IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/wdevel/v165y2023ics0305750x23000141.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Disaster mortalities and the Sendai Framework Target A: Insights from Zimbabwe

Author

Listed:
  • Mavhura, Emmanuel
  • Raj Aryal, Komal

Abstract

In many parts of the world, human losses to disasters have been on the increase during the past three decades. This has slowed down the human development process. In an attempt to curb disaster impact, the world adopted an action-oriented Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR) in 2015. Target A of the SFDRR seeks to substantially reduce disaster mortalities by 2030. This study contributes to the SFDRR by bringing in disaster-disaggregated mortality data to assess the progress of Zimbabwe’s commitment in attaining Target A. The data came from the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency, the Traffic Safety Council of Zimbabwe, the Department of Civil Protection and the EM-DAT database. To analyse the data, we conducted 3-year and 5-year moving averages for a period of thirty years to frame a holistic picture of the disaster mortalities in Zimbabwe. We also applied the methodology developed by the Open-Ended Intergovernmental Expert Working Group to determine the mortality rates for the overall and individual disaster type. Results clearly showed that Zimbabwe is making progress in reducing disaster mortalities despite a few spikes across its range of disasters. Major deaths were caused by drought, diarrhoea, malaria and tropical cyclones. Therefore, Zimbabwe needs to invest in drought monitoring and mitigation, cyclone forecasting and early warnings, and the surveillance and prevention of diarrhoeal diseases and malaria in order to substantially reduce the disaster mortality by the year 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Mavhura, Emmanuel & Raj Aryal, Komal, 2023. "Disaster mortalities and the Sendai Framework Target A: Insights from Zimbabwe," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:165:y:2023:i:c:s0305750x23000141
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106196
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X23000141
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106196?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laura A. Bakkensen & Xiangying Shi & Brianna D. Zurita, 2018. "The Impact of Disaster Data on Estimating Damage Determinants and Climate Costs," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 49-71, April.
    2. Jombo, Simbarashe & Adam, Elhadi & Odindi, John, 2017. "Quantification of landscape transformation due to the Fast Track Land Reform Programme (FTLRP) in Zimbabwe using remotely sensed data," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 287-294.
    3. Ivan Svetunkov & Fotios Petropoulos, 2018. "Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(18), pages 6034-6047, September.
    4. Janna Frischen & Isabel Meza & Daniel Rupp & Katharina Wietler & Michael Hagenlocher, 2020. "Drought Risk to Agricultural Systems in Zimbabwe: A Spatial Analysis of Hazard, Exposure, and Vulnerability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, January.
    5. Okuyama, Naoko & Inaba, Yoji, 2017. "Influence of natural disasters on social engagement and post-disaster well-being: The case of the Great East Japan Earthquake," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 1-13.
    6. Ian Scoones & Felix Murimbarimba, 2021. "Small Towns and Land Reform in Zimbabwe," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(6), pages 2040-2062, December.
    7. Emmanuel Mavhura, 2016. "Disaster legislation: a critical review of the Civil Protection Act of Zimbabwe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 605-621, January.
    8. repec:nas:journl:v:115:y:2018:p:3529-3537 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. M. Godsoe & M. Ladd & R. Cox, 2019. "Assessing Canada’s disaster baselines and projections under the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction: a modeling tool to track progress," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(1), pages 293-317, August.
    10. Danna A. Slusky & Julie Cwikel & Michael R. Quastel, 2017. "Chronic diseases and mortality among immigrants to Israel from areas contaminated by the Chernobyl disaster: a follow-up study," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 62(4), pages 463-469, May.
    11. Emmanuel Mavhura, 2020. "Learning from the tropical cyclones that ravaged Zimbabwe: policy implications for effective disaster preparedness," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2261-2275, December.
    12. Bigboy Ngwenya & Jacques Oosthuizen & Martyn Cross & Kwasi Frimpong & Cynthia Nombulelo Chaibva, 2018. "A Review of Heat Stress Policies in the Context of Climate Change and Its Impacts on Outdoor Workers: Evidence From Zimbabwe," International Journal of Social Ecology and Sustainable Development (IJSESD), IGI Global, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, January.
    13. Ray-Bennett, Nibedita S., 2018. "Disasters, Deaths, and the Sendai Goal One: Lessons from Odisha, India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 27-39.
    14. Motohiro Tsuboi & Manabu Hibiya & Rumiko Tsuboi & Shigemasa Taguchi & Koichi Yasaka & Kazuya Kiyota & Kayako Sakisaka, 2022. "Analysis of Disaster-Related Deaths in the Great East Japan Earthquake: A Retrospective Observational Study Using Data from Ishinomaki City, Miyagi, Japan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-10, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Emmanuel Mavhura & Edson Munsaka & Gloria Round & Nomathemba Ngwenya & Paul Mabanga & Zacharia Jusa, 2024. "Disaster policy framework analysis: Experts' perspectives on the usefulness of the disaster legislation in Zimbabwe," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 852-866, March.
    2. Janna Frischen & Isabel Meza & Daniel Rupp & Katharina Wietler & Michael Hagenlocher, 2020. "Drought Risk to Agricultural Systems in Zimbabwe: A Spatial Analysis of Hazard, Exposure, and Vulnerability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, January.
    3. Chris M. Foggin & Laura E. Rosen & Marijke M. Henton & Angela Buys & Toby Floyd & Andrew D. Turner & Jonathan Tarbin & Antony S. Lloyd & Columbas Chaitezvi & Richard J. Ellis & Helen C. Roberts & Akba, 2023. "Pasteurella sp. associated with fatal septicaemia in six African elephants," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Thi-Nham Le & Thanh-Tuan Dang, 2022. "An Integrated Approach for Evaluating the Efficiency of FDI Attractiveness: Evidence from Vietnamese Provincial Data from 2012 to 2022," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-25, October.
    5. Emmanuel Mavhura, 2020. "Learning from the tropical cyclones that ravaged Zimbabwe: policy implications for effective disaster preparedness," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2261-2275, December.
    6. Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Chen, Zhi & Gaba, Anil & Tsetlin, Ilia & Winkler, Robert L., 2022. "The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1365-1385.
    7. Liboster Mwadzingeni & Raymond Mugandani & Paramu L. Mafongoya, 2021. "Assessing Vulnerability to Climate Change in Smallholder Irrigation Schemes of Zimbabwe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    8. Waseem Akhter & Khalid Zaman & Abdelmohsen A. Nassani & Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi Abro, 2020. "Nexus between natural and technical disaster shocks, resource depletion and growth-specific factors: evidence from quantile regression," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 143-169, October.
    9. Kang, Yanfei & Cao, Wei & Petropoulos, Fotios & Li, Feng, 2022. "Forecast with forecasts: Diversity matters," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(1), pages 180-190.
    10. Xiang Zheng & Chuyao Feng & Mikio Ishiwatari, 2022. "Examining the Indirect Death Surveillance System of The Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-15, September.
    11. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Ho, Shan-Ju & Wu, Ting-Pin, 2021. "The impact of natural disaster on energy consumption: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    12. Hiroko Mori & Shuichi P. Obuchi & Yasuhiro Sugawara & Takeo Nakayama & Ryutaro Takahashi, 2020. "Comparison of Two Evacuation Shelter Operating Policies and the Role of Public Health Nurses after the Great East Japan Earthquake: A Qualitative Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(22), pages 1-18, November.
    13. Alex Dunne & Yuriy Kuleshov, 2023. "Drought risk assessment and mapping for the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 839-863, January.
    14. Feiyue Wang & Ziling Xie & Zhongwei Pei & Dingli Liu, 2022. "Emergency Relief Chain for Natural Disaster Response Based on Government-Enterprise Coordination," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-22, September.
    15. Kang, Yanfei & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Petropoulos, Fotios & Athiniotis, Nikolaos & Li, Feng & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2021. "Déjà vu: A data-centric forecasting approach through time series cross-similarity," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 719-731.
    16. Dimitrios Dadakas & Stavroula Tatsi, 2021. "Global agricultural trade impact of the 2011 triple disaster in Japan: A gravity approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(4), pages 937-972, October.
    17. Christos Spandonidis & Dimitrios Paraskevopoulos & Christina Saravanos, 2023. "Neighborhood-Level Particle Pollution Assessment during the COVID-19 Pandemic via a Novel IoT Solution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-16, May.
    18. Walter Musakwa & Ephraim Mpofu & Nesisa Analisa Nyathi, 2020. "Local Community Perceptions on Landscape Change, Ecosystem Services, Climate Change, and Livelihoods in Gonarezhou National Park, Zimbabwe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-19, June.
    19. Evangelos Spiliotis & Spyros Makridakis & Artemios-Anargyros Semenoglou & Vassilios Assimakopoulos, 2022. "Comparison of statistical and machine learning methods for daily SKU demand forecasting," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 3037-3061, July.
    20. Lihui Wu & Da Ma & Jinling Li, 2023. "Assessment of the Regional Vulnerability to Natural Disasters in China Based on DEA Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-12, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:165:y:2023:i:c:s0305750x23000141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/worlddev .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.