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The Effect of Higher Financing Costs on Job Openings and Online Job Postings

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  • Adiah Bailey
  • Victor Hernandez Martinez

Abstract

In this Economic Commentary, we consider whether the declines in vacancies seen in the second half of 2022 could have been driven by monetary policy tightening. We look at whether the variation in this decline across industries and states was consistent with increases in the federal funds rate. Our first strategy focuses on variation at the industry level in exposure to higher borrowing costs. Our second leverages geographic differences in the effect of monetary policy tightening on financing costs. Both strategies suggest that monetary policy is, at least in part, responsible for the recent decline in vacancies.

Suggested Citation

  • Adiah Bailey & Victor Hernandez Martinez, 2023. "The Effect of Higher Financing Costs on Job Openings and Online Job Postings," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(09), pages 1-7, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcec:96159
    DOI: 10.26509/frbc-ec-202309
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Òscar Jordà & Celeste Liu & Fernanda Nechio & Fabián Rivera-Reyes, 2022. "Wage Growth When Inflation Is High," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(25), pages 1-6, September.
    2. Altavilla, Carlo & Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2020. "Mending the broken link: Heterogeneous bank lending rates and monetary policy pass-through," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 81-98.
    3. Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2014. "Credit, Vacancies and Unemployment Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 17(2), pages 191-205, April.
    4. Pietro Garibaldi, 1997. "The Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy on Job Creation and Destruction," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, December.
    5. Ghosh, Saibal & Ghosh, Saurabh, 2006. "Does Monetary Policy Affect A Firm’s Investment Through Leverage? Micro Evidence for India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 59(1), pages 17-31.
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