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What does the Federal Reserve's economic value model tell us about interest rate risk at U.S. community banks?

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  • Gregory E. Sierra
  • Timothy J. Yeager

Abstract

The savings and loan crisis of the 1980s revealed the vulnerability of some depository institutions to changes in interest rates. Since that episode, U.S. bank supervisors have placed more emphasis on monitoring the interest rate risk of commercial banks. Economists at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System developed a duration-based economic value model (EVM) designed to estimate the interest rate sensitivity of banks. The authors test whether measures derived from the Fed?s EVM are correlated with the interest rate sensitivity of U.S. community banks. The answer to this question is important because bank supervisors rely on EVM measures for monitoring and risk-scoping bank-level interest rate sensitivity. The authors find that the Federal Reserve?s EVM is indeed correlated with banks? interest rate sensitivity and conclude that supervisors can rely on this tool to help assess a bank?s interest rate risk. These results are consistent with prior research that finds the average interest rate risk at banks to be modest, though the potential interaction between interest rate risk and other risk factors is not considered here.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory E. Sierra & Timothy J. Yeager, 2004. "What does the Federal Reserve's economic value model tell us about interest rate risk at U.S. community banks?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 86(Nov), pages 45-60.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2004:i:nov:p:45-60:n:v.86no.6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aharony, Joseph & Saunders, Anthony & Swary, Ithzak, 1986. "The effects of a shift in monetary policy regime on the profitability and risk of commercial banks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 363-377, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dräger Vanessa & Heckmann-Draisbach Lotta & Memmel Christoph, 2021. "Interest and credit risk management in German banks: Evidence from a quantitative survey," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 63-95, February.
    2. R. Alton Gilbert & Andrew P. Meyer & Mark D. Vaughan, 2006. "Can feedback from the jumbo CD market improve bank surveillance?," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 92(Spr), pages 135-175.
    3. Thomas B. King & Daniel A. Nuxoll & Timothy J. Yeager, 2006. "Are the causes of bank distress changing? can researchers keep up?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 88(Jan), pages 57-80.
    4. Memmel, Christoph, 2011. "Banks' exposure to interest rate risk, their earnings from term transformation, and the dynamics of the term structure," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 282-289, February.
    5. Vickery, James, 2008. "How and why do small firms manage interest rate risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 446-470, February.
    6. Ning Gong & Kenneth D. Jones, 2013. "Bailouts, Monitoring, and Penalties: An Integrated Framework of Government Policies to Manage the Too-Big-to-Fail Problem," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 299-325, September.
    7. Chaudron, Raymond F.D.D., 2018. "Bank's interest rate risk and profitability in a prolonged environment of low interest rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 94-104.
    8. Cerrone, Rosaria & Cocozza, Rosa & Curcio, Domenico & Gianfrancesco, Igor, 2017. "Does prudential regulation contribute to effective measurement and management of interest rate risk? Evidence from Italian banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 126-138.
    9. Raymond Chaudron, 2016. "Bank profitability and risk taking in a prolonged environment of low interest rates: a study of interest rate risk in the banking book of Dutch banks," DNB Working Papers 526, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    10. Laura Parisi & Igor Gianfrancesco & Camillo Gilberto & Paolo Giudici, 2015. "Monetary transmission models for bank interest rates," DEM Working Papers Series 101, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    11. Stojanovic, Dusan & Vaughan, Mark D. & Yeager, Timothy J., 2008. "Do Federal Home Loan Bank membership and advances increase bank risk-taking?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 680-698, May.
    12. Galen Sher & Giuseppe Loiacono, 2013. "Maturity Transformation and Interest Rate Risk in Large European Bank Loan Portfolios," EcoMod2013 5442, EcoMod.
    13. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2015. "Dynamic models for monetary transmission," DEM Working Papers Series 106, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.

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