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Short-term and long-term dynamics of venture capital and economic growth in a digital economy: A study of European countries

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  • Pradhan, Rudra P.
  • Arvin, Mak B.
  • Nair, Mahendhiran
  • Bennett, Sara E.
  • Bahmani, Sahar

Abstract

There has been a significant transformation in the diffusion of information and communication technology (ICT), development of the venture capital industry, and economic growth in European countries over the past three decades. Using vector error-correction modelling, we examine the possible interrelations between venture capital investment, ICT infrastructure, and economic growth, based on annual data from 25 European countries between 1989 and 2016. Specifically, we examine the direction of Granger causality between these variables. We find that the variables are cointegrated. Our empirical results also illustrate that both economic growth and the development of ICT infrastructure impact all stages of venture capital investment (early, late, and overall VC investment) in the long run. The study also shows that economic growth and late-stage venture capital investment impact internet usage; and internet usage and late-stage venture capital impact economic growth in the long run. The results also reveal strong inter-linkages between the variables in the short run. Overall, empirical results suggest that policy-makers should give special attention to an integrated policy approach for the co-development of the ICT infrastructure, venture capital, and economic growth in Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Bennett, Sara E. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2019. "Short-term and long-term dynamics of venture capital and economic growth in a digital economy: A study of European countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 125-134.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:teinso:v:57:y:2019:i:c:p:125-134
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2018.11.002
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    15. Mohammad Mustafa & Syed Shahid Mazhar, 2020. "Determinants of Venture Capital Investment in India: A Time Series Analysis," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(1), pages 19-30, June.
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    17. Santos-Arteaga, Francisco J. & Di Caprio, Debora & Tavana, Madjid, 2023. "A combinatorial data envelopment analysis with uncertain interval data with application to ICT evaluation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    18. Yáñez-Valdés, Claudia & Guerrero, Maribel & Barros-Celume, Sebastián & Ibáñez, María J., 2023. "Winds of change due to global lockdowns: Refreshing digital social entrepreneurship research paradigm," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    19. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Does news related to digital economy and central bank digital currency affect digital economy ETFs? Evidence from TVP-VAR connectedness and wavelet local multiple correlation analyses," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    20. Fernández-Portillo, Antonio & Almodóvar-González, Manuel & Hernández-Mogollón, Ricardo, 2020. "Impact of ICT development on economic growth. A study of OECD European union countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    21. Khan, Muhammad Zubair & Khan, Zafir Ullah & Hameed, Affan & Zada, Shehnaz Sahib, 2021. "On the upside or flipside: Where is venture capital positioned in the era of digital disruptions?," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    22. Liu, Yi & Zhao, Xuan & Liu, Yi & Kong, Fanjun, 2023. "The dynamic impact of digital economy on the green development of traditional manufacturing industry: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 143-160.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Venture capital investment; ICT infrastructure; Economic growth; Granger causality; European countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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