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Policy Responses to Aid Surges in Countries with Limited International Capital Mobility: The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime

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  • Berg, Andrew
  • Portillo, Rafael
  • Zanna, Luis-Felipe

Abstract

We study the role of the exchange rate regime, reserve accumulation, and sterilization policies in the macroeconomics of aid surges. Absent sterilization, a peg allows for almost full aid absorption—an increase in the current account deficit net of aid—delivering the same effects as those of a flexible regime but with a necessary increase in inflation. Regardless of the regime, policies that limit absorption and result in large accumulation of reserves—are welfare reducing: they help reduce the real appreciation (and inflation under the peg), but at the expense of reducing private consumption and investment, and therefore medium-term growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Berg, Andrew & Portillo, Rafael & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2015. "Policy Responses to Aid Surges in Countries with Limited International Capital Mobility: The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 116-129.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:69:y:2015:i:c:p:116-129
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.017
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    Cited by:

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    2. Oliver Morrissey & Lionel Roger & Lars Spreng, 2019. "Aid and exchange rates in sub-Saharan Africa: No more Dutch Disease?," Discussion Papers 2019-07, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    3. Chuku Chuku, 2016. "Evaluating monetary policy options for managing resource revenue shocks when fiscal policy is laissez-faire: Application to Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series 045, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Hendrik W. Kruse & Inmaculada Martínez‐Zarzoso, 2021. "Transfers in the gravity equation," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 410-442, February.
    5. Chuku Chuku, 2020. "Monetary policy options for managing resource revenue shocks when fiscal policy is laissez-faire," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 113-138, February.
    6. Chuku Chuku, 2016. "Evaluating monetary policy options for managing resource revenue shocks when fiscal policy is laissez-faire: Application to Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2016-45, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Fischer, A.M., 2016. "Aid and the symbiosis of global redistribution and development: Comparative historical lessons from two icons of development studies," ISS Working Papers - General Series 618, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    8. Chuku Chuku & Jacob Oduor & Anthony Simpasa & Peter Mwanakatwe, 2019. "Working Paper 318 - A DGE Model for Growth and Development Planning: Malawi," Working Paper Series 2444, African Development Bank.
    9. Chuku Chuku & Anthony Simpasa & Jacob Oduor, 2018. "Macroeconomic Consequences of Commodity Price Fluctuations in African Economies," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(4), pages 329-345, December.

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