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Do expectations of future wealth increase outbound tourism? Evidence from Korea

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  • Kim, Hong-bumm
  • Park, Jung-Ho
  • Lee, Seul Ki
  • Jang, SooCheong (Shawn)

Abstract

As international tourism is generally considered a luxury good, models to date have shared an understanding that demand is dependent on discretionary income. However, consumption theories predict that a shift in demand can be induced without changes in actual earnings when expectations for future income are adjusted. This presumes demand for international tourism can be influenced by “wealth effects” from real estate and financial assets. This study tested for the wealth effect on Korean outbound travelers during the 20 years between 1989 and 2009. Korea is a unique place to examine in that Korean households possess housing assets and financial assets that are traded actively in markets. The results of this study favored the possibility of a significant wealth effect from housing on outbound travel demand, but not from financial assets. This may be explained by data sensitivity and the relative importance of financial assets in the Korean people's wealth portfolios. Implications and suggestions for future research are provided along with the findings of the study.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Hong-bumm & Park, Jung-Ho & Lee, Seul Ki & Jang, SooCheong (Shawn), 2012. "Do expectations of future wealth increase outbound tourism? Evidence from Korea," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1141-1147.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:33:y:2012:i:5:p:1141-1147
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2011.11.017
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    3. Özcan Ceyhun Can & Uçak Harun, 2016. "Outbound Tourism Demand of Turkey: A Markov Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Czech Journal of Tourism, Sciendo, vol. 5(2), pages 59-72, December.
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    5. Zdravko Šergo, 2020. "The wealth effect and tourism – ARDL modeling and Granger causality in selected EU countries," Tourism and Hospitality Management, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Tourism and Hospitality Management, vol. 26(1), pages 195-212, June.
    6. Fernando Sánchez López, 2022. "Measuring the Effect of the Misery Index on International Tourist Departures: Empirical Evidence from Mexico," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, April.
    7. Luojia Wang & Kerui Du & Bin Fang & Rob Law, 2023. "Escape from air pollution: How does air quality in the place of residence shape tourism consumption?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 1074-1099, June.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Sahar Aghazadeh & George N Ike, 2021. "Modelling the employment, income and price elasticities of outbound tourism demand in OECD countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 971-990, August.
    9. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Drakos, Konstantinos & Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2022. "Predicting international tourist arrivals in Greece with a novel sector-specific business leading indicator," MPRA Paper 113860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Fernando Sánchez López, 2019. "Unemployment and Growth in the Tourism Sector in Mexico: Revisiting the Growth-Rate Version of Okun’s Law," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-17, August.
    11. Eugenio-Martin, Juan L. & Cazorla-Artiles, José M., 2020. "The shares method for revealing latent tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Chen, Lu & Li, Yong-Quan & Liu, Chih-Hsing, 2019. "How airline service quality determines the quantity of repurchase intention - Mediate and moderate effects of brand quality and perceived value," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 185-197.
    13. Shah Jahan Miah & Huy Quan Vu & John G. Gammack, 2019. "A Location Analytics Method for the Utilisation of Geotagged Photos in Travel Marketing Decision-Making," Journal of Information & Knowledge Management (JIKM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 1-29, March.
    14. Gholipour, Hassan Fereidouni & Tajaddini, Reza & Al-mulali, Usama, 2014. "Does personal freedom influence outbound tourism?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 19-25.

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