measured data in a practical residential community is performed to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed bottom-up household load forecasting approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Bingtuan Gao & Xiaofeng Liu & Zhenyu Zhu, 2018. "A Bottom-Up Model for Household Load Profile Based on the Consumption Behavior of Residents," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-16, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:8:p:2112-:d:163603
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/8/2112/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/8/2112/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dordonnat, V. & Koopman, S.J. & Ooms, M. & Dessertaine, A. & Collet, J., 2008. "An hourly periodic state space model for modelling French national electricity load," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 566-587.
    2. Wang, Chi-hsiang & Grozev, George & Seo, Seongwon, 2012. "Decomposition and statistical analysis for regional electricity demand forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 313-325.
    3. Swan, Lukas G. & Ugursal, V. Ismet, 2009. "Modeling of end-use energy consumption in the residential sector: A review of modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(8), pages 1819-1835, October.
    4. Shailendra Singh & Abdulsalam Yassine, 2018. "Big Data Mining of Energy Time Series for Behavioral Analytics and Energy Consumption Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-26, February.
    5. Widén, Joakim & Wäckelgård, Ewa, 2010. "A high-resolution stochastic model of domestic activity patterns and electricity demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(6), pages 1880-1892, June.
    6. Ma, Zhenjun & Yan, Rui & Nord, Natasa, 2017. "A variation focused cluster analysis strategy to identify typical daily heating load profiles of higher education buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 90-102.
    7. Marszal-Pomianowska, Anna & Heiselberg, Per & Kalyanova Larsen, Olena, 2016. "Household electricity demand profiles – A high-resolution load model to facilitate modelling of energy flexible buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 487-501.
    8. Ioannis Panapakidis & Nikolaos Asimopoulos & Athanasios Dagoumas & Georgios C. Christoforidis, 2017. "An Improved Fuzzy C-Means Algorithm for the Implementation of Demand Side Management Measures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-42, September.
    9. Komi Nagbe & Jairo Cugliari & Julien Jacques, 2018. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using a Functional State Space Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alireza Vahabzadeh & Alibakhsh Kasaeian & Hasan Monsef & Alireza Aslani, 2020. "A Fuzzy-SOM Method for Fraud Detection in Power Distribution Networks with High Penetration of Roof-Top Grid-Connected PV," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-24, March.
    2. Amin, Amin & Mourshed, Monjur, 2024. "Community stochastic domestic electricity forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    3. Ping Ma & Shuhui Cui & Mingshuai Chen & Shengzhe Zhou & Kai Wang, 2023. "Review of Family-Level Short-Term Load Forecasting and Its Application in Household Energy Management System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Marlon Schlemminger & Raphael Niepelt & Rolf Brendel, 2021. "A Cross-Country Model for End-Use Specific Aggregated Household Load Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-24, April.
    5. Angreine Kewo & Pinrolinvic D. K. Manembu & Per Sieverts Nielsen, 2023. "A Rigorous Standalone Literature Review of Residential Electricity Load Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-27, May.
    6. Lu Jiang & Xingpeng Chen & Bing Xue, 2019. "Features, Driving Forces and Transition of the Household Energy Consumption in China: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-20, February.
    7. Nakyoung Kim & Sangdon Park & Joohyung Lee & Jun Kyun Choi, 2018. "Load Profile Extraction by Mean-Shift Clustering with Sample Pearson Correlation Coefficient Distance," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Capozzoli, Alfonso & Piscitelli, Marco Savino & Brandi, Silvio & Grassi, Daniele & Chicco, Gianfranco, 2018. "Automated load pattern learning and anomaly detection for enhancing energy management in smart buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 336-352.
    2. Rafael Sánchez-Durán & Joaquín Luque & Julio Barbancho, 2019. "Long-Term Demand Forecasting in a Scenario of Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-23, August.
    3. Shao, Zhen & Chao, Fu & Yang, Shan-Lin & Zhou, Kai-Le, 2017. "A review of the decomposition methodology for extracting and identifying the fluctuation characteristics in electricity demand forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 123-136.
    4. Marlon Schlemminger & Raphael Niepelt & Rolf Brendel, 2021. "A Cross-Country Model for End-Use Specific Aggregated Household Load Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-24, April.
    5. Nick MacMackin, & Miller, Lindsay & Carriveau, Rupp, 2019. "Modeling and disaggregating hourly effects of weather on sectoral electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    6. Takeda, Hisashi & Tamura, Yoshiyasu & Sato, Seisho, 2016. "Using the ensemble Kalman filter for electricity load forecasting and analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 184-198.
    7. Yilmaz, S. & Chambers, J. & Patel, M.K., 2019. "Comparison of clustering approaches for domestic electricity load profile characterisation - Implications for demand side management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 665-677.
    8. Ferrari, Simone & Zagarella, Federica & Caputo, Paola & D'Amico, Antonino, 2019. "Results of a literature review on methods for estimating buildings energy demand at district level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 1130-1137.
    9. Castillo, Victhalia Zapata & Boer, Harmen-Sytze de & Muñoz, Raúl Maícas & Gernaat, David E.H.J. & Benders, René & van Vuuren, Detlef, 2022. "Future global electricity demand load curves," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    10. Engeland, Kolbjørn & Borga, Marco & Creutin, Jean-Dominique & François, Baptiste & Ramos, Maria-Helena & Vidal, Jean-Philippe, 2017. "Space-time variability of climate variables and intermittent renewable electricity production – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 600-617.
    11. Lei, Lei & Wu, Bing & Fang, Xin & Chen, Li & Wu, Hao & Liu, Wei, 2023. "A dynamic anomaly detection method of building energy consumption based on data mining technology," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    12. Francisco Martínez-Álvarez & Alicia Troncoso & José C. Riquelme, 2018. "Data Science and Big Data in Energy Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-2, November.
    13. Paul Anton Verwiebe & Stephan Seim & Simon Burges & Lennart Schulz & Joachim Müller-Kirchenbauer, 2021. "Modeling Energy Demand—A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-58, November.
    14. Wu, Junqi & Niu, Zhibin & Li, Xiang & Huang, Lizhen & Nielsen, Per Sieverts & Liu, Xiufeng, 2023. "Understanding multi-scale spatiotemporal energy consumption data: A visual analysis approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PD).
    15. Damianakis, Nikolaos & Mouli, Gautham Ram Chandra & Bauer, Pavol & Yu, Yunhe, 2023. "Assessing the grid impact of Electric Vehicles, Heat Pumps & PV generation in Dutch LV distribution grids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    16. Hu, Maomao & Xiao, Fu & Wang, Lingshi, 2017. "Investigation of demand response potentials of residential air conditioners in smart grids using grey-box room thermal model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 324-335.
    17. Xinghua Wang & Fucheng Zhong & Yilin Xu & Xixian Liu & Zezhong Li & Jianan Liu & Zhuoli Zhao, 2023. "Extraction and Joint Method of PV–Load Typical Scenes Considering Temporal and Spatial Distribution Characteristics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-19, September.
    18. Lim, Juin Yau & Safder, Usman & How, Bing Shen & Ifaei, Pouya & Yoo, Chang Kyoo, 2021. "Nationwide sustainable renewable energy and Power-to-X deployment planning in South Korea assisted with forecasting model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    19. Dongjun Suh & Seongju Chang, 2012. "An Energy and Water Resource Demand Estimation Model for Multi-Family Housing Complexes in Korea," Energies, MDPI, vol. 5(11), pages 1-20, November.
    20. Mousavi, Navid & Kothapalli, Ganesh & Habibi, Daryoush & Das, Choton K. & Baniasadi, Ali, 2020. "A novel photovoltaic-pumped hydro storage microgrid applicable to rural areas," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:8:p:2112-:d:163603. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.