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Wage Growth When Inflation Is High

Author

Listed:
  • Òscar Jordà
  • Celeste Liu
  • Fernanda Nechio
  • Fabián Rivera-Reyes

Abstract

In a tight labor market, workers are able to respond to price increases by bargaining for higher wages. Analyzing conditions since the pandemic shows that, in the recent environment of elevated inflation and low unemployment, wages have become much more sensitive to expected price inflation than in the past. The impact of inflation expectations on wages also appears to have become longer lasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Òscar Jordà & Celeste Liu & Fernanda Nechio & Fabián Rivera-Reyes, 2022. "Wage Growth When Inflation Is High," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(25), pages 1-6, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:94744
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jesse LaBelle & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2022. "Supply Chain Disruptions and Inflation During COVID-19," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 11, pages 1-3, May.
    2. A. W. Phillips, 1958. "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 25(100), pages 283-299, November.
    3. Reuven Glick & Sylvain Leduc & Mollie Pepper, 2022. "Will Workers Demand Cost-of-Living Adjustments?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(21), pages 1-6, August.
    4. Jesse LaBelle & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2022. "Global Supply Chain Disruptions and Inflation During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 104(2), pages 78-91.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bank of Korea, 2023. "Labour markets and inflation," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation and labour markets, volume 127, pages 195-202, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Adiah Bailey & Victor Hernandez Martinez, 2023. "The Effect of Higher Financing Costs on Job Openings and Online Job Postings," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(09), pages 1-7, May.
    3. Gödl, Maximilian & Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel, 2023. "Wage Setting in Times of High and Low Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277641, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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