IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/trapol/v150y2024icp189-205.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Space-time analysis of accident frequency and the role of built environment in mitigation

Author

Listed:
  • Soltani, Ali
  • Roohani Qadikolaei, Mohsen

Abstract

The focus of this paper is to analyze the trends and locations of accidents in the Greater Melbourne Area (GMA) during a 15-year period (2006–2020). The places where accidents were most prevalent were discovered and the reasons which are contributing to the high accident rates in those areas are determined. Analyzing the patterns over time and variations in the frequency of accidents helped to identify areas that have improved or deteriorated in terms of road safety. A Tweedie model was developed to examine the intricate interaction between the accident frequency and its potential contributing factors such as socio-demographics, road transport infrastructure, and built environment. Ultimately, a clustering analysis was performed to elucidate the dispersion of road accident risk ratings among different local government areas (LGAs), offering useful insights into road safety initiatives and prioritization.

Suggested Citation

  • Soltani, Ali & Roohani Qadikolaei, Mohsen, 2024. "Space-time analysis of accident frequency and the role of built environment in mitigation," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 189-205.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:150:y:2024:i:c:p:189-205
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.02.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X24000416
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.02.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rosenlieb, Evan G. & McAndrews, Carolyn & Marshall, Wesley E. & Troy, Austin, 2018. "Urban development patterns and exposure to hazardous and protective traffic environments," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 125-134.
    2. Jessica Truong & Johan Strandroth & David B. Logan & R. F. Soames Job & Stuart Newstead, 2022. "Utilising Human Crash Tolerance to Design an Interim and Ultimate Safe System for Road Safety," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    3. Bent Jørgensen & Célestin Kokonendji, 2016. "Discrete dispersion models and their Tweedie asymptotics," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 100(1), pages 43-78, January.
    4. Redman, Lauren & Friman, Margareta & Gärling, Tommy & Hartig, Terry, 2013. "Quality attributes of public transport that attract car users: A research review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 119-127.
    5. Zeyang Cheng & Zhenshan Zu & Jian Lu, 2018. "Traffic Crash Evolution Characteristic Analysis and Spatiotemporal Hotspot Identification of Urban Road Intersections," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    6. Youngbin Lym & Seunghoon Kim & Zhenhua Chen, 2022. "The influence of urbanicity and built environment on the frequency of distracted driving-related crashes: a multi-state comparison," International Journal of Urban Sciences, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 185-212, April.
    7. Ali Soltani & Andrew Allan & Dorina Pojani & Fahimeh Khalaj & Milad Mehdizadeh, 2022. "Users and non-users of bikesharing: how do they differ?," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 39-58, January.
    8. Shaohua Wang & Yanyan Chen & Jianling Huang & Ning Chen & Yao Lu, 2019. "Macrolevel Traffic Crash Analysis: A Spatial Econometric Model Approach," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-10, May.
    9. Jovanis, Paul P. & Kaneko, Tetsuya & Lin, Tzuoo-Din, 1991. "Exploratory Analysis of Motor Carrier Accident Risk And Daily Driving Patterns," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt40g4b22f, University of California Transportation Center.
    10. Huiying Wen & Xuan Zhang & Qiang Zeng & Jaeyoung Lee & Quan Yuan, 2019. "Investigating Spatial Autocorrelation and Spillover Effects in Freeway Crash-Frequency Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-12, January.
    11. VANDENBULCKE, Grégory & THOMAS, Isabelle & INT PANIS, Luc, 2014. "Predicting cycling accident risk in Brussels: a spatial case-control approach," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2535, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    12. Zhang Sen & Zhang Ke & Liu Xiaoyang & Zeng Jian & Liu Yan & Zhao Lian, 2022. "Characterisation of elderly daily travel behaviour in Tianjin using a space–time cube," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(2), pages 603-618, February.
    13. Beck, Matthew J. & Hensher, David A., 2020. "Insights into the impact of COVID-19 on household travel and activities in Australia – The early days of easing restrictions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 95-119.
    14. Daniel Gálvez-Pérez & Begoña Guirao & Armando Ortuño & Luis Picado-Santos, 2022. "The Influence of Built Environment Factors on Elderly Pedestrian Road Safety in Cities: The Experience of Madrid," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-20, February.
    15. Wu, Xueying & Lu, Yi & Gong, Yongxi & Kang, Yuhao & Yang, Linchuan & Gou, Zhonghua, 2021. "The impacts of the built environment on bicycle-metro transfer trips: A new method to delineate metro catchment area based on people's actual cycling space," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    16. Ping Yuan & Guojia Qi & Xiuli Hu & Miao Qi & Yanna Zhou & Xiuquan Shi, 2023. "Characteristics, likelihood and challenges of road traffic injuries in China before COVID-19 and in the postpandemic era," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-8, December.
    17. Li, Tiebei & Dodson, Jago, 2020. "Job growth, accessibility, and changing commuting burden of employment centres in Melbourne," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    18. Wagner Hugo Bonat & Bent Jørgensen, 2016. "Multivariate covariance generalized linear models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(5), pages 649-675, November.
    19. Eric Dumbaugh & Wenhao Li, 2011. "Designing for the Safety of Pedestrians, Cyclists, and Motorists in Urban Environments," Journal of the American Planning Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 77(1), pages 69-88.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Maria Victoria Ibañez & Marina Martínez-Garcia & Amelia Simó, 2021. "A Review of Spatiotemporal Models for Count Data in R Packages. A Case Study of COVID-19 Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-23, July.
    2. Kokonendji, Célestin C. & Puig, Pedro, 2018. "Fisher dispersion index for multivariate count distributions: A review and a new proposal," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 180-193.
    3. W. H. Bonat & J. Olivero & M. Grande-Vega & M. A. Farfán & J. E. Fa, 2017. "Modelling the Covariance Structure in Marginal Multivariate Count Models: Hunting in Bioko Island," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 446-464, December.
    4. Zhiyu Feng & Longfei Li & Jingchun Zhang & Xinqun Feng, 2024. "Towards a Communication Ecology in the Life of Rural Senior Citizens: How Rural Public Spaces Influence Community Engagement," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-23, May.
    5. Qihao Liu & Yuzheng Liu & Chia-Lin Chen & Enrica Papa & Yantao Ling & Mengqiu Cao, 2023. "Is It Possible to Compete With Car Use? How Buses Can Facilitate Sustainable Transport," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 8(3), pages 69-83.
    6. Toşa, Cristian & Sato, Hitomi & Morikawa, Takayuki & Miwa, Tomio, 2018. "Commuting behavior in emerging urban areas: Findings of a revealed-preferences and stated-intentions survey in Cluj-Napoca, Romania," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 78-93.
    7. Alessandro Vitale & Giuseppe Guido & Daniele Rogano, 2016. "A smartphone based DSS platform for assessing transit service attributes," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 315-340, September.
    8. Tscharaktschiew, Stefan & Reimann, Felix, 2021. "On employer-paid parking and parking (cash-out) policy: A formal synthesis of different perspectives," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 499-516.
    9. Molloy, Joseph & Schatzmann, Thomas & Schoeman, Beaumont & Tchervenkov, Christopher & Hintermann, Beat & Axhausen, Kay W., 2021. "Observed impacts of the Covid-19 first wave on travel behaviour in Switzerland based on a large GPS panel," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 43-51.
    10. Kim, Suji & Lee, Sujin & Ko, Eunjeong & Jang, Kitae & Yeo, Jiho, 2021. "Changes in car and bus usage amid the COVID-19 pandemic: Relationship with land use and land price," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    11. de Oña, Juan & Estévez, Esperanza & de Oña, Rocío, 2021. "How does private vehicle users perceive the public transport service quality in large metropolitan areas? A European comparison," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 173-188.
    12. Liang, Zhiyuan & Tang, Yili & Yu, Jianing & Wang, Yacan, 2024. "A collective incentive strategy to manage ridership rebound and consumer surplus in mass transit systems," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    13. Laila Oubahman & Szabolcs Duleba, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of Homogenous Groups’ Preferences by Using AIP and AIJ Group AHP-PROMETHEE Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-18, May.
    14. Li, Haojie & Zhang, Yingheng & Zhu, Manman & Ren, Gang, 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 on the usage of public bicycle share in London," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 140-155.
    15. Beno Mesarec & Branka Trček, 2024. "Suggestions and Solutions for Enhancing Active Commuting to the University of Maribor and Advancing CO 2 Emission Reduction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-21, January.
    16. Christian Martin Mützel & Joachim Scheiner, 2022. "Investigating spatio-temporal mobility patterns and changes in metro usage under the impact of COVID-19 using Taipei Metro smart card data," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 343-366, June.
    17. Jiankun Yang & Min He & Mingwei He, 2022. "Exploring the Group Difference in the Nonlinear Relationship between Commuting Satisfaction and Commuting Time," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-19, July.
    18. Yue Liu & Jun Chen & Weiguang Wu & Jiao Ye, 2019. "Typical Combined Travel Mode Choice Utility Model in Multimodal Transportation Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-15, January.
    19. Tong, Zhaomin & Zhang, Ziyi & An, Rui & Liu, Yaolin & Chen, Huiting & Xu, Jiwei & Fu, Shihang, 2024. "Detecting anomalous commuting patterns: Mismatch between urban land attractiveness and commuting activities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    20. Magalhães, David José Ahouagi Vaz de & Rivera-Gonzalez, Carlos, 2021. "Car users’ attitudes towards an enhanced bus system to mitigate urban congestion in a developing country," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 452-464.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:150:y:2024:i:c:p:189-205. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.