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Policy Responses to Aid Surges in Countries with Limited International Capital Mobility: The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime

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  • Berg, Andrew
  • Portillo, Rafael
  • Zanna, Luis-Felipe

Abstract

We study the role of the exchange rate regime, reserve accumulation, and sterilization policies in the macroeconomics of aid surges. Absent sterilization, a peg allows for almost full aid absorption—an increase in the current account deficit net of aid—delivering the same effects as those of a flexible regime but with a necessary increase in inflation. Regardless of the regime, policies that limit absorption and result in large accumulation of reserves—are welfare reducing: they help reduce the real appreciation (and inflation under the peg), but at the expense of reducing private consumption and investment, and therefore medium-term growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Berg, Andrew & Portillo, Rafael & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2015. "Policy Responses to Aid Surges in Countries with Limited International Capital Mobility: The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 116-129.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:69:y:2015:i:c:p:116-129
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.017
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    3. Hendrik W. Kruse & Inmaculada Martínez‐Zarzoso, 2021. "Transfers in the gravity equation," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 410-442, February.
    4. Chuku Chuku, 2020. "Monetary policy options for managing resource revenue shocks when fiscal policy is laissez-faire," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 113-138, February.
    5. Fischer, A.M., 2016. "Aid and the symbiosis of global redistribution and development: Comparative historical lessons from two icons of development studies," ISS Working Papers - General Series 618, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    6. Fischer, A.M., 2017. "Dilemmas of externally financing domestic expenditures: Rethinking the political economy of aid and social protection through the monetary transformation dilemma," ISS Working Papers - General Series 629, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    7. Chuku Chuku, 2016. "Evaluating monetary policy options for managing resource revenue shocks when fiscal policy is laissez-faire: Application to Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2016-45, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Chuku Chuku & Jacob Oduor & Anthony Simpasa & Peter Mwanakatwe, 2019. "Working Paper 318 - A DGE Model for Growth and Development Planning: Malawi," Working Paper Series 2444, African Development Bank.
    9. Chuku Chuku & Anthony Simpasa & Jacob Oduor, 2018. "Macroeconomic Consequences of Commodity Price Fluctuations in African Economies," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(4), pages 329-345, December.

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