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An evaluation of departure throughputs before and after the implementation of wake vortex recategorization at Atlanta Hartsfield/Jackson International Airport: A Markov regime-switching approach

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  • Diana, Tony

Abstract

This paper utilizes a Markov regime-switching model to decompose airport departures into two regimes and to investigate the change in departure throughputs before and after implementing wake recat at ATL. Although analysts may not always know with certainty which regime prevails and how long it may last, they can compute the transition probabilities and expected duration of each regime. After the implementation, there was a 91% chance that departure throughputs would remain unconstrained (up from 86% before implementation) and a 37% chance that departure throughputs would become constrained (up from 35% before implementation).

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  • Diana, Tony, 2015. "An evaluation of departure throughputs before and after the implementation of wake vortex recategorization at Atlanta Hartsfield/Jackson International Airport: A Markov regime-switching approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 216-224.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:83:y:2015:i:c:p:216-224
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2015.09.005
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    1. Robert E. McCulloch & Ruey S. Tsay, 1994. "Statistical Analysis Of Economic Time Series Via Markov Switching Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(5), pages 523-539, September.
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    3. Filardo, Andrew J, 1994. "Business-Cycle Phases and Their Transitional Dynamics," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(3), pages 299-308, July.
    4. Goldfeld, Stephen M. & Quandt, Richard E., 1973. "A Markov model for switching regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 3-15, March.
    5. Small, Kenneth A. & Ng, Chen Feng, 2014. "Optimizing road capacity and type," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 145-157.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chu, Nana & Ng, Kam K.H. & Liu, Ye & Hon, Kai Kwong & Chan, Pak Wai & Li, Jianbing & Zhang, Xiaoge, 2024. "Assessment of approach separation with probabilistic aircraft wake vortex recognition via deep learning," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    2. Diana, Tony, 2018. "An evaluation of the impact of wake vortex re-categorization: The case of Charlotte Douglas International airport (CLT)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 41-49.

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