IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v197y2023ics0040162523006169.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Policy modeling consistency analysis during energy crises: Evidence from China's coal power policy

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Chonghui
  • Li, Xiangwen
  • Sun, Yunfei
  • Chen, Ji
  • Streimikiene, Dalia

Abstract

The coal power crisis threatens global energy security and hinders the achievement of the sustainable development goals. Regarding energy security, quantitative analysis of the coal power policy is required for the sustainable development of the coal power industry. Therefore, by using the methods of text mining and content analysis and taking three large-scale coal power crisis series of policies in China as examples, this paper constructs a PMC index model of coal power policy and analyzes the evolution of coal power policy system from the perspective of crisis management. The results show that: (1) China's coal power policy is characterized by diversification of policy areas and policy instruments, but there are problems such as poor coordination between sectors and insufficient supply-demand early warning. (2) According to the different periods of the coal power crisis, the gestation period mainly involves the instruments of target planning and regulatory constraint, which can play a guiding role but may also have the reverse effect due to the shortage of power supply. During the explosive period, price and multisubject governance mechanisms are used to intervene in the crisis. During the processing period, the government mainly strengthens the supply-oriented policy to meet the structural adjustment of energy industry demand. (3) Throughout the three coal power crises, the supply policy instruments and multisubject governance mechanisms have gradually become the primary means to address the coal power crisis. Finally, suggestions are put forward for the implementation of the coal power policy from multiple perspectives.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Chonghui & Li, Xiangwen & Sun, Yunfei & Chen, Ji & Streimikiene, Dalia, 2023. "Policy modeling consistency analysis during energy crises: Evidence from China's coal power policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:197:y:2023:i:c:s0040162523006169
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122931
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162523006169
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122931?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Du, Limin & Mao, Jie & Shi, Jinchuan, 2009. "Assessing the impact of regulatory reforms on China's electricity generation industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 712-720, February.
    2. Dalia Streimikiene & Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, 2023. "Energy Poverty and Low Carbon Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-15, January.
    3. Zhao, Jun & Dong, Kangyin & Dong, Xiucheng & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2022. "How renewable energy alleviate energy poverty? A global analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 299-311.
    4. Bo Wang & Limao Wang & Shuai Zhong & Ning Xiang & Qiushi Qu, 2022. "Low-Carbon Transformation of Electric System against Power Shortage in China: Policy Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.
    5. Helm, Carsten & Mier, Mathias, 2021. "Steering the energy transition in a world of intermittent electricity supply: Optimal subsidies and taxes for renewables and storage," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Weihua Su & Yuying Wang & Dalia Streimikiene & Tomas Balezentis & Chonghui Zhang, 2020. "Carbon dioxide emission decomposition along the gradient of economic development: The case of energy sustainability in the G7 and Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 657-669, July.
    7. Michael Pollitt, 2021. "Measuring the Impact of Electricity Market Reform in a Chinese Context," Working Papers EPRG2111, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    8. Dong, Feng & Liu, Yajie, 2020. "Policy evolution and effect evaluation of new-energy vehicle industry in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    9. Imran, Muhammad & Amir, Namra, 2015. "A short-run solution to the power crisis of Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 382-391.
    10. Dalia Streimikiene & Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos & Vidas Lekavicius & Indre Siksnelyte-Butkiene, 2021. "Energy Poverty and Low Carbon Just Energy Transition: Comparative Study in Lithuania and Greece," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 158(1), pages 319-371, November.
    11. Zhu, Facang & Shi, Qiule & Balezentis, Tomas & Zhang, Chonghui, 2023. "The impact of e-commerce and R&D on firm-level production in China: Evidence from manufacturing sector," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 101-110.
    12. Xiao, Zumian & Gao, Juanhe & Wang, Zongshu & Yin, Zhichao & Xiang, Lijin, 2022. "Power shortage and firm productivity: Evidence from the World Bank Enterprise Survey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    13. Zhang, Liang & Ruan, Jian & Ding, Jianhua, 2014. "The institutional power shortage in China: Capacity shortage or capacity under-utilisation?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 480-494.
    14. Aliyu, Abubakar Sadiq & Ramli, Ahmad Termizi & Saleh, Muneer Aziz, 2013. "Nigeria electricity crisis: Power generation capacity expansion and environmental ramifications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 354-367.
    15. Ming, Zeng & Song, Xue & Lingyun, Li & Yuejin, Wang & Yang, Wei & Ying, Li, 2013. "China's large-scale power shortages of 2004 and 2011 after the electricity market reforms of 2002: Explanations and differences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 610-618.
    16. Wang, Chen & Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Shanlin, 2017. "A review of residential tiered electricity pricing in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 533-543.
    17. Li, Huilong & Wei, Xinyuan & Gao, Xinyu, 2021. "Objectives setting and instruments selection of circular economy policy in China's mining industry: A textual analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    18. Xingang, Zhao & Xiaomeng, Liu & Pingkuo, Liu & Tiantian, Feng, 2011. "The mechanism and policy on the electricity price of renewable energy in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4302-4309.
    19. Zhu, Bo & Deng, Yuanyue & Lin, Renda & Hu, Xin & Chen, Pingshe, 2022. "Energy security: Does systemic risk spillover matter? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    20. Yang, Mian & Hong, Yili & Yang, Fuxia, 2022. "The effects of Mandatory Energy Efficiency Policy on resource allocation efficiency: Evidence from Chinese industrial sector," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 513-524.
    21. Junming Zhu & Chengming Fan & Haijia Shi & Lei Shi, 2019. "Efforts for a Circular Economy in China: A Comprehensive Review of Policies," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 23(1), pages 110-118, February.
    22. Sunil Prasad Lohani & Prekshya Gurung & Bhawana Gautam & Ural Kafle & David Fulford & Marc Jeuland, 2023. "Current status, prospects, and implications of renewable energy for achieving sustainable development goals in Nepal," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 572-585, February.
    23. Kim, Mo Se & Lee, Byung Sung & Lee, Hye Seon & Lee, Seung Ho & Lee, Junseok & Kim, Wonse, 2020. "Robust estimation of outage costs in South Korea using a machine learning technique: Bayesian Tobit quantile regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    24. Weihua Su & Dongcai Zhang & Chonghui Zhang & Dalia Streimikiene, 2020. "Sustainability assessment of energy sector development in China and European Union," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 1063-1076, September.
    25. Heffner, G. & Maurer, L. & Sarkar, A. & Wang, X., 2010. "Minding the gap: World Bank's assistance to power shortage mitigation in the developing world," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1584-1591.
    26. Mengyun Cheng & Fengying Qin, 2021. "Innovation in construction of local eco-civilized cities in China: cooperative construction mechanism with multi-element objects," Journal of Chinese Governance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 375-395, July.
    27. Bangjun Wang & Qiaoqiao Xing, 2022. "Evaluation of the Wind Power Industry Policy in China (2010–2021): A Quantitative Analysis Based on the PMC Index Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-14, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jinglong & Wang, Dandan & Wang, Qinqin & Cai, Qiran, 2024. "Quantifying the synergy of China's carbon neutrality policies through policy documents," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Chonghui & Bai, Chen & Su, Weihua & Balezentis, Tomas, 2024. "The centralised data envelopment analysis model integrated with cost information and utility theory for power price setting under carbon peak strategy at the firm-level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    2. Wang, Xiong & Yang, Wanping & Ren, Xiaohang & Lu, Zudi, 2023. "Can financial inclusion affect energy poverty in China? Evidence from a spatial econometric analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 255-269.
    3. Ye Fan & Zhicheng Zhang & Xiaoli Zhao & Haitao Yin, 2018. "Interaction between Industrial Policy and Stock Price Volatility: Evidence from China’s Power Market Reform," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Su, Rui & Chen, Bin & Wang, Saige & Duan, Cuncun, 2024. "Energy technical resilience assessment based on complex network analysis – A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    5. Siksnelyte-Butkiene, Indre & Streimikiene, Dalia & Lekavicius, Vidas & Balezentis, Tomas, 2024. "Comprehensive analysis of energy security indicators and measurement of their integrity," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    6. Feng, Zhong-kai & Niu, Wen-jing & Wang, Sen & Cheng, Chun-tian & Jiang, Zhi-qiang & Qin, Hui & Liu, Yi, 2018. "Developing a successive linear programming model for head-sensitive hydropower system operation considering power shortage aspect," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 252-261.
    7. Pedro Macedo & Mara Madaleno & Victor Moutinho, 2022. "A New Composite Indicator for Assessing Energy Poverty Using Normalized Entropy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1139-1163, October.
    8. Gawusu, Sidique & Ahmed, Abubakari, 2024. "Analyzing variability in urban energy poverty: A stochastic modeling and Monte Carlo simulation approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    9. Dou Xiangsheng & Ishaq Fizza, 2023. "Regional Environment Risk Assessment Over Space and Time: A Case of China," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19.
    10. Peng Ou & Ruting Huang & Xin Yao, 2016. "Economic Impacts of Power Shortage," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-21, July.
    11. Reynolds, Travis & Kolodinsky, Jane & Murray, Byron, 2012. "Consumer preferences and willingness to pay for compact fluorescent lighting: Policy implications for energy efficiency promotion in Saint Lucia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 712-722.
    12. Li, Yingjie & Liu, Fang & Chen, Ke & Liu, Yinghui, 2024. "Technical and economic analysis of a hybrid PV/wind energy system for hydrogen refueling stations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    13. Junhong Qu & Xiaoli Hao, 2022. "Digital Economy, Financial Development, and Energy Poverty Based on Mediating Effects and a Spatial Autocorrelation Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-24, July.
    14. Fang, Debin & Wang, Pengyu, 2023. "Optimal real-time pricing and electricity package by retail electric providers based on social learning," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    15. Chen, Yufeng & Ni, Liangfu & Liu, Kelong, 2021. "Does China's new energy vehicle industry innovate efficiently? A three-stage dynamic network slacks-based measure approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    16. Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Singh, Sanjeet & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Apostu, Simona-Andreea & Bansal, Pooja, 2023. "Overcoming the shock of energy depletion for energy policy? Tracing the missing link between energy depletion, renewable energy development and decarbonization in the USA," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    17. Upham, Dr Paul & Sovacool, Prof Benjamin & Ghosh, Dr Bipashyee, 2022. "Just transitions for industrial decarbonisation: A framework for innovation, participation, and justice," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    18. Lei Ding & Xuejuan Fang, 2022. "Spatial–temporal distribution of air-pollution-intensive industries and its social-economic driving mechanism in Zhejiang Province, China: a framework of spatial econometric analysis," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1681-1712, February.
    19. Yuan, Peng & Pu, Yuran & Liu, Chang, 2021. "Improving electricity supply reliability in China: Cost and incentive regulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    20. He, Xiaoping & Reiner, David, 2016. "Electricity demand and basic needs: Empirical evidence from China's households," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 212-221.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:197:y:2023:i:c:s0040162523006169. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.