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Rising to the challenges—Reflections on Future-oriented Technology Analysis

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  • Georghiou, Luke
  • Cassingena Harper, Jennifer

Abstract

Drawing upon the presentations made at the fourth conference on Future-oriented Technology Analysis, this essay reflects on the implications of the current period of instability and discontinuity for the practice of FTA or foresight. In the past the demand environment for foresight on research and innovation policy favoured application to priority-setting and articulation of demand. New tendencies include a heightened search for breakthrough science and a focus on grand societal challenges. By their nature boundary-spanning, these make it less easy to locate FTA institutionally to achieve the necessary cross-cutting perspective. New institutions, methods and combinations of methods are noted. Dealing with disruptive transformations is seen as the key forward challenge for the practice of FTA.

Suggested Citation

  • Georghiou, Luke & Cassingena Harper, Jennifer, 2013. "Rising to the challenges—Reflections on Future-oriented Technology Analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 467-470.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:80:y:2013:i:3:p:467-470
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.10.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Antoine Schoen & T. Könnölä & P. Warnke & R. Barre & S. Kuhlmann, 2011. "Tailoring Foresight to field specificities," Post-Print hal-00645795, HAL.
    2. Cristiano Cagnin & Effie Amanatidou & Michael Keenan, 2012. "Orienting European innovation systems towards grand challenges and the roles that FTA can play," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 39(2), pages 140-152, March.
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    1. Cagnin, Cristiano & Havas, Attila & Saritas, Ozcan, 2013. "Future-oriented technology analysis: Its potential to address disruptive transformations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 379-385.
    2. Haegeman, Karel & Marinelli, Elisabetta & Scapolo, Fabiana & Ricci, Andrea & Sokolov, Alexander, 2013. "Quantitative and qualitative approaches in Future-oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): From combination to integration?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 386-397.
    3. Cosmin HOLEAB & Mihai PĂUNICĂ & Adrian CURAJ, 2017. "A Complex Method of Semantic Bibliometrics for Revealing Conceptual Profiles and Trends in Scientific Literature. The Case of Future-oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) Science," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 51(2), pages 23-37.
    4. Gibson, Elizabeth & Daim, Tugrul U. & Dabic, Marina, 2019. "Evaluating university industry collaborative research centers," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 181-202.
    5. Elizabeth Gibson & Tugrul Daim & Edwin Garces & Marina Dabic, 2018. "Technology Foresight: A Bibliometric Analysis to Identify Leading and Emerging Methods," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 6-24.
    6. Keller, Jonas & von der Gracht, Heiko A., 2014. "The influence of information and communication technology (ICT) on future foresight processes — Results from a Delphi survey," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 81-92.
    7. Christoph Markmann & Alexander Spickermann & Heiko A. von der Gracht & Alexander Brem, 2021. "Improving the question formulation in Delphi‐like surveys: Analysis of the effects of abstract language and amount of information on response behavior," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(1), March.
    8. Stephen Brammer & Layla Branicki & Martina Linnenluecke & Tom Smith, 2019. "Grand challenges in management research: Attributes, achievements, and advancement," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 44(4), pages 517-533, November.
    9. Kajikawa, Yuya & Mejia, Cristian & Wu, Mengjia & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Academic landscape of Technological Forecasting and Social Change through citation network and topic analyses," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    10. Paliokaitė, Agnė & Martinaitis, Žilvinas & Sarpong, David, 2016. "Implementing smart specialisation roadmaps in Lithuania: Lost in translation?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 143-152.
    11. Artjom Rafaelevich Nagimov & Elvir Munirovich Akhmetshin & Valeriy Pavlovich Slanov & Raisa Nikolaevna Shpakova & Mikhail Prokopievich Solomonov & Dmitry Pavlovich Il'yaschenko, 2018. "Foresight Technologies in the Formation of a Sustainable Regional Development Strategy," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 741-752.
    12. M. Lynne Markus & Kevin Mentzer, 2014. "Foresight for a responsible future with ICT," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 353-368, July.
    13. Lu, Louis Y.Y. & Hsieh, Chih-Hung & Liu, John S., 2016. "Development trajectory and research themes of foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 347-356.

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